Southern Miss vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Oct 2026
Southern Miss vs Troy Trojans Predictions
We’d be surprised if Troy don’t exceed a -10.5 spread against Southern Miss. That is why the bet has to be for them to cover the line at -105.
Get our top Southern Miss vs Troy betting recommendations, featuring our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Full breakdowns and the reasoning behind the picks are available below.
Southern Miss vs Troy Trojans Preview
Southern Miss square off against Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, October 6.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles were beaten in their previous three games and the latest was on the road at Yulman Stadium. Tulane Green Wave claimed a 24-21 win.
Troy Trojans have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 21-10 scoreline occurred on the road at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium against Utah State Aggies.
H2H: Troy Have Won 5 of Previous 6 H2H Matchups
Troy won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 28-18 triumph when facing Southern Miss at M.M. Roberts Stadium. In the past 6 H2H meetings, Troy have won five.
Best Bet
There are odds of -105 that Troy will cover the -10.5 line. We think this is a more than generous spread for this college football pick where there is plenty of value available.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.
Troy -10.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.3% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this college bet.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the spread pick you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
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Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Troy -10.5, Under 49.5 and Touchdown as first score method.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
27
Troy
There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a the Trojans correct score win. We’ll try a 27-13 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
Southern Miss vs Troy Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Troy are massive -417 favorites. They are regarded as 81% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Southern Miss are the underdogs at +330 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 49.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those who wager Under 49.5 can get -115.
If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on quarterback and player props such as First/Last Touchdown Scorer, Passing Yards, Player Passing Attempts, Interceptions and Kicking Points. The gambling sites will provide plenty of options.
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Troy Rolling at Home
Troy have reeled off three straight wins at Veterans Memorial Stadium. They own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 30.00 points scored and 21.90 points allowed.
Southern Miss have taken three straight defeats on the road. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 20.90 points per contest while yielding 34.70.
The last time these teams met at Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy came out on top 52-20 against Southern Miss. Looking back at the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy have posted two victories, with Southern Miss earning one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Troy Trojans Home Stats |
8-2 | 51.90 | 30.00 | 21.90 | 7 | 3 | |
 Southern Miss Away Stats |
3-7 | 55.60 | 20.90 | 34.70 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Stats
Troy Trojans Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 34.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.10 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.00 pts and allowed 21.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
5 | 0 | 224 | 66 | 158 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Georgia State
|
4 | 1 | 197 | 95 | 102 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
Georgia Southern
|
2 | 3 | 124 | 119 | 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
4 | 1 | 146 | 97 | 49 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
South Alabama
|
3 | 2 | 177 | 158 | 19 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Louisiana Tech
|
2 | 2 | 144 | 116 | 28 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1W |
Appalachian State
|
3 | 1 | 139 | 89 | 50 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
|
Troy
|
2 | 2 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2L |
|
Southern Miss
|
1 | 3 | 98 | 118 | -20 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
Marshall
|
3 | 2 | 111 | 175 | -64 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1L |
Coastal Carolina
|
1 | 4 | 124 | 125 | -1 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3L |
Old Dominion
|
1 | 4 | 99 | 162 | -63 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4L |
Arkansas State
|
2 | 3 | 120 | 117 | 3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
0 | 5 | 120 | 223 | -103 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 5L |
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