Patriots vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Nov 2026

Patriots vs Lions Predictions

Best Bet

Lions -2.5 @ -120

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The Lions should be taken against the spread at -2.5 with our prediction being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory over the Patriots. Back them at the odds of -120 that are available.

We’ve locked in our Patriots vs Lions predictions, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Head further down the page for detailed analysis and the reasoning behind the plays.

Patriots vs Lions Preview

The New England Patriots go up against the Detroit Lions at FC Bayern Munich Arena, with kickoff scheduled for 09:30 on Sunday, November 15.

New England Patriots were beaten 45-27 at Gillette Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Green Bay Packers. The Patriots put up 387 total yards, made up of 293 through the air and 94 on the ground. They picked up 22 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

Detroit Lions got a fourth straight win in their last game. It was a 19-9 road triumph at Hard Rock Stadium when meeting Miami Dolphins. The Lions moved the ball for 270 yards, with 168 through the air and 102 on the ground. The offense produced 16 first downs and scored one touchdown.

H2H: 29-0 Victory for Pats in Pair’s Last Battle

The Pats won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 29-0 triumph when facing the Lions at Gillette Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

262.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jared Goff

268.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Lions at -2.5 in this NFL matchup. We can get odds of -120 and this is our best pick.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by Lions in 4 consecutive games.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by Lions in 5 of their last 8 games this season.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by Lions in 6 of their last 10 games.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our predictions.

Lions -2.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

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Lions -2.5 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Maye Under 262.5 Passing Yards -114

Drake Maye (Pats) is priced at -114 to end with fewer than 262.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+300

First

+1900

Passing Yards

Over 262.5

-114

Under 262.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

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Jahmyr Gibbs Under 92.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Jahmyr Gibbs (Pats) at -114 to finish with fewer than 92.5 rushing yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Rushing Yards market.

Latest Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-250

First

+310

Receiving Yards

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 92.5

-114

Under 92.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots 17 - 24 Lions

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Lions on the correct score lines. For example, a 24-17 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

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Patriots vs Lions Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Detroit Lions odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -152 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 60% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +128 about New England Patriots.

2.5 is the spread and 49.5 is the total points line. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The best NFL sportsbooks offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Patriots

+128

Lions

-152

Point Spread

Patriots +2.5

-100

Lions -2.5

-120

Total Points

Under 49.5

-110

Over 49.5

-110

Jahmyr Gibbs is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +310. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -250.

Touchdown

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

First TD

+310

Anytime TD

-250

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-100

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

-105

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

-105

Jameson Williams (Lions)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+185

Sam LaPorta (Lions)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+200

A.J. Brown (Patriots)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+200

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+240

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+260

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+270

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+300

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+330

Lan Larison (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+430

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+450

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+470

Sione Vaki (Lions)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+470

Brock Wright (Lions)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Jared Goff (Lions)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1300

Tyler Conklin (Lions)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Jackson Meeks (Lions)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Tanner Arkin (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Cameron Latu (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

DeAndre Carter (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1200

Tay Martin (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jacob Saylors (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1200

Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Jameson Williams (Lions)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

A.J. Brown (Patriots)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Sam LaPorta (Lions)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 92.5

-114

Under 92.5

-114

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Sione Vaki (Lions)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-135

Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 268.5

-114

Under 268.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 262.5

-114

Under 262.5

-114

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

Detroit Lions Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 23.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.70 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.10 pts and allowed 22.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 365.60 Yds. Allowed 329.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.80 Yds. Allowed 101.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.80 Yds. Allowed 228.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.00 Yds. Gained 53.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 370.20 Yds. Allowed 327.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.20 Yds. Allowed 97.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.00 Yds. Allowed 229.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.70 Yds. Gained 48.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 361.80 Yds. Allowed 311.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.40 Yds. Allowed 116.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.40 Yds. Allowed 194.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.60 Yds. Gained 49.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 384.80 Yds. Allowed 367.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 135.40 Yds. Allowed 104.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.40 Yds. Allowed 263.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.80. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.70 Yds. Gained 53.90 Yds

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