Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury

The Atlanta Dream square off against the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, August 22.

It’s time to go for the Dream against the spread, especially with a generous -5.5 line at odds of -110. Our betting prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved against the Mercury.

Atlanta Dream won their previous game 124-88. This was a road victory at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated last time out. Mortgage Matchup Center saw them beaten at home to Portland Fire by a 88-85 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 96-82 win for the Dream at Gateway Center Arena when they last played the Mercury. It’s been five victories on the bounce for the Dream when playing the Mercury. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L

View Full Standings

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Dream will gain the upper hand in this WNBA matchup. This leads us to backing them against the spread at -110, with the -5.5 line offering lots of appeal.

The WNBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Dream vs Mercury stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games against Dream.

Dream -5.5 Probability

According to the top basketball betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Dream -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 22, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Angel Reese Over 2.5 Assists -127

Angel Reese (Dream) is available at -127 to have Over 2.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.

Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-125

Under 15.5

-103

Assists

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 12.5

-135

Under 12.5

+105

---

Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 Assists -135

Rhyne Howard (Dream) can be backed to have Over 3.5 assists at -135. We’re tempted to back her to cover the Player Assists line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Rhyne Howard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Assists

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dream 90 - 81 Mercury

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Dream to enjoy a 90-81 winning scoreline.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Atlanta Dream odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -357 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 78% chance of winning. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +270 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 8.5 and the total points line is currently 175.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 175.5 can get -104.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Dream

-357

Mercury

+270

Point Spread

Dream -8.5

-110

Mercury +8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 175.5

-104

Over 175.5

-118

Kahleah Copper is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -109 that she gets Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -119.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 20.5

-109

Under 20.5

-119

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-123

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-100

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 15.5

-125

Under 15.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 11.5

+103

Under 11.5

-133

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 8.5

-119

Under 8.5

-109

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-118

Under 7.5

-110

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+109

Under 8.5

-141

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-100

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+161

Under 2.5

-213

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-105

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-106

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 12.5

-135

Under 12.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-102

Under 8.5

-127

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-115

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+118

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

Kelsey Plum (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+149

Under 2.5

-196

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Dream Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 182.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 175.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 96.00 pts and allowed 86.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.90 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 172.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 175.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.70 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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