Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2026
Sam Houston vs Liberty Predictions
If you agree with our prediction that Liberty can be superior to Sam Houston, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The big favorites should be capable of covering the -13.5 line.
We've locked in our Best Bet for Sam Houston vs Liberty, along with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the full breakdown and reasoning behind each pick.
Sam Houston vs Liberty Preview
Sam Houston face Liberty at Williams Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 8.
Sam Houston Bearkats have now lost back-to-back road games. In their previous game, Texas Tech Red Raiders won 49-14 at Jones AT&T Stadium.
Liberty Flames have triumphed in their last four games. The latest of these was on the road where Delaware Blue Hens were beaten 30-14 at Delaware Stadium.
H2H: 20-18 Triumph for Sam Houston in Last H2H
Sam Houston beat Liberty in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 20-18 scoreline at Bowers Stadium.
Best Bet
Liberty should enjoy a big win and that’s why we’re taking the -13.5 about them on the spread. This college football recommendation should cover the line at -110.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
We put solid research behind every CFB pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Liberty -13.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college bet.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.
Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Liberty -13.5, Over 52.5 points and a Touchdown to be scored first.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
38
Liberty
For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Flames. Backing them to win 38-23 means you can land a potential monster return.
Sam Houston vs Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -625 with the sportsbooks, Liberty are regarded as 86% likely to win this college game. At +450, Sam Houston are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread currently stands at 13.5 and the total points line is 52.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s the chance to back Under 52.5 at -110.
When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.
We’re fond of the quarterback and player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Player Kicking Points, Longest Rushing Attempt and Rushing Yards among the choices and you can take a view.
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.
Liberty Have Picked Up Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Liberty have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, scoring 32.30 points per contest and conceding 25.40.
Sam Houston have dropped three road games in a row. They have gone 1-9 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 15.20 points scored and 36.70 points allowed.
Liberty earned a 21-16 win over Sam Houston the last time they played at Williams Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O52.5 | U52.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liberty Home Stats |
6-4 | 57.70 | 32.30 | 25.40 | 5 | 5 | |
 Sam Houston Away Stats |
1-9 | 51.90 | 15.20 | 36.70 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
- U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Sam Houston Stats
Liberty Flames Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 52.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 31.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 15.20 pts and allowed 36.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 58.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.50 pts and allowed 25.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 24.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liberty
|
4 | 1 | 152 | 89 | 63 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Jacksonville State
|
3 | 2 | 137 | 109 | 28 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2W |
New Mexico State
|
2 | 3 | 139 | 132 | 7 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1W |
FIU
|
2 | 2 | 72 | 58 | 14 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 3 | 87 | 90 | -3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
Missouri State
|
1 | 3 | 96 | 128 | -32 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
|
Sam Houston
|
1 | 3 | 111 | 96 | 15 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
Delaware
|
2 | 3 | 107 | 128 | -21 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Mid Tenn
|
2 | 3 | 104 | 140 | -36 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2L |
Western Kentucky
|
1 | 4 | 99 | 198 | -99 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 1L |
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