New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Nov 2026
New Mexico vs Nevada Predictions
Nevada and New Mexico are capable of scoring more than 37.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -105.
Discover our expert New Mexico vs Nevada betting picks, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Head further down the page to find the detailed evaluation of each play.
New Mexico vs Nevada Preview
New Mexico face Nevada at MacKay Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Friday, November 6.
New Mexico Lobos have won five on the spin, triumphing 21-16 in their previous game. This was on the road against San Jose State Spartans at CEFCU Stadium.
Nevada Wolf Pack lost on the road in their last game. UCLA Bruins won 27-0 at Rose Bowl.
H2H: UNM Won 24-22 in Teams’ Previous Matchup
New Mexico beat Nevada in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 24-22 scoreline at University Stadium, Albuquerque. Nevada have won three of the previous 4 H2H meetings.
Best Bet
There are odds of -105 about Over 37.5 points and this looks generous for this college football showdown. The bar might have been set too low in terms of total.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Over 37.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if their selection wins.
Claim exclusive offers now—our guide features top betting promo codes, the latest sign-up bonuses, and free bets.
Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Gary Givens III (New Mexico) at -114 to rack up over 33.5 receiving yards. There’s an opportunity to place a Player Receiving Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.
Dominic Kelley (New Mexico) can be backed at -114 to go over 51.5 rushing yards. There’s an opportunity to place a Player Rushing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Over 37.5, New Mexico -9.5 and Gary Givens III (New Mexico) to go Over 33.5 receiving yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
31
-
13
Nevada
Rather than backing the Lobos to triumph, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 31-13 win in their favor.
New Mexico vs Nevada Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favorites are 80% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Money Line odds, with New Mexico priced at -400 to triumph in this college game. Nevada are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +310.
The spread is calculated to be 9.5, while total points comes in at 37.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you're keen on Over 37.5, this selection is available at -105.
The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Nevada Home Form Reads Six Defeats in Last Ten
Nevada have four wins and six losses in the last 10 home games, posting 23.50 points per contest while yielding 23.40.
New Mexico have posted three consecutive wins on the road. They have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 25.50 points on offense and surrendering 20.20 on defense.
The last time Nevada faced New Mexico at MacKay Stadium, they won 34-24.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O37.5 | U37.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nevada Home Stats |
4-6 | 46.90 | 23.50 | 23.40 | 6 | 4 | |
 New Mexico Away Stats |
6-4 | 45.70 | 25.50 | 20.20 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O37.5 = Games Over 37.5 Points
- U37.5 = Games Under 37.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New Mexico Lobos Stats
Nevada Wolf Pack Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 37.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 37.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.00 pts and allowed 13.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.50 pts and allowed 20.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 37.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 37.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 23.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
New Mexico
|
7 | 1 | 280 | 95 | 185 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Wyoming
|
5 | 3 | 156 | 160 | -4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3W |
UNLV
|
5 | 3 | 200 | 190 | 10 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1W |
North Dakota State
|
7 | 2 | 253 | 107 | 146 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 1W |
Air Force
|
6 | 2 | 234 | 172 | 62 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 1W |
|
Nevada
|
3 | 5 | 184 | 181 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 1L |
San Jose State
|
4 | 5 | 179 | 201 | -22 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 2L |
Hawaii
|
2 | 6 | 166 | 196 | -30 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1W |
UTEP
|
1 | 7 | 113 | 292 | -179 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 6L |
Northern Illinois
|
0 | 8 | 130 | 301 | -171 | 0-3 | 0-5 | 8L |
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