Florida vs Missouri Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026

College Football Betting Preview: Florida vs Missouri

Florida face Missouri at Faurot Field, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 3.

There’s the chance to back Missouri to cover the +4.5 line against Florida. Betting the underdogs on the spread seems the logical play and there is -102 now available.

Florida Gators made it four consecutive wins after a 52-28 home success over Ole Miss Rebels at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Missouri Tigers have landed two home wins on the spin. It was a road defeat to Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last game, losing 31-24 at Davis Wade Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Faurot Field, with Missouri claiming the win. Beating Florida by a 33-31 scoreline. The past 5 clashes between these teams have seen three Florida wins.

Florida vs Missouri Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Florida vs Missouri picks: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation and a ready-made bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Missouri are capable of staying close to the favorites in this college football battle, so we’ll take a chance and bet them against the spread. There’s an attractive +4.5 available which is priced at -102.

Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Florida vs Missouri stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Missouri in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Missouri in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Missouri in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.

Mizzou +4.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Missouri +4.5 @ -102 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 1, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Florida 24 - 23 Missouri

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 24-23 victory for the Gators. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Florida vs Missouri Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Florida odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -213 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 68% chance of winning. At +176, Missouri are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

4.5 is the spread and 56.5 is the total points line. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to bet Under 56.5, there are odds of -105.

College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Florida

-213

Missouri

+176

Point Spread

Florida -4.5

-120

Missouri +4.5

-102

Total Points

Under 56.5

-105

Over 56.5

-115

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player or quarterback when it comes to number of Touchdowns, Passing or Rushing Yards.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then college football micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.

Missouri Locked In at Home

Missouri have strung together three in a row at Faurot Field. They have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, posting 39.70 points per contest while yielding 19.60.

Florida have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 19.40 points per contest and conceding 30.80.

Missouri defeated Florida 33-31 in their last meeting at Faurot Field. Looking at the last 3 head-to-heads at Faurot Field, Missouri have tallied two victories, with Florida winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O56.5	U56.5
Missouri Home Stats		8-2	59.30	39.70	19.60	5	5
Florida Away Stats		2-8	50.20	19.40	30.80	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O56.5 = Games Over 56.5 Points
• U56.5 = Games Under 56.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Gators Stats

Missouri Tigers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 56.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 56.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.90 pts and allowed 26.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.40 pts and allowed 30.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 56.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 56.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.30 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.30 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Where to Bet on American Football Games

Top American Football Pages