Ball State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Ball State vs Liberty
Ball State go up against Liberty at Williams Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, September 19.
There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 49.5 points between Liberty and Ball State. Our betting prediction is priced up at -110 which looks worth taking.
Ball State Cardinals claimed a victory in their previous game. A 41-17 home win occurred against Stony Brook Seawolves at Scheumann Stadium.
Liberty Flames last game saw them claim a 24-23 home win over Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs at Williams Stadium.
Ball State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks
Step into Ball State vs Liberty with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.
Game Prediction
There are odds of -110 available for our college football pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 49.5 in total.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Ball State vs Liberty stats:
Over 49.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are several ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to wager on Overs and one of them is betting on the Result & Total lines where you also predict a team to win.
Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Over 49.5, Liberty -14.5 on the spread and the Second Half to have the most points.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
17
-
41
Liberty
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to bet on the Flames on the correct score lines. For example, a 41-17 win in their favor is available at huge odds.
Ball State vs Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -769 with the sportsbooks, Liberty are regarded as 88% likely to win this college game. At +530, Ball State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The current spread is 14.5 and total points is 49.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Over 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.
The gambling sites will have quarterback and player props available for each game. Check out the various betting lines and take a view on whether a player’s Passing Yards or Receiving Yards will be above or below a certain amount.
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Liberty Have Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Liberty have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 30.30 points on average and giving up 26.30.
Ball State have endured ten straight defeats on the road. They have gone 0-10 across their last 10 road games, posting 14.00 points per contest while yielding 39.90.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liberty Home Stats |
6-4 | 56.60 | 30.30 | 26.30 | 6 | 4 | |
 Ball State Away Stats |
0-10 | 53.90 | 14.00 | 39.90 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ball State Cardinals Stats
Liberty Flames Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 47.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.20 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.00 pts and allowed 39.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 26.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware
|
1 | 1 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
FIU
|
1 | 1 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 1 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
|
Liberty
|
1 | 1 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
M. Tennessee
|
1 | 1 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
1 | 1 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Jacksonville State
|
1 | 2 | 83 | 69 | 14 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
1 | 2 | 87 | 77 | 10 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
0 | 2 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Western Kentucky
|
0 | 2 | 34 | 119 | -85 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2L |
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Michigan
|
1 | 2 | 56 | 79 | -23 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
UMass
|
2 | 0 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Akron
|
1 | 1 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
|
Ball State
|
1 | 1 | 44 | 73 | -29 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Buffalo
|
1 | 1 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Central Michigan
|
1 | 1 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Kent State
|
1 | 1 | 36 | 72 | -36 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Miami (OH)
|
1 | 1 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Ohio
|
1 | 1 | 50 | 76 | -26 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Toledo
|
1 | 1 | 83 | 40 | 43 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Western Michigan
|
1 | 1 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Bowling Green
|
0 | 2 | 20 | 76 | -56 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Sacramento State
|
1 | 2 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
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