Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Oct 2026
Illinois vs Michigan State Predictions
Michigan State should be able to battle hard and our prediction is that they will cover the spread against Illinois. It’s set at an attractive +2.5 and you can get -105.
Get our expert Illinois vs Michigan State picks, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Jump straight to the dedicated sections below to see the complete analysis.
Illinois vs Michigan State Preview
Illinois square off against Michigan State at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 10.
Illinois Fighting Illini have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Purdue Boilermakers by a 24-17 scoreline at Memorial Stadium.
Michigan State Spartans have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 31-3 scoreline occurred on the road at Camp Randall Stadium against Wisconsin Badgers.
H2H: Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 38-16 Illini Victory
Illini won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 38-16 triumph when facing Michigan State at Memorial Stadium. It’s been two Illini wins in the past 3 games between these teams.
Quarterbacks
Katin Houser
Alessio Milivojevic
Best Bet
If you agree that Michigan State can go fairly close in this college football showdown, then back the underdogs against the spread here. The +2.5 makes lots of appeal at -105.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Michigan State +2.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
There’s the chance to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your spread pick by taking an alternative betting view.
Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Katin Houser (Illini) at -114 to end with fewer than 240.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.
You can back Hudson Clement (Michigan State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 50.5 receiving yards. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, as the total looks too high.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Michigan State to cover the +2.5 spread, Over 48.5 on the total and Katin Houser (Illinois) to go Under 240.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
30
Michigan State
There are massive odds available when it comes to the Spartans claiming a 30-28 victory. A close battle is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.
Illinois vs Michigan State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The betting odds about Michigan State winning is +114, with Illinois priced up at -137 to achieve victory. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this college game, it’s 58% according to the most popular sportsbooks.
2.5 is the spread and 48.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 48.5, then the odds are -115.
If you’re planning to place a college football wager, visit the best betting apps and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Michigan State Count Five Wins in Previous Ten at Home
Michigan State own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 24.10 points on average and giving up 26.60.
Illinois have taken three straight defeats on the road. They have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games on the road, putting up 24.40 points per contest and giving up 33.80.
Illini beat Michigan State 37-34 in their most recent meeting at Spartan Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan State Home Stats |
5-5 | 50.70 | 24.10 | 26.60 | 6 | 4 | |
 Illinois Away Stats |
4-6 | 58.20 | 24.40 | 33.80 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Michigan State Spartans Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 48.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 33.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.60 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana
|
5 | 0 | 221 | 54 | 167 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
Ohio State
|
4 | 1 | 211 | 63 | 148 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
UCLA
|
4 | 0 | 179 | 75 | 104 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
Nebraska
|
5 | 0 | 218 | 71 | 147 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
Wisconsin
|
4 | 1 | 158 | 83 | 75 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Minnesota
|
4 | 1 | 160 | 90 | 70 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 3W |
Oregon
|
3 | 1 | 190 | 93 | 97 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
USC
|
5 | 1 | 224 | 153 | 71 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
Iowa
|
4 | 1 | 145 | 63 | 82 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
3 | 1 | 132 | 67 | 65 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Purdue
|
2 | 3 | 152 | 175 | -23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1W |
Michigan
|
3 | 2 | 115 | 79 | 36 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Penn State
|
3 | 2 | 160 | 80 | 80 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2L |
Washington
|
3 | 2 | 133 | 92 | 41 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
|
Illinois
|
2 | 3 | 153 | 130 | 23 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2L |
Maryland
|
2 | 3 | 152 | 151 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3L |
|
Michigan State
|
2 | 3 | 91 | 116 | -25 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
Rutgers
|
1 | 4 | 150 | 161 | -11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1L |
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