Bears vs Packers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Bears vs Packers Predictions

Best Bet

Over 45.5 Points @ -110

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The total line of 45.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -110. We can see the Packers and the Bears combining to go bigger.

Our experts have picked out a Best Bet for Bears vs Packers, alongside Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the full breakdown and reasoning behind each pick.

Bears vs Packers Preview

The Chicago Bears go up against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 11.

Chicago Bears claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 23-12 triumph against New York Jets at Soldier Field made it back-to-back wins. The Bears moved the ball for 492 yards, including 260 passing and 232 rushing yards. The offense picked up 34 first downs along with two touchdowns.

Green Bay Packers triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Tampa Bay Buccaneers were beaten 17-14 at Raymond James Stadium. The Packers finished with 283 total yards, breaking down to 197 passing and 86 rushing yards. They moved the chains 15 times and crossed the goal line twice.

H2H: Pack Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

The Bears have beaten the Pack in their last two matchups, winning by 22-16 (OT) and 31-27 scorelines. Both encounters were played at Soldier Field. It’s been seven Pack wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Tyson Bagent

216.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jordan Love

233.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

We’re heading to the totals after finding that the line is set at a generous 45.5 points. Expect this number to be surpassed at -110 for this NFL battle.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 45.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Bears games on the road.
• The 45.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Bears games on the road.
• The 45.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Packers games at home.
• The 45.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Packers games.
• The 45.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Packers games.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making NFL picks. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our predictions.

Over 45.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Over 45.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyson Bagent Over 216.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Tyson Bagent (Bears) to surpass 216.5 passing yards stand at -114. The line for QB Passing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.

Latest Tyson Bagent Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

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Kyle Monangai Over 51.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Kyle Monangai (Bears) to reach over 51.5 rushing yards stand at -114. We're confident in him covering the Player Rushing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Kyle Monangai Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bears 31 - 23 Packers

If you want to take a chance on a correct score wager, then the Bears to enjoy a 31-23 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

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Bears vs Packers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Green Bay Packers have been given Moneyline odds of +106 against Chicago Bears who are -123. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 55% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 45.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 45.5, there are odds of -110.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League wagers. The top betting apps have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Bears

-123

Packers

+106

Point Spread

Bears -1.5

-110

Packers +1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 45.5

-110

Over 45.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson (Packers)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Matthew Golden (Packers)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Colston Loveland (Bears)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Skyy Moore (Packers)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Cole Kmet (Bears)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Packers)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 84.5

-114

Under 84.5

-114

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Kaleb Johnson (Packers)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Tyson Bagent (Bears)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 233.5

-114

Under 233.5

-114

Tyson Bagent (Bears)

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Pack Sitting on Five Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Pack own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 21.20 points per contest while yielding 20.20.

The Bears have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 29.50 points on average and giving up 31.10.

The Pack defeated the Bears 28-21 when the teams last met at Lambeau Field. From the last 7 head-to-head meetings at Lambeau Field, the Pack have claimed six wins, with the Bears posting one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Packers Home Stats		5-5	41.40	21.20	20.20	4	6
Bears Away Stats		6-4	60.60	29.50	31.10	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
• U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Bears Stats

Green Bay Packers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 19.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 31.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 20.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 404.90 Yds. Allowed 339.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 150.50 Yds. Allowed 118.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 254.40 Yds. Allowed 221.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.10. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.20 Yds. Gained 46.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 321.70 Yds. Allowed 362.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 96.20 Yds. Allowed 147.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 225.50 Yds. Allowed 215.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.80. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 66.10 Yds. Gained 52.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 399.10 Yds. Allowed 394.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 168.70 Yds. Allowed 140.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 230.40 Yds. Allowed 253.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 4.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.30. Allowed 21.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.40 Yds. Gained 45.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.20 Yds. Allowed 289.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.60 Yds. Allowed 128.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.60 Yds. Allowed 161.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 18.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.20 Yds. Gained 40.60 Yds

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