New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Oct 2026
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Predictions
The best bet could involve backing Sam Houston against the spread. There’s an attractive +2.5 available at -102 that the underdogs cover the line against New Mexico State and that has to be our prediction.
For New Mexico State vs Sam Houston, our betting coverage includes our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read the full analysis behind each pick further down the page.
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Preview
New Mexico State square off against Sam Houston at Bowers Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, October 21.
New Mexico State have been defeated in their previous three road games. They recently suffered a 22-3 loss against Florida International Panthers at Pitbull Stadium.
Sam Houston Bearkats have lost their last three games, most recently suffering a 16-3 home defeat to Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Bowers Stadium.
H2H: NM State Too Good for Sam Houston in Previous Matchup
NM State beat Sam Houston in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 37-10 scoreline at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The previous 3 H2H meetings have involved NM State winning two times.
Best Bet
We’re making Sam Houston against the spread our pick for this college football showdown. The line is favorably set at +2.5 and you can secure -102 that this happens.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.
Sam Houston +2.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to pimp the odds about Sam Houston covering the line, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine your spread pick with other selections.
Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Sam Houston to cover the +2.5 spread along with Over 44.5 points. Add in Touchdown as first score method.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
28
Sam Houston
For a fun bet, consider backing the Kats to claim a 28-24 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 60% probability of winning this college game, New Mexico State might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -147 Moneyline betting odds. Sam Houston are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +122.
2.5 is the spread and 44.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 44.5, then the odds are -108.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
There is regularly value to be found from betting the quarterback and player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.
There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.
Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Seven Wins for Sam Houston
Sam Houston have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, posting 25.50 points per contest while yielding 18.00.
New Mexico State have been on the losing end in three straight road games. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 19.50 points scored and 33.10 points allowed.
Sam Houston earned a 31-11 win against NM State in the teams’ last meeting at Bowers Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O44.5 | U44.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Houston Home Stats |
7-3 | 43.50 | 25.50 | 18.00 | 4 | 6 | |
 New Mexico State Away Stats |
2-8 | 52.60 | 19.50 | 33.10 | 9 | 1 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
- U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New Mexico State Stats
Sam Houston Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 51.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 44.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
- Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 28.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 33.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 27.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.70 pts and allowed 26.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
|
5 | 2 | 191 | 159 | 32 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4W |
Liberty
|
5 | 1 | 187 | 92 | 95 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 5W |
Western Kentucky
|
3 | 4 | 149 | 214 | -65 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2W |
FIU
|
3 | 3 | 118 | 88 | 30 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 1L |
Mid Tenn
|
3 | 3 | 137 | 170 | -33 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 1W |
Missouri State
|
2 | 4 | 133 | 183 | -50 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 1W |
|
New Mexico State
|
2 | 4 | 142 | 154 | -12 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 1L |
Delaware
|
2 | 4 | 137 | 161 | -24 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3L |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 5 | 134 | 141 | -7 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 5L |
|
Sam Houston
|
1 | 5 | 117 | 147 | -30 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3L |
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