Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Aug 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury
The Atlanta Dream square off against the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, August 22.
It’s time to go for the Dream against the spread, especially with a generous -5.5 line at odds of -110. Our betting prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved against the Mercury.
Atlanta Dream won their previous game 124-88. This was a road victory at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.
Phoenix Mercury were defeated last time out. Mortgage Matchup Center saw them beaten at home to Portland Fire by a 88-85 scoreline.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 96-82 win for the Dream at Gateway Center Arena when they last played the Mercury. It’s been five victories on the bounce for the Dream when playing the Mercury. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
Dream
|
23 | 13 | 3283 | 3086 | 197 | 12-6 | 11-7 | 2W |
11
Mercury
|
13 | 23 | 3020 | 3148 | -128 | 5-11 | 8-12 | 1L |
Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury betting preview covers it all.
Game Prediction
Our pick is that Dream will gain the upper hand in this WNBA matchup. This leads us to backing them against the spread at -110, with the -5.5 line offering lots of appeal.
The WNBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.
Key Dream vs Mercury stats:
Dream -5.5 Probability
According to the top basketball betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Angel Reese (Dream) is available at -127 to have Over 2.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.
Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds
Rhyne Howard (Dream) can be backed to have Over 3.5 assists at -135. We’re tempted to back her to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Latest Rhyne Howard Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Dream -5.5. We’ve also gone for Under 175.5 and Angel Reese (Dream) to get Over 2.5 assists.
A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
90
-
81
Mercury
There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Dream to enjoy a 90-81 winning scoreline.
Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Atlanta Dream odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -208 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 68% chance of winning. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +168 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 175.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 175.5 can get -110.
You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Kahleah Copper is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -108 that she gets Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.
- WNBA: 06/08 2026 Mercury 82 Dream 96
- WNBA: 24/05 2026 Mercury 80 Dream 82
- WNBA: 11/08 2025 Dream 74 Mercury 66
- WNBA: 02/08 2025 Mercury 72 Dream 95
- WNBA: 24/07 2025 Dream 90 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 04/09 2024 Dream 66 Mercury 74
- WNBA: 24/08 2024 Mercury 82 Dream 80
- WNBA: 22/08 2024 Mercury 63 Dream 72
- WNBA: 19/05 2024 Dream 85 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 30/08 2023 Mercury 76 Dream 94
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Atlanta Dream Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 182.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 175.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 175.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 96.00 pts and allowed 86.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.90 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 172.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 175.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.70 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
31 | 7 | 3505 | 3168 | 337 | 14-5 | 17-2 | 6W |
2
Valkyries
|
25 | 11 | 2971 | 2758 | 213 | 15-5 | 10-6 | 2L |
3
Aces
|
25 | 13 | 3443 | 3310 | 133 | 12-7 | 13-6 | 1W |
4
Fever
|
24 | 13 | 3554 | 3348 | 206 | 13-6 | 11-7 | 1L |
|
5
Dream
|
23 | 13 | 3283 | 3086 | 197 | 12-6 | 11-7 | 2W |
6
Liberty
|
22 | 15 | 3339 | 3227 | 112 | 12-5 | 10-10 | 1L |
7
Mystics
|
21 | 15 | 2952 | 2976 | -24 | 13-7 | 8-8 | 1L |
8
Wings
|
21 | 16 | 3275 | 3195 | 80 | 11-6 | 10-10 | 1W |
9
Fire
|
15 | 20 | 3036 | 3190 | -154 | 8-10 | 7-10 | 2W |
10
Sky
|
15 | 22 | 3230 | 3302 | -72 | 10-9 | 5-13 | 3W |
|
11
Mercury
|
13 | 23 | 3020 | 3148 | -128 | 5-11 | 8-12 | 1L |
12
Sparks
|
12 | 24 | 3168 | 3370 | -202 | 5-12 | 7-12 | 6L |
13
Tempo
|
10 | 25 | 3069 | 3300 | -231 | 6-12 | 4-13 | 12L |
14
Sun
|
9 | 26 | 2777 | 3056 | -279 | 6-12 | 3-14 | 1L |
15
Storm
|
7 | 30 | 3080 | 3268 | -188 | 5-13 | 2-17 | 2L |
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