Florida State vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Oct 2026
Florida State vs Louisville Predictions
Louisville should be able to cover the -3.5 betting line against Florida State. We’re confident of a strong showing and a wager on the spread is the best play at odds of -115.
Our Florida State vs Louisville betting preview features our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the complete analysis of each pick.
Florida State vs Louisville Preview
Florida State face Louisville at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, October 9.
Florida State Seminoles claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 38-7 triumph against Virginia Cavaliers at Doak Campbell Stadium made it back-to-back wins.
Louisville Cardinals have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 31-28 loss against NC State Wolfpack at Carter Finley Stadium.
H2H: FSU Beat Louisville in their Last H2H Battle
FSU have won the last two meetings against Louisville. They triumphed 35-31 at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium and then 16-6 at Doak Campbell Stadium. The previous 5 games featuring these teams have resulted in three FSU victories.
Quarterbacks
Ashton Daniels
Lincoln Kienholz
Best Bet
We’re bullish about the favorites on the spread at -3.5. Louisville should be able to win this college football showdown by a comfortable margin and you can get odds of -115.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our CFB predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.
Louisville -3.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.
Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.
Player Prop Picks
Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) is priced at -114 to exceed 235.5 passing yards. The line for QB Passing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.
You can back Ousmane Kromah (FSU) at -114 to go over 78.5 rushing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Rushing Yards bet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Louisville -3.5, Under 59.5 and Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) to go Over 235.5 passing yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
31
Louisville
There’s the chance to back the Cards in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 31-23 triumph in their favor.
Florida State vs Louisville Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Louisville are regarded as having a 65% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -189. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +155 about Florida State.
There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 59.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 59.5 at -115.
There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Louisville Have Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Louisville own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 34.50 points per contest while yielding 21.60.
Florida State have been beaten in ten straight games away from home. They have zero win and ten losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 17.80 points per contest and giving up 35.40.
When the teams last met at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, FSU beat Louisville 35-31.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O59.5 | U59.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Louisville Home Stats |
6-4 | 56.10 | 34.50 | 21.60 | 3 | 7 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
0-10 | 53.20 | 17.80 | 35.40 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O59.5 = Games Over 59.5 Points
- U59.5 = Games Under 59.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Louisville Cardinals Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 49.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 59.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 21.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 35.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 56.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 59.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.20 pts and allowed 25.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.50 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
5 | 0 | 248 | 49 | 199 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 5W |
Pittsburgh
|
5 | 0 | 192 | 67 | 125 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
Duke
|
4 | 0 | 145 | 44 | 101 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
California
|
2 | 3 | 135 | 133 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2L |
SMU
|
4 | 1 | 173 | 115 | 58 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
Wake Forest
|
4 | 1 | 183 | 115 | 68 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2W |
Virginia
|
3 | 2 | 169 | 90 | 79 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1L |
NC State
|
3 | 2 | 184 | 128 | 56 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2W |
|
Florida State
|
3 | 2 | 166 | 108 | 58 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2W |
Virginia Tech
|
4 | 1 | 206 | 99 | 107 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
2 | 3 | 193 | 146 | 47 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Stanford
|
2 | 3 | 87 | 191 | -104 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
2 | 2 | 96 | 78 | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2L |
Clemson
|
3 | 2 | 97 | 129 | -32 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
2 | 2 | 139 | 92 | 47 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1W |
Boston College
|
2 | 3 | 95 | 117 | -22 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Georgia Tech
|
1 | 3 | 108 | 104 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1L |
Sam Houston
Liberty
Missouri State
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
Arkansas State
South Florida
UTSA
Cairns Taipans
Brisbane Bullets
Predictions
12:00 - Thu 08 Oct
EuroLeague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Olimpia Milano
Predictions
13:30 - Thu 08 Oct
SuperLiga
CFR Cluj
U Cluj
Predictions
14:00 - Thu 08 Oct
Peru Liga 1
CD Moquegua
Cienciano
Predictions
14:00 - Thu 08 Oct
EuroLeague
Bayern Munich
Virtus Bologna
Predictions
14:15 - Thu 08 Oct
EuroLeague
Panathinaikos
Fenerbahce
Predictions
Where to Bet on American Football Games
Where to Trade American Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.