Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 May 2026
Liga ACB Betting Preview: Bilbao vs Real Madrid
Bilbao host Real Madrid, with tip-off set for 13:00 on Thursday 14 May.
There’s an opportunity to cover the spread by backing Real Madrid at -6.5. We can get odds of -111 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome Bilbao.
Bilbao suffered a defeat in their last game. A 90-81 scoreline occurred on the road against Força Lleida.
Real Madrid were beaten 101-97 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Breogán.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Madrid have landed consecutive wins over Bilbao. They won both games at home by 88-70 and 82-70 scorelines. In the past 10 games between the teams, Madrid have won eight.
| Liga ACB | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Real Madrid
|
26 | 4 | 2827 | 2547 | 280 | 12-3 | 14-1 | 1L |
9
Bilbao
|
16 | 14 | 2540 | 2592 | -52 | 11-4 | 5-10 | 1L |
Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Head into Bilbao vs Real Madrid with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
Real Madrid really stand out in this Liga ACB game. Back the favorites at -6.5 on the spread with the confidence that they cover the line at -111.
Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest Spanish Liga ACB form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Bilbao vs Real Madrid league stats:
Real -6.5 Probability
The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Looking for more juice from your pick? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.
Smart bettors check the promos first. Browse our updated guide for the best welcome bonuses available today.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Real Madrid -6.5 on the spread, along with Over 172 points and Real Madrid/BTTS Yes on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.
A bet builder is a great way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
Bilbao vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 74% chance of securing victory, Real Madrid are favorites for this Liga ACB game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -278. For those wanting to back Bilbao, you will find +215 about the underdogs.
The spread is 6.5 and the total points line is currently 172. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 172, there are odds of -111.
There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to betting on the Liga ACB and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.
If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.
Among the various options for wagering on the Liga ACB, you will find that micro betting is provided. They focus on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
- Liga ACB: 16/11 2025 Real Madrid 82 Bilbao 70
- Liga ACB: 30/03 2025 Real Madrid 88 Bilbao 70
- Liga ACB: 13/10 2024 Bilbao 83 Real Madrid 79
- Liga ACB: 21/01 2024 Real Madrid 95 Bilbao 80
- Liga ACB: 12/11 2023 Bilbao 84 Real Madrid 87
- Liga ACB: 12/03 2023 Real Madrid 86 Bilbao 65
- Liga ACB: 27/12 2022 Bilbao 80 Real Madrid 85
- Liga ACB: 13/04 2022 Bilbao 79 Real Madrid 67
- Liga ACB: 07/11 2021 Real Madrid 95 Bilbao 61
- Liga ACB: 20/05 2021 Real Madrid 70 Bilbao 59
Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.
Bilbao Stats
Real Madrid Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 177.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 172: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 90.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 186.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 176.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 172: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 97.20 pts and allowed 89.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.00 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
You can watch Liga ACB live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.
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Liga ACB Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Real Madrid
|
26 | 4 | 2827 | 2547 | 280 | 12-3 | 14-1 | 1L |
2
Murcia
|
22 | 8 | 2730 | 2535 | 195 | 13-2 | 9-6 | 1W |
3
Barcelona
|
22 | 9 | 2767 | 2521 | 246 | 12-4 | 10-5 | 4W |
4
Valencia
|
21 | 9 | 2825 | 2502 | 323 | 12-3 | 9-6 | 3L |
5
Baskonia
|
21 | 9 | 2789 | 2613 | 176 | 12-2 | 9-7 | 2W |
6
Joventut
|
17 | 11 | 2358 | 2273 | 85 | 11-3 | 6-8 | 1L |
7
Tenerife
|
17 | 12 | 2571 | 2453 | 118 | 10-4 | 7-8 | 2L |
8
Unicaja
|
16 | 13 | 2555 | 2502 | 53 | 10-6 | 6-7 | 1L |
9
Bilbao
|
16 | 14 | 2540 | 2592 | -52 | 11-4 | 5-10 | 1L |
10
Breogán
|
14 | 17 | 2822 | 2899 | -77 | 7-8 | 7-9 | 2W |
11
Girona
|
13 | 18 | 2675 | 2766 | -91 | 8-8 | 5-10 | 2L |
12
Manresa
|
13 | 18 | 2650 | 2830 | -180 | 8-7 | 5-11 | 1W |
13
Lleida
|
11 | 20 | 2598 | 2793 | -195 | 7-8 | 4-12 | 1L |
14
Burgos
|
9 | 21 | 2678 | 2788 | -110 | 6-9 | 3-12 | 1L |
15
Gran Canaria
|
9 | 21 | 2429 | 2582 | -153 | 4-11 | 5-10 | 1L |
16
Zaragoza
|
9 | 21 | 2608 | 2783 | -175 | 5-10 | 4-11 | 2L |
17
Andorra
|
9 | 21 | 2603 | 2795 | -192 | 6-9 | 3-12 | 2W |
18
Granada
|
6 | 25 | 2562 | 2813 | -251 | 5-11 | 1-14 | 1L |
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Murcia
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Lleida
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Zaragoza
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