NC State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Aug 2026
College Football Betting Preview: NC State vs Virginia
NC State square off against Virginia at Scott Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, August 29.
Our prediction is for Virginia to cover the attractive -4.5 line in their clash against NC State. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -105 is available on the spread.
NC State Wolfpack won their previous game, beating Memphis Tigers. It was a 31-7 win at Raymond James Stadium.
Virginia Cavaliers won last time out by a 13-7 scoreline. It was against Missouri Tigers at EverBank Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was NC State who came out on top when they last played Virginia. At Carter Finley Stadium, a 35-31 win was recorded. In the past 3 H2H games, NC State have won every time.
NC State vs Virginia Prediction & Picks
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this NC State vs Virginia betting preview covers it all.
Game Prediction
Bet on Virginia against the spread, with an attractive line of -4.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -105 that are currently on offer for this college football matchup.
Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.
Key NC State vs Virginia stats:
UVA -4.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
CJ Bailey (NC State) is available at -114 to end with fewer than 235.5 passing yards. There’s a strong case for choosing him to fall short of the required line in the QB Passing Yards market.
Will Wilson (NC State) can be backed at +135 to reach the end zone. Based on all the information, we'll head to the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market where we can back him to punch it in at attractive odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Virginia -4.5. We’ve also gone for Under 51.5 points and CJ Bailey (NC State) to go Under 235.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
28
Virginia
A 28-21 win for the Cavs is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a massive potential return.
NC State vs Virginia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 64% probability of winning this college game, Virginia might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -179 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +146 about NC State.
The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 51.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 51.5 at -106.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Will Wilson is the market leader to be First TD Scorer at +1000. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to back him to register a touchdown at any stage at +135.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Six Wins for Virginia
Virginia are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, posting 29.60 points per contest while yielding 22.20.
NC State have suffered four consecutive road defeats. They have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 25.70 points on offense and surrendering 36.90 on defense.
The most recent Scott Stadium meeting saw NC State claim a 24-21 win over Virginia.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia Home Stats |
6-4 | 51.80 | 29.60 | 22.20 | 5 | 5 | |
 NC State Away Stats |
3-7 | 62.60 | 25.70 | 36.90 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
NC State Wolfpack Stats
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 58.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 62.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.00 pts and allowed 28.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 36.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 52.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 19.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.60 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games
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