Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Bengals vs Dolphins Predictions

Best Bet

Bengals -7 @ -105

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Back the Bengals against the spread, with a generous betting line of -7 that they get the better of the Dolphins. There are odds of -105 that are currently on offer for this value pick.

Get our preferred Bengals vs Dolphins betting predictions, highlighting our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Head further down the page to find the detailed evaluation of each play.

Bengals vs Dolphins Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals square off against the Miami Dolphins in this Week 5 game at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 11.

Cincinnati's receiving corps faces uncertainty after Ja'Marr Chase entered concussion protocol and Tee Higgins suffered an adductor injury against Jacksonville. Chase returned to limited practice Thursday, but his availability remains unclear. That could complicate Joe Burrow's passing attack against a Miami team looking to improve its defensive performance and put more pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

The Cincinnati Bengals are 2-2 after suffering consecutive defeats, most recently falling 22-17 to the Jacksonville Jaguars at Paycor Stadium. Cincinnati generated 437 yards of total offense, including 414 net passing yards and just 23 rushing yards. The Bengals recorded 26 first downs and scored two touchdowns, but their pass-heavy offense couldn't prevent a second straight loss.

Joe Burrow completed 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, while also rushing for a touchdown. Tee Higgins led Cincinnati's receiving corps with 11 catches for 157 yards, although he exited late with an adductor injury. Ja'Marr Chase added three receptions for 27 yards before leaving in the second quarter with a concussion, while Chase Brown was held to just 10 rushing yards on nine carries.

The Miami Dolphins are 0-4 after suffering their fourth consecutive defeat, losing 15-10 to the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Miami managed just 198 yards of total offense, comprising 77 net passing yards and 121 rushing yards. The Dolphins recorded only eight first downs and scored one touchdown, with all 10 points coming in the third quarter.

Malik Willis completed nine of 17 passes for 85 yards without a touchdown or interception, while adding 11 rushing yards on two carries. Ollie Gordon II provided Miami's biggest offensive contribution, rushing for 100 yards and a touchdown on nine carries, including a 53-yard run. Malik Washington led the receiving corps with five catches for 67 yards, while rookie linebacker Jacob Rodriguez recorded a franchise rookie-record 18 tackles.

H2H: Bengals Have Won Last Two Meetings

The Bengals have won their last two meetings with the Dolphins, recording a 45-21 road victory at Hard Rock Stadium in December 2025 after a 27-15 home win in September 2022. The teams have split their last four encounters, while Cincinnati has won four of the last six.

Quarterbacks

Joe Burrow

252.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Malik Willis

190.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s an opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Bengals at -7 in this NFL battle. We can get odds of -105 and this is our best game pick.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -7 line has been covered by Bengals in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 3 of their last 4 games this season.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 2 consecutive games against Bengals.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NFL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Bengals -7 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back the Bengals to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

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Bengals -7 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Willis Under 190.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Malik Willis (Dolphins) to have less than 190.5 passing yards are -114. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.

Latest Malik Willis Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 190.5

-114

Under 190.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

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Chris Bell Under 33.5 Receiving Yards -114

Chris Bell (Dolphins) is priced at -114 to finish with fewer than 33.5 receiving yards. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Chris Bell Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bengals 31 - 20 Dolphins

If you want to take a chance on a correct score wager, then the Bengals to enjoy a 31-20 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

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Bengals vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cincinnati Bengals are -323 favorites and that means a 76% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Miami Dolphins are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +260.

The spread is currently 7, with the total points line at 43.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. The Over 43.5 selection is available to back at -110.

When it comes to the National Football League, the best sportsbooks deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the bet that fits your view of the matchup.

Moneyline

Bengals

-323

Dolphins

+260

Point Spread

Bengals -7

-105

Dolphins +7

-115

Total Points

Under 43.5

-110

Over 43.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Dolphins)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Chase Brown (Bengals)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Samaje Perine (Bengals)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Joe Burrow (Bengals)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Passing Yards

Joe Burrow (Bengals)

Over 252.5

-114

Under 252.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 190.5

-114

Under 190.5

-114

Dolphins Sitting on Five Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Dolphins own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 21.80 points on average and giving up 24.40.

The Bengals are 4-6 in their last 10 road games, averaging 21.80 points scored and 26.30 points allowed.

The Bengals beat the Dolphins 45-21 when the teams last met at Hard Rock Stadium. In 3 recent head-to-head matchups at Hard Rock Stadium, the Dolphins have notched two victories, while the Bengals have recorded one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Dolphins Home Stats		5-5	46.20	21.80	24.40	5	5
Bengals Away Stats		4-6	48.10	21.80	26.30	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cincinnati Bengals Stats

Miami Dolphins Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.30 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.70 pts and allowed 25.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 20.50 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 362.50 Yds. Allowed 329.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 95.40 Yds. Allowed 118.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 267.10 Yds. Allowed 210.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.40. Allowed 17.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.60 Yds. Gained 52.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 287.90 Yds. Allowed 342.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.90 Yds. Allowed 111.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 166.00 Yds. Allowed 230.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.30. Allowed 20.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 46.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 278.20 Yds. Allowed 387.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 77.50 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.70 Yds. Allowed 257.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.00. Allowed 22.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.00 Yds. Gained 60.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 332.60 Yds. Allowed 364.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.10 Yds. Allowed 119.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 199.50 Yds. Allowed 245.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.60. Allowed 20.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.50 Yds. Gained 52.50 Yds

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