Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2026
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Predictions
There’s an attractive -137 that Western Kentucky are able to get the better of Missouri State. This wager can be secured on the Moneyline and we’re confident that it can happen.
We've locked in our Best Bet for Missouri State vs Western Kentucky, along with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read on for a detailed breakdown of each pick.
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Preview
Missouri State battle Western Kentucky at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 8.
Missouri State Bears have suffered a defeat in back-to-back games including a recent 34-24 loss. This occurred on the road at Gerald J. Ford Stadium against SMU Mustangs.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost on the road in their last game. New Mexico State won 34-13 at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
H2H: 27-22 Win for WKU in Pair’s Previous Clash
Western Kentucky won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 27-22 triumph when facing Missouri State at Robert W. Plaster Stadium.
Best Bet
The pick for this college football showdown is to back the home team at -137. We think that Missouri State are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our bet.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.
WKU Moneyline Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 57.8% chance of delivering a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
The spread provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Western Kentucky and choose the odds to suit you.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Same Game Parlay Pick
The same game parlay pick is Western Kentucky on the moneyline, Over 56.5 and the First Half to see the most action points-wise.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
31
Western Kentucky
the Hilltoppers are available at massive odds to register a 31-28 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close matchup and there won’t be much between the teams.
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Western Kentucky are available at Moneyline odds of -137, while opponents Missouri State can be backed at +114. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 58% likely to claim a victory.
The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 56.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those who wager Under 56.5 can get -106.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Quarterback Passing Yards and First/Last Touchdown Scorer. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.
Western Kentucky Looking to Keep Rolling at Home
Western Kentucky have rattled off three straight wins at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. They have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 31.90 points on offense and surrendering 16.30 on defense.
Missouri State have endured four straight defeats on the road. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 22.10 points per contest and conceding 34.80.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O56.5 | U56.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Western Kentucky Home Stats |
8-2 | 48.20 | 31.90 | 16.30 | 4 | 6 | |
 Missouri State Away Stats |
4-6 | 56.90 | 22.10 | 34.80 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O56.5 = Games Over 56.5 Points
- U56.5 = Games Under 56.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Bears Stats
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 56.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 56.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 30.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.10 pts and allowed 34.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 56.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 56.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.70 pts and allowed 30.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.90 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
4 | 1 | 152 | 89 | 63 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Jacksonville State
|
3 | 2 | 137 | 109 | 28 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2W |
New Mexico State
|
2 | 3 | 139 | 132 | 7 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1W |
FIU
|
2 | 2 | 72 | 58 | 14 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 3 | 87 | 90 | -3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
|
Missouri State
|
1 | 3 | 96 | 128 | -32 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Sam Houston
|
1 | 3 | 111 | 96 | 15 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
Delaware
|
2 | 3 | 107 | 128 | -21 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Mid Tenn
|
2 | 3 | 104 | 140 | -36 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2L |
|
Western Kentucky
|
1 | 4 | 99 | 198 | -99 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 1L |
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