Arkansas State vs Memphis Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs Memphis

Arkansas State go up against Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, September 5.

The best wager could be Arkansas State at -110 on the spread. They’ve been given a +11.5 points start and should be able to stay relatively close to Memphis.

Arkansas State Red Wolves claimed a victory in their previous game. A 34-28 home win occurred against Missouri State Bears at Hancock Whitney Stadium.

Memphis Tigers triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where UNLV Rebels were beaten 27-21 at Allegiant Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Memphis triumphed 37-3 when they last played Arkansas State. This head-to-head was played at Centennial Bank Stadium. It’s been a succession of Memphis wins in the past 4 H2H meetings.

Arkansas State vs Memphis Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Arkansas State vs Memphis with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Arkansas State to keep the scoreline respectable in this college football showdown. The spread of +11.5 looks generous at odds of -110.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Arkansas State vs Memphis stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 8 consecutive games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Memphis in 5 consecutive games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Memphis in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Memphis in 13 of their last 20 games.

Arkansas State +11.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to betting on Arkansas State on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin lines. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Arkansas State +11.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 21 - 23 Memphis

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 23-21 victory for Memphis. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.

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Arkansas State vs Memphis Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Memphis have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -476 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 83% chance of winning. The market suggests that Arkansas State are least likely to win at +360.

11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 52.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 52.5 at -108.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

Arkansas State

+360

Memphis

-476

Point Spread

Arkansas State +11.5

-110

Memphis -11.5

-110

Total Points

Under 52.5

-108

Over 52.5

-112

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the quarterback and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Memphis With Eight Wins in Previous Ten Home Games

Memphis have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 37.00 points per matchup and giving up 25.50.

Arkansas State have posted three consecutive road victories. They have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games on the road, putting up 24.70 points per contest and giving up 29.90.

The last time these teams met at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis came out on top 44-32 against Arkansas State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O52.5	U52.5
Memphis Home Stats		8-2	62.50	37.00	25.50	7	3
Arkansas State Away Stats		6-4	54.60	24.70	29.90	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
• U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Memphis Tigers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.50 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.70 pts and allowed 29.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.60 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.00 pts and allowed 25.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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