Florida State vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Florida State vs Alabama
Florida State go up against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 19.
Alabama can finish well clear of Florida State and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is -110 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -18.5 line.
Florida State Seminoles lost their previous game, being beaten at home to SMU Mustangs 27-24 at Doak Campbell Stadium.
Alabama Crimson Tide won last time out by a 45-17 scoreline. On the road against Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field, they made it back-to-back wins.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Doak Campbell Stadium, with FSU claiming the win. Beating Alabama by a 31-17 scoreline.
Quarterbacks
Ashton Daniels
Keelon Russell
Florida State vs Alabama Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Florida State vs Alabama, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a case to be made for Alabama on the spread in this college football showdown. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -18.5 line at odds of -110 considering they should be superior.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our CFB predictions.
Key Florida State vs Alabama stats:
Bama -18.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
Want to back Bama to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different selections can be combined to good effect.
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Player Prop Picks
Ashton Daniels (FSU) is available at -114 to end with fewer than 146.5 passing yards. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the QB Passing Yards line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Alabama -18.5 on the spread, combined with Under 48.5 and Ashton Daniels (Florida State) to go Under 146.5 passing yards.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
9
-
34
Alabama
We’re going for the Crimson Tide to claim a 34-9 victory and the good news is that there are huge odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.
Florida State vs Alabama Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favorites are 93% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Money Line odds, with Alabama priced at -1429 to triumph in this college game. Florida State are the underdogs at +810 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 18.5 and the total points line is 48.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those expecting a low total can back Under 48.5 at -106.
You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Alabama Have Collected Nine Wins in Past Ten Home Games
Alabama are 9-1 in their last 10 home games, putting up 40.30 points per contest and giving up 11.10.
Florida State have dropped ten road games in a row. They own a 0-10 mark in their past 10 road games, posting 16.30 points per contest while yielding 32.80.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama Home Stats |
9-1 | 51.40 | 40.30 | 11.10 | 6 | 4 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
0-10 | 49.10 | 16.30 | 32.80 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +18.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -18.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 47.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.30 pts and allowed 32.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.00 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 35.80 pts and allowed 13.20 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Alabama
|
2 | 0 | 93 | 27 | 66 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Auburn
|
2 | 0 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Florida
|
2 | 0 | 118 | 24 | 94 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Georgia
|
2 | 0 | 133 | 23 | 110 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
LSU
|
2 | 0 | 96 | 24 | 72 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Mississippi State
|
2 | 0 | 100 | 26 | 74 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Missouri
|
2 | 0 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Ole Miss
|
2 | 0 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
South Carolina
|
2 | 0 | 102 | 9 | 93 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Tennessee
|
2 | 0 | 101 | 33 | 68 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Texas A&M
|
2 | 0 | 98 | 20 | 78 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Texas
|
2 | 0 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Vanderbilt
|
2 | 0 | 63 | 35 | 28 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Arkansas
|
1 | 1 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
1 | 1 | 61 | 17 | 44 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
1 | 1 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
2 | 0 | 122 | 13 | 109 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Pittsburgh
|
3 | 0 | 98 | 34 | 64 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
SMU
|
2 | 0 | 83 | 34 | 49 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Virginia
|
2 | 0 | 93 | 11 | 82 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
California
|
1 | 1 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
Duke
|
2 | 0 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Louisville
|
1 | 1 | 97 | 54 | 43 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Clemson
|
1 | 1 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Boston College
|
1 | 1 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
2 | 0 | 76 | 52 | 24 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Virginia Tech
|
2 | 0 | 117 | 24 | 93 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
North Carolina
|
2 | 0 | 50 | 13 | 37 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
Georgia Tech
|
0 | 2 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2L |
|
Florida State
|
1 | 1 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
NC State
|
1 | 1 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Stanford
|
1 | 1 | 43 | 72 | -29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
1 | 2 | 97 | 51 | 46 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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