Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Alabama vs Kentucky
Alabama square off against Kentucky at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 12.
Kentucky have been given a sizeable +10.5 on the spread and we’re looking to take advantage. Back the -122 that they avoid a big loss against Alabama.
Alabama Crimson Tide previous game saw them claim a 48-10 home win over East Carolina Pirates at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Kentucky Wildcats last game saw them claim a 45-13 home win over Youngstown State Penguins at Kroger Field.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 49-21 win for Alabama at Kroger Field when they last played Kentucky.
Quarterbacks
Keelon Russell
Kenny Minchey
Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks
Make the most of Alabama vs Kentucky with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
The best bet could be Kentucky at -122 on the spread. The underdogs been given a +10.5 points start and should be able to stay relatively close to their opponents in this college football matchup.
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Key Alabama vs Kentucky stats:
Kentucky +10.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.
Looking for more juice from your point spread pick? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.
Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Kenny Minchey (Kentucky) to surpass 200.5 passing yards stand at -114. We feel confident that he’ll cover the QB Passing Yards line, which looks generous.
You can place a bet on Nic Anderson (Kentucky) at -114 to accumulate over 29.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Kentucky to cover the +10.5 spread along with Over 49.5 points. We’ve also gone for Kenny Minchey (Kentucky) to have Over 200.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
24
Kentucky
We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Crimson Tide landing a 28-24 win. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.
Alabama vs Kentucky Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Alabama have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability due to their -345 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +275 about Kentucky.
There is a spread of 9.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you fancy Under 47.5, then the odds are -115.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
The First TD Scorer favorite is Daniel Hill at +500. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to record the last touchdown.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Kentucky Rolling at Home
Kentucky have put together three straight wins at Kroger Field. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 32.90 points scored and 21.80 points allowed.
Alabama have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 21.90 points on offense and surrendering 23.60 on defense.
When the teams last met at Kroger Field, Alabama beat Kentucky 49-21.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kentucky Home Stats |
6-4 | 54.70 | 32.90 | 21.80 | 7 | 3 | |
 Alabama Away Stats |
6-4 | 45.50 | 21.90 | 23.60 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 47.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.20 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 23.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.90 pts and allowed 21.80 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
7 | 1 | 328 | 119 | 209 | 5-1 | 2-0 | 1W |
|
Kentucky
|
7 | 1 | 263 | 198 | 65 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 6W |
|
Alabama
|
6 | 2 | 306 | 170 | 136 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 1W |
Ole Miss
|
6 | 2 | 297 | 192 | 105 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 1W |
LSU
|
6 | 2 | 321 | 128 | 193 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 2W |
Missouri
|
6 | 2 | 252 | 147 | 105 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
6 | 2 | 258 | 130 | 128 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
6 | 2 | 246 | 137 | 109 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 2W |
Florida
|
5 | 3 | 285 | 225 | 60 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
5 | 3 | 295 | 202 | 93 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 3W |
Oklahoma
|
4 | 4 | 176 | 166 | 10 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 1L |
Auburn
|
4 | 4 | 193 | 214 | -21 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2L |
Mississippi State
|
4 | 4 | 213 | 225 | -12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4L |
Texas A&M
|
4 | 4 | 226 | 151 | 75 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
3 | 5 | 157 | 221 | -64 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1L |
Vanderbilt
|
3 | 5 | 182 | 242 | -60 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 5L |
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