Texas State vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Texas State vs Texas
Texas State go up against Texas at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 5.
Let’s back Texas State at +29.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. They are a good shout at -110 to stay relatively close to Texas and we really like this pick.
Texas State Bobcats won their previous game, beating Rice Owls. It was a 41-10 win at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Texas Longhorns won their last game. It was a 41-27 triumph at Camping World Stadium against Michigan Wolverines.
Texas State vs Texas Prediction & Picks
Our expert Texas State vs Texas betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.
Game Prediction
Texas State have been given a huge number on the spread. We recommend taking the -110 that they cover a more than generous +29.5 line in this college football matchup.
We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.
Key Texas State vs Texas stats:
Texas State +29.5 Probability
If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how risky or safe you want to play things.
Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Arch Manning (Texas) to end with fewer than 272.5 passing yards stand at -114. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the QB Passing Yards line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Texas State +29.5 on the spread, Over 59.5 and Arch Manning (Texas) to go Under 272.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
41
Texas
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Texas to claim a 41-21 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
Texas State vs Texas Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You might not get rich backing Texas at -10000. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 99% chance of winning this college game. At +2200, Texas State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
29.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 59.5 right now. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 59.5, then the odds are -110.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Texas Locked In at Home
Texas have run off nine straight victories at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 home games, averaging 36.60 points on offense and surrendering 18.70 on defense.
Texas State own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 34.00 points on offense and surrendering 29.30 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O59.5 | U59.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas Home Stats |
9-1 | 55.30 | 36.60 | 18.70 | 4 | 6 | |
 Texas State Away Stats |
5-5 | 63.30 | 34.00 | 29.30 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O59.5 = Games Over 59.5 Points
- U59.5 = Games Under 59.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas State Bobcats Stats
Texas Longhorns Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +29.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +29.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road
- -29.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -29.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 64.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 63.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 59.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.40 pts and allowed 28.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.00 pts and allowed 29.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 59.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 59.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.40 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.90 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Missouri
|
1 | 0 | 54 | 14 | 40 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Alabama
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Arkansas
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Auburn
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Florida
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Georgia
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Kentucky
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
LSU
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Mississippi State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Oklahoma
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Ole Miss
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
South Carolina
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Tennessee
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Texas A&M
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
Texas
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Vanderbilt
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
| Pacific-12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boise State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Colorado State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Fresno State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Oregon State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
San Diego State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Utah State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Washington State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
Texas State
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
San Jose State
Eastern Michigan
Predictions
20:00 - Fri 04 Sep
NCAAF
UTEP
Oklahoma
Predictions
20:00 - Fri 04 Sep
NCAAF
Toledo
Michigan State
Predictions
21:00 - Fri 04 Sep
NCAAF
Miami
Stanford
Predictions
21:00 - Fri 04 Sep
NCAAF
Fresno State
USC
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Liberty
James Madison
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
North Texas
Indiana
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
East Carolina
Alabama
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Oregon State
Houston
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Coastal Carolina
West Virginia
Predictions
12:00 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Ohio
Nebraska
Predictions
12:30 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Miami (OH)
Pittsburgh
Predictions
12:30 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Ball State
Ohio State
Predictions
12:45 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Kent State
South Carolina
Predictions
15:30 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Marshall
Penn State
Predictions
15:30 - Sat 05 Sep
NCAAF
Boise State
Oregon
Predictions
Arminia Bielefeld
St Pauli
Predictions
12:30 - Fri 04 Sep
2. Bundesliga
Hannover 96
Karlsruher
Predictions
13:00 - Fri 04 Sep
Ligue 1
Lyon
Auxerre
Predictions
13:00 - Fri 04 Sep
Danish Superliga
Viborg
Lyngby
Predictions
13:00 - Fri 04 Sep
Eliteserien
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
Predictions
13:00 - Fri 04 Sep
Eliteserien
Aalesund
Start
Predictions
Where to Bet on American Football Games
Where to Trade American Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.