Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Buccaneers

The Atlanta Falcons square off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this Week 15 Thursday Night Football matchup at Raymond James Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, December 11.

Our best bet is the Falcons at +4.5 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Buccaneers would mean our wager at -110 lands a return.

Atlanta Falcons have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Seattle Seahawks by a 37-9 scoreline at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons put up 274 yards, split between 154 passing and 120 rushing yards. They allowed 20 first downs and picked up 15.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers were defeated last time out. Raymond James Stadium saw them beaten at home to New Orleans Saints by a 24-20 scoreline. The Buccaneers recorded 301 total yards, made up of 122 through the air and 179 on the ground. They moved the chains 19 times and scored 2 TD’s. One passing and one rushing touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bucs beat the Falcons when the teams last met. It was a 23-20 scoreline at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Bucs winning six times.

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins

206.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Baker Mayfield

221.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

This expert Falcons vs Buccaneers betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that the Falcons can outperform their odds in this NFL matchup. It leads us to a bet on the spread considering that a generous +4.5 has been chalked up at -110.

Our expert NFL predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Falcons vs Buccaneers stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 8 of their last 13 games this season.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Falcons in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 5 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 11 of their last 13 games this season.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 6 consecutive games against Falcons.

Falcons +4.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

The Winning Margin lines allow you to bet on the Falcons to claim a victory by a certain number of points. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to the spread.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Game Prediction

Falcons +4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 10, 02:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD -154

The odds for Bijan Robinson (Falcons) to hit the end zone are -154. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Bijan Robinson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-115

First

+500

Receiving Yards

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 74.5

-112

Under 74.5

-112

---

Rachaad White Over 16.5 Rushing Yards -114

Rachaad White (Falcons) can be backed at -114 to go over 16.5 rushing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Rushing Yards bet.

Latest Rachaad White Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+370

First

+1900

Receiving Yards

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 23 - 24 Buccaneers

We’re expecting a close matchup so it might be worth going for the Buccaneers to win by a 24-23 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are regarded as having a 69% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -227. At +185, Atlanta Falcons are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 47.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those who wager Under 47.5 can get -110.

You can find a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup, with the best NFL sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Explore the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Falcons

+185

Buccaneers

-227

Point Spread

Falcons +5.5

-108

Buccaneers -5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Those interested in favorite Bijan Robinson to score the first touchdown are able to get +500. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -115.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-115

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+125

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+165

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+190

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+220

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+230

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+350

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+290

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+460

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+370

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+430

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+600

Dylan Drummond (Falcons)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+600

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+850

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+850

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1200

Devin Culp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1100

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Deven Thompkins (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Jamal Agnew (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+6000

Ryan Miller (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 36.5

-112

Under 36.5

-112

David Sills V (Falcons)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Dylan Drummond (Falcons)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 74.5

-112

Under 74.5

-112

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 57.5

-112

Under 57.5

-112

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 0.5

+126

Under 0.5

-161

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 221.5

-112

Under 221.5

-112

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 206.5

-112

Under 206.5

-112

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NFL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live team, score and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Bucs With Six Wins in Previous Ten Home Games

The Bucs have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.00 points on average and giving up 21.50.

The Falcons have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 18.80 points scored and 22.90 points allowed.

The last Raymond James Stadium meeting saw the Falcons beat the Bucs 31-26. In the previous 6 head-to-head matchups at Raymond James Stadium, both teams have come away with three wins.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Buccaneers Home Stats		6-4	48.50	27.00	21.50	6	4
Falcons Away Stats		3-7	41.70	18.80	22.90	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.00 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.80 pts and allowed 22.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.70 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.00 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 327.40 Yds. Allowed 351.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.90 Yds. Allowed 141.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 208.50 Yds. Allowed 209.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 20.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.30 Yds. Gained 46.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.80 Yds. Allowed 354.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.50 Yds. Allowed 109.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 202.30 Yds. Allowed 245.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.20. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.60. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 33.70 Yds. Gained 53.50 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 331.30 Yds. Allowed 325.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 136.20 Yds. Allowed 138.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 195.10 Yds. Allowed 187.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 20.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.10 Yds. Gained 49.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 367.60 Yds. Allowed 307.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 135.10 Yds. Allowed 96.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.50 Yds. Allowed 211.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 17.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.00 Yds. Gained 57.00 Yds

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