Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Sep 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Steelers

The Atlanta Falcons battle the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 13.

The Falcons should give a good account of themselves against the Steelers and the prediction is to bet the underdogs against the spread. The +5.5 looks attractive and -105 is available.

Atlanta Falcons finished the 2025 regular season with an 8-9 record after claiming a 19-17 home win against New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 18. The Falcons moved the ball for 208 yards, with 159 through the air and 49 on the ground. They struck once through the air while producing 14 first downs.

Pittsburgh Steelers posted a 10-7 regular-season record before advancing to the playoffs, where they suffered a 30-6 home loss against Houston Texans at Acrisure Stadium in the Wild Card Round. The Steelers finished with 175 yards, including 112 passing and 63 rushing yards. They picked up 13 first downs and allowed 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Steelers beat the Falcons in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 18-10 scoreline at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

201.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aaron Rodgers

212.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Falcons vs Steelers Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Falcons vs Steelers, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident of the Falcons staying close in this NFL battle, with our pick being that the Dirty Birds will cover the spread. The +5.5 line looks generous at odds of -105.

Our NFL predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Falcons vs Steelers stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 4 consecutive games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Steelers in 4 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Steelers in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Steelers in 15 of their last 20 games.

Falcons +5.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There’s always the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but shorter odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Falcons +5.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 11, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 201.5 Passing Yards -114

Tua Tagovailoa (Falcons) can be backed at -114 to surpass 201.5 passing yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.

Latest Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+2200

First

+8000

Passing Yards

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-128

---

Kyle Pitts Over 37.5 Receiving Yards -114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons) is available at -114 to accumulate over 37.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Kyle Pitts Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+390

First

+1900

Receiving Yards

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 23 - 24 Steelers

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Steelers to claim a 24-23 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

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Falcons vs Steelers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Pittsburgh Steelers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -303 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 75% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Atlanta Falcons, you will find +245 about the underdogs.

6.5 is the spread and 40.5 is the total points line. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 40.5, it’s -112.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League wagers. The top betting apps have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Falcons

+245

Steelers

-303

Point Spread

Falcons +6.5

-110

Steelers -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 40.5

-108

Over 40.5

-112

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Bijan Robinson at +500. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-120

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+120

Rico Dowdle (Steelers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+125

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+185

Michael Pittman Jr. (Steelers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+390

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+390

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+600

Germie Bernard (Steelers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+700

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+650

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+800

Kaden Wetjen (Steelers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1200

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1200

Olamide Zaccheaus (Falcons)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Robert Tonyan (Steelers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1400

Austin Hooper (Falcons)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Zachariah Branch (Falcons)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1200

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1500

Eli Heidenreich (Steelers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1600

Tua Tagovailoa (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Riley Nowakowski (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Michael Pittman Jr. (Steelers)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Rico Dowdle (Steelers)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 73.5

-114

Under 73.5

-114

Rico Dowdle (Steelers)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Tua Tagovailoa (Falcons)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-128

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-120

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 212.5

-114

Under 212.5

-114

Tua Tagovailoa (Falcons)

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Steelers Have Collected Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Steelers have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, posting 21.00 points per contest while yielding 22.10.

The Falcons own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 20.70 points per contest and conceding 22.50.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O40.5	U40.5
Steelers Home Stats		5-5	43.10	21.00	22.10	6	4
Falcons Away Stats		4-6	43.20	20.70	22.50	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O40.5 = Games Over 40.5 Points
• U40.5 = Games Under 40.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 40.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 40.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 40.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 40.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.10 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.70 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.20 Yds. Allowed 362.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 127.50 Yds. Allowed 126.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.70 Yds. Allowed 236.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 20.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.30 Yds. Gained 38.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 306.60 Yds. Allowed 340.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 112.10 Yds. Allowed 124.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.50 Yds. Allowed 216.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 18.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.30 Yds. Gained 52.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 337.40 Yds. Allowed 322.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 129.90 Yds. Allowed 142.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 207.50 Yds. Allowed 180.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.60. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.90 Yds. Gained 44.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 284.50 Yds. Allowed 355.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 90.10 Yds. Allowed 111.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.40 Yds. Allowed 244.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.70 Yds. Gained 50.10 Yds

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