Texas State vs San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
Texas State vs San Diego State Predictions
The line makes plenty of appeal considering it’s set at +8.5 and our prediction is that San Diego State will cover this against Texas State. There is -112 available for this outcome.
We've selected our Best Bet for Texas State vs San Diego State, along with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into the sections below for a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.
Texas State vs San Diego State Preview
Texas State goes up against San Diego State in this Week 5 battle at Snapdragon Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, October 3.
Texas State Bobcats have won their previous two games. The latest was a 63-10 home triumph at UFCU Stadium against Incarnate Word Cardinals.
San Diego State Aztecs have been defeated in their last three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 41-16 loss against Toledo Rockets at Glass Bowl.
Best Bet
We’re confident that San Diego State can push for a victory in this college football showdown and the +8.5 about them on the spread makes lots of appeal. Take -112 that they cover the line.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Team news plays a key role in our college football forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect
SDSU +8.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.
There’s the chance to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with your spread pick. It means a riskier bet but a bigger return on the odds available.
Score better value on your wagers by checking our bonus guide filled with the best sportsbook promo codes and free bets.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of San Diego State +8.5, Over 57.5 and Touchdown as first score method.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
35
-
31
San Diego State
We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take Texas State to win 35-31. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
Texas State vs San Diego State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 79% chance of securing victory, Texas State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -370. For those wanting to back San Diego State, you will find +285 about the underdogs.
The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 57.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to bet Under 57.5, there are odds of -115.
College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player or quarterback when it comes to number of Touchdowns, Passing or Rushing Yards.
There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.
San Diego State Standing on Seven Wins From Last Ten Home Matches
San Diego State owns a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 28.90 points on offense and surrendering 13.90 on defense.
Texas State owns a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 30.90 points on offense and surrendering 33.50 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O57.5 | U57.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego State Home Stats |
7-3 | 42.80 | 28.90 | 13.90 | 2 | 8 | |
 Texas State Away Stats |
4-6 | 64.40 | 30.90 | 33.50 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O57.5 = Games Over 57.5 Points
- U57.5 = Games Under 57.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas State Bobcats Stats
San Diego State Aztecs Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 65.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 64.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 57.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 57.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.60 pts and allowed 29.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 33.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 47.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 57.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 57.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.80 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.00 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Pacific-12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boise State
|
5 | 1 | 210 | 134 | 76 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 5W |
Oregon State
|
4 | 2 | 251 | 132 | 119 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 4W |
Fresno State
|
4 | 2 | 170 | 120 | 50 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1L |
|
San Diego State
|
2 | 4 | 137 | 210 | -73 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 1L |
Utah State
|
2 | 4 | 87 | 141 | -54 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 1W |
Colorado State
|
2 | 3 | 187 | 193 | -6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
Washington State
|
1 | 5 | 111 | 142 | -31 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3L |
|
Texas State
|
2 | 3 | 174 | 166 | 8 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
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