Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 31 Oct 2026

Mississippi State vs Texas Predictions

Best Bet

Mississippi State +20.5 @ -114

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mississippi State might not be a complete pushover against Texas and we fancy the underdogs against the spread. You can get a generous +20.5 and they are available at odds of -114.

We’ve locked in our preferred wagers for Mississippi State vs Texas, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Lock in the full card in the dedicated sections below.

Mississippi State vs Texas Preview

Mississippi State go up against Texas at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, October 31.

Mississippi State Bulldogs suffered a third consecutive defeat when losing 23-15 in their previous game. This was at home to Oklahoma Sooners at Davis Wade Stadium.

Texas Longhorns won their last game which was at home. It was a 34-27 triumph at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium against Ole Miss Rebels.

H2H: Previous H2H Was Texas Overtime Win

The last matchup between Texas and Mississippi State saw the former win. It was a 45-38 (OT) scoreline at Davis Wade Stadium.

Best Bet

Mississippi State look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat in this college football battle and we’re happy to bet them against the spread. The underdogs can comfortably cover +20.5 and this can be backed at -114.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +20.5 line has been covered by Mississippi State in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +20.5 line has been covered by Mississippi State in 5 of their last 7 games this season.
• The -20.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texas in 4 consecutive games.
• The -20.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texas in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -20.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texas in 16 of their last 20 games.

Our CFB handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

MS State +20.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are several wagering options to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Smart bettors check the promos first. Browse our updated guide for the best welcome bonuses available today.

Mississippi State +20.5 @ -114 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 30, 02:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arch Manning Under 231.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Arch Manning (Texas) at -114 to have less than 231.5 passing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this QB Passing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Arch Manning Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 231.5

-114

Under 231.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

---

Raleek Brown Under 67.5 Rushing Yards -118

You can back Raleek Brown (Texas) at -118 to finish with fewer than 67.5 rushing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Raleek Brown Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-118

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

MS State 21 - 34 Texas

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Texas to triumph 34-21 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mississippi State vs Texas Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Texas a 93% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -1429 favorites with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mississippi State are trading at +890.

The current spread is 20.5 and the total points line is 50.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 50.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

MS State

+890

Texas

-1429

Point Spread

MS State +20.5

-114

Texas -20.5

-106

Total Points

Under 50.5

-108

Over 50.5

-112

Receiving Yards

Ryan Wingo (Texas)

Over 59.5

-118

Under 59.5

-112

Anthony Evans III (MS State)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Cam Coleman (Texas)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Emmett Mosley V (Texas)

Over 34.5

-118

Under 34.5

-112

Sanfrisco Magee (MS State)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Zion Ragins (MS State)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Marquis Johnson (MS State)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Raleek Brown (Texas)

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-118

Fluff Bothwell (MS State)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Hollywood Smothers (Texas)

Over 64.5

-118

Under 64.5

-112

Arch Manning (Texas)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Texas Have Collected Nine Wins in Past Ten Home Games

Texas own a 9-1 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 36.60 points scored and 18.50 points allowed.

Mississippi State own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 23.60 points on offense and surrendering 29.20 on defense.

Texas earned a 35-13 win over Mississippi State the last time they played at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Texas Home Stats		9-1	55.10	36.60	18.50	6	4
Mississippi State Away Stats		4-6	52.80	23.60	29.20	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Texas Longhorns Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +20.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +20.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -20.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -20.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 32.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.50 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.80 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Where to Bet on American Football Games

Top American Football Pages