Missouri State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Missouri State vs SMU
Missouri State go up against SMU at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Saturday, September 26.
Don’t expect fireworks. SMU and Missouri State might not score a huge combined total and our prediction is to back Under 60.5 at odds of -110.
Missouri State Bears were beaten 30-24 at Robert W. Plaster Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Marshall Thundering Herd.
SMU Mustangs were beaten last game and this was on the road at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Louisville Cardinals claimed a 41-31 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
SMU had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Robert W. Plaster Stadium, they recorded a 28-10 win over Missouri State.
Quarterbacks
Skyler Locklear
Kevin Jennings
Missouri State vs SMU Prediction & Picks
Discover our expert Missouri State vs SMU betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Game Prediction
60.5 points looks too big a number on the totals and we are therefore happy to play the -110 about Under when it comes to this college football showdown.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.
Key Missouri State vs SMU stats:
Under 60.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.
It’s all about getting the biggest odds and one way of maximising your Unders wager is by combining it with the winner on the Result & Total lines.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Skyler Locklear (Missouri State) to end with fewer than 142.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.
Randy Pittman Jr. (Missouri State) is priced at -114 to have less than 32.5 receiving yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Under 60.5 points followed by Missouri State to cover the +34.5 spread. We’ve also gone for Skyler Locklear (Missouri State) to have Under 142.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
45
SMU
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Mustangs to claim a 45-13 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
Missouri State vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
There’s an absence of Moneyline odds for this college game due to it being perceived as one-sided, although underdogs Missouri State and their opponents are available as options on the spread.
The spread is 34.5 and the total points line is currently 60.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 60.5 can get -110.
Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
SMU Riding a Home Hot Streak
SMU have stacked up five straight victories at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, averaging 39.60 points on offense and surrendering 18.40 on defense.
Missouri State have been beaten in three straight games away from home. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 21.40 points per contest and giving up 36.20.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O60.5 | U60.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU Home Stats |
9-1 | 58.00 | 39.60 | 18.40 | 4 | 6 | |
 Missouri State Away Stats |
4-6 | 57.60 | 21.40 | 36.20 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O60.5 = Games Over 60.5 Points
- U60.5 = Games Under 60.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Bears Stats
SMU Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +34.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +34.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -34.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -34.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 56.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 57.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 60.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 36.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 60.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.90 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 36.50 pts and allowed 18.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
3 | 0 | 155 | 33 | 122 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3W |
Duke
|
3 | 0 | 83 | 37 | 46 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Pittsburgh
|
3 | 0 | 98 | 34 | 64 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
California
|
2 | 1 | 94 | 70 | 24 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 2W |
Clemson
|
2 | 1 | 60 | 78 | -18 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2W |
Louisville
|
2 | 1 | 138 | 85 | 53 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2W |
Virginia
|
2 | 1 | 120 | 49 | 71 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
2 | 1 | 114 | 75 | 39 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
1 | 2 | 81 | 70 | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1W |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 0 | 152 | 50 | 102 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Boston College
|
2 | 1 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2W |
Stanford
|
1 | 2 | 50 | 107 | -57 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
NC State
|
1 | 2 | 112 | 69 | 43 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
2 | 1 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Florida State
|
1 | 2 | 94 | 94 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Wake Forest
|
2 | 1 | 96 | 85 | 11 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
1 | 2 | 97 | 51 | 46 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
3 | 1 | 122 | 75 | 47 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
Delaware
|
2 | 1 | 90 | 56 | 34 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
M. Tennessee
|
2 | 1 | 91 | 62 | 29 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Jacksonville State
|
2 | 2 | 114 | 96 | 18 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
FIU
|
1 | 2 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 2 | 73 | 73 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
|
Missouri State
|
1 | 2 | 72 | 94 | -22 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
1 | 2 | 87 | 77 | 10 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
1 | 2 | 97 | 47 | 50 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
Western Kentucky
|
0 | 3 | 34 | 157 | -123 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3L |
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