Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
Baylor vs Arizona State Predictions
Our best prediction is that Arizona State will gain the upper hand when playing Baylor. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -114, with the -3.5 line offering plenty of appeal.
We've locked in our Best Bet for Baylor vs Arizona State, along with Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Each section takes a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.
Baylor vs Arizona State Preview
Baylor faces Arizona State in this Week 5 game at Mountain America Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, October 3.
Baylor Bears beat Colorado Buffaloes in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 23-13 home win at McLane Stadium.
Arizona State Sun Devils won last time out by a 24-17 scoreline. It was on the road against Kansas Jayhawks at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
H2H: 27-24 Win for Arizona State in Pair’s Last Matchup
Arizona State beat Baylor in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 27-24 scoreline at McLane Stadium.
Quarterbacks
DJ Lagway
Cutter Boley
Best Bet
Arizona State should be able to cover the -3.5 betting line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this college football matchup and a wager on the spread is the best play at odds of -114.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert predictions, our college football handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Arizona State -3.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are many betting alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.
Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
DJ Lagway (Baylor) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 232.5 passing yards. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.
You can back Kyson Brown (Arizona State) at -114 to end with fewer than 93.5 rushing yards. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Arizona State -3.5, Over 48.5 and DJ Lagway (Baylor) to go Under 232.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
35
Arizona State
Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Arizona State to triumph 35-23 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.
Baylor vs Arizona State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 62% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -161. Baylor are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +134.
The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 48.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you fancy Under 48.5, then the odds are -112.
There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Arizona State Have Won Eight of Their Last Ten Home Games
Arizona State has eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 30.60 points on average and giving up 21.10.
Baylor has dropped four straight road games. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 34.10 points per contest while yielding 33.70.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona State Home Stats |
8-2 | 51.70 | 30.60 | 21.10 | 6 | 4 | |
 Baylor Away Stats |
5-5 | 67.80 | 34.10 | 33.70 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Baylor Bears Stats
Arizona State Sun Devils Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 67.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.10 pts and allowed 33.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.90 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
5 | 0 | 173 | 67 | 106 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Texas Tech
|
5 | 0 | 174 | 81 | 93 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Utah
|
5 | 0 | 214 | 65 | 149 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
|
Baylor
|
4 | 1 | 174 | 71 | 103 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Oklahoma State
|
4 | 1 | 191 | 107 | 84 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Arizona
|
5 | 1 | 214 | 114 | 100 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Houston
|
5 | 1 | 240 | 115 | 125 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3W |
Cincinnati
|
4 | 1 | 169 | 116 | 53 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
|
Arizona State
|
3 | 2 | 163 | 139 | 24 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
3 | 3 | 178 | 130 | 48 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
UCF
|
3 | 3 | 190 | 130 | 60 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2L |
Kansas State
|
3 | 2 | 178 | 96 | 82 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
West Virginia
|
3 | 3 | 218 | 196 | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3L |
Colorado
|
2 | 3 | 93 | 127 | -34 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3L |
Kansas
|
2 | 3 | 168 | 109 | 59 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1L |
TCU
|
2 | 3 | 127 | 67 | 60 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2L |
Georgia Southern
Old Dominion
Predictions
19:30 - Thu 15 Oct
NCAAF
East Carolina
UAB
Predictions
20:00 - Thu 15 Oct
NCAAF
Colorado State
Texas State
Predictions
19:30 - Fri 16 Oct
NCAAF
Memphis
Tulane
Predictions
20:00 - Fri 16 Oct
NCAAF
Appalachian State
Coastal Carolina
Predictions
20:00 - Fri 16 Oct
NCAAF
Washington
Purdue
Predictions
Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
Predictions
12:45 - Thu 15 Oct
Europa League
Sparta Prague
Lillestrom
Predictions
12:45 - Thu 15 Oct
Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg
AC Milan
Predictions
12:45 - Thu 15 Oct
Europa League
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
Predictions
12:45 - Thu 15 Oct
Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er-Sheva
Predictions
12:45 - Thu 15 Oct
Europa League
Lyon
Crystal Palace
Predictions
Where to Bet on American Football Games
Where to Trade American Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.