Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026

College Football Betting Preview: Baylor vs Arizona State

Baylor face Arizona State at Mountain America Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, October 3.

Our best prediction is that Arizona State will gain the upper hand when playing Baylor. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -114, with the -3.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Baylor Bears beat Colorado Buffaloes in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 23-13 home win at McLane Stadium.

Arizona State Sun Devils won last time out by a 24-17 scoreline. It was on the road against Kansas Jayhawks at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arizona State beat Baylor in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 27-24 scoreline at McLane Stadium.

Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction & Picks

Approach Baylor vs Arizona State fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

Arizona State should be able to cover the -3.5 betting line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this college football matchup and a wager on the spread is the best play at odds of -114.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert predictions, our college football handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Baylor vs Arizona State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 2 of their last 3 games this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.

Arizona State -3.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are many betting alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Arizona State -3.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 05:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 23 - 35 Arizona State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Arizona State to triumph 35-23 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

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Baylor vs Arizona State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 63% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -172. Baylor are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +142.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 48.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you fancy Under 48.5, then the odds are -106.

There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

Baylor

+142

Arizona State

-172

Point Spread

Baylor +3.5

-106

Arizona State -3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 48.5

-106

Over 48.5

-114

The gambling sites will have quarterback and player props available for each game. Check out the various betting lines and take a view on whether a player’s Passing Yards or Receiving Yards will be above or below a certain amount.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Arizona State Have Won Eight of Their Last Ten Home Games

Arizona State have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 30.60 points on average and giving up 21.10.

Baylor have dropped four straight road games. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 34.10 points per contest while yielding 33.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Arizona State Home Stats		8-2	51.70	30.60	21.10	6	4
Baylor Away Stats		5-5	67.80	34.10	33.70	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Bears Stats

Arizona State Sun Devils Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 67.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.10 pts and allowed 33.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.90 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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