Patriots vs Bears Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Oct 2026

Patriots vs Bears Predictions

Best Bet

Under 50.5 Points @ -110

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The total line looks too big at 50.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that the Bears and the Patriots don’t produce too many fireworks.

We've selected our Best Bet for Patriots vs Bears, along with Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into the sections below for a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.

Patriots vs Bears Preview

The New England Patriots go up against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, October 22.

New England Patriots claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 26-19 triumph against New York Jets at Gillette Stadium made it three straight wins. The Patriots moved the ball for 383 yards, with 235 through the air and 148 on the ground. They produced 22 first downs and crossed the goal line 3 times.

Chicago Bears have enjoyed back-to-back home wins. In their last game, they beat Atlanta Falcons 31-23 on the road at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Bears recorded 368 total yards, made up of 270 through the air and 98 on the ground. They picked up 20 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

H2H: 19-3 Victory for Pats in Previous H2H Clash

The Pats won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 19-3 victory was registered against the Bears at Soldier Field.

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

251.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Caleb Williams

245.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Under 50.5 points could be on the money for this NFL matchup. Our pick is based on a low-scoring game and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Patriots games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Patriots games on the road.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Bears games at home.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Bears games at home.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Bears games.

Our NFL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Under 50.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

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Under 50.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD -110

You can back Rhamondre Stevenson (Pats) at -110 to break the plane of the end zone. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick, and we believe it's an attractive wager for him to punch it in.

Latest Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-110

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

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Luther Burden III Under 56.5 Receiving Yards -114

Luther Burden III (Bears) is priced at -114 to have less than 56.5 receiving yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Luther Burden III Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+190

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots 20 - 28 Bears

Should you want to go for a selection at huge odds, head to the correct score lines where the Bears can be backed speculatively to achieve a 28-20 victory.

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Patriots vs Bears Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Chicago Bears at -154 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 61% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that New England Patriots are least likely to win at +130.

The spread currently stands at 3 and the total points line is 50.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 50.5, there are odds of -110.

When it comes to the National Football League, the best sportsbooks deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the bet that fits your view of the matchup.

Moneyline

Patriots

+130

Bears

-154

Point Spread

Patriots +3

-115

Bears -3

-105

Total Points

Under 50.5

-110

Over 50.5

-110

Those interested in favorite D'Andre Swift to score the first touchdown are able to get +420. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -161.

Touchdown

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

First TD

+420

Anytime TD

-161

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-110

A.J. Brown (Patriots)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+135

Rome Odunze (Bears)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+170

Luther Burden III (Bears)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+190

Colston Loveland (Bears)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+175

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+220

Caleb Williams (Bears)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+310

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+350

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+320

Romeo Doubs (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+330

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+380

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+460

Cole Kmet (Bears)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Sam Roush (Bears)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+800

Zavion Thomas (Bears)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1500

Jahdae Walker (Bears)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1700

Cameron Latu (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Tanner Arkin (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Zavier Scott (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown (Patriots)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Colston Loveland (Bears)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Cole Kmet (Bears)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-128

Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Passing Yards

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 251.5

-114

Under 251.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 245.5

-114

Under 245.5

-114

Bears Have Picked Up Seven Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Bears have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 22.50 points on average and giving up 16.10.

The Pats have a 8-2 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 23.50 points per contest while yielding 19.00.

When the teams last met at Soldier Field, the Pats beat the Bears 19-3.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Bears Home Stats		7-3	38.60	22.50	16.10	2	8
Patriots Away Stats		8-2	42.50	23.50	19.00	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

Chicago Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.30 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 19.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.20 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.50 pts and allowed 16.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 341.10 Yds. Allowed 276.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 125.50 Yds. Allowed 90.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.60 Yds. Allowed 186.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.00 TD. Allowed 0.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 17.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.10. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.00 Yds. Gained 46.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 390.20 Yds. Allowed 350.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 139.20 Yds. Allowed 107.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 251.00 Yds. Allowed 242.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.50 Yds. Gained 46.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 364.50 Yds. Allowed 298.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.10 Yds. Allowed 108.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 241.40 Yds. Allowed 190.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.00 Yds. Gained 45.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 377.60 Yds. Allowed 319.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 137.40 Yds. Allowed 121.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 240.20 Yds. Allowed 198.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.10. Allowed 17.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.00. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.40 Yds. Gained 43.80 Yds

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