Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2025

Fierce São Paulo rivals Palmeiras and Corinthians battle it out in the Derby Paulista at Arena Barueri.

Corinthians with a +0.5 goal start at -119 looks like a confident play. The visitors should be able to triumph or draw against Palmeiras, with this Asian Handicap pick looking an attractive option and we expect the line to be covered.

Palmeiras triumphed in their last Série A game. It was on their travels where Sport Recife were beaten 2-1. The Big Green recorded 50% possession and managed four shots on target, with Jose Lopez and Joaquin Piquerez scoring one goal each.

On Wednesday night, Palmeiras won 1-0 when hosting Paraguayan Primera División side Cerro Porteño in the Copa Libertadores.

Corinthians won their previous league game, beating Vasco da Gama at home. It was a 3-0 victory. Ramon Diaz's side were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded three shots on goal, while Yuri Alberto, Memphis Depay and Joao Victor (own goal) were all on target.

In their last outing, Corinthians drew 1-1 away with Colombian Categoria Primera A outfit América de Cali in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Corinthians and Palmeiras saw the former win at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline. The past 10 H2H games have featured six triumphs for Palmeiras, two for Corinthians and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	38	23	7	8	66	33	33	66:33	76
13	Corinthians	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5	42:47	47

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Abel Ferreira's team have averaged 54.7% possession and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 3.8 corners from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Estevao and Raphael Veiga lead the way with 3 goals, while Jose Lopez has 2. Richard Rios, Estevao and Vanderlan have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Corinthians have 9 victories and 1 draw, averaging 11.0 attempts, 6.2 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Timão average 53.3% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Yuri Alberto has top scored with 8, followed by Memphis Depay and Rodrigo Garro on 7 and 4. Rodrigo Garro has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Weverton (GK), Bruno Fuchs, Gustavo Gomez, Micael, Felipe Anderson, Richard Rios, Emiliano Martinez, Joaquin Piquerez, Estevao, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque.

Corinthians confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Matheus Donelli (GK), Matheuzinho, Andre Ramalho Silva, Caca, Bidu, Andre Carrillo, Raniele, Breno Bidon, Jose Andres Martinez, Memphis Depay, Yuri Alberto.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re taking Corinthians on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Série A encounter, with this wager looking like value at -119.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Palmeiras vs Corinthians league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Corinthians in all of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Corinthians in all of their last 5 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Corinthians in 12 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 consecutive games at home.

According to the bookies, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

In a mission to bag bigger odds, there’s the possibility to move the line. There are lots of choices when taking this option, so you can make the selection that you like best.

Our Match Prediction

Corinthians Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -119 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 2 Corinthians

There are odds of +1700 that the two teams play out a 2-2 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Corners Prediction

Palmeiras Under 6.5 Corners -138

In the past 5 Palmeiras games, there’s been 4 occasions where they’ve not covered the 6.5 corners line, with Corinthians conceding under 6.5 corners in seven consecutive matches. On this basis, we can take a price of -138 that this Palmeiras Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

9.80 6.00 3.80

Home

10.00 7.20 2.80

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Corinthians

Total

10.30 4.50 5.80

Home

10.40 5.00 5.40

Away

10.20 4.50 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Palmeiras Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Corinthians Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+650

2

+265

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Odds

Palmeiras are the shortest price to win this Serie A game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 60% probability due to their -149 betting odds. Corinthians are the +430 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

The leading football betting sites allow customers to place a Bet Builder when it comes to Série A matches. Simply pick out the selections that you fancy and then combine them together on your bet slip.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+260

2

+430

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+107

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-385

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+114

No

-161

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Palmeiras vs Corinthians team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

We’ve got details of the Série A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Palmeiras Team Page Corinthians Team Page

Top Football Pages