Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 May 2026

Liga ACB Betting Preview: Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Bilbao host Real Madrid, with tip-off set for 13:00 on Thursday 14 May.

There’s an opportunity to cover the spread by backing Real Madrid at -6.5. We can get odds of -111 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome Bilbao.

Bilbao suffered a defeat in their last game. A 90-81 scoreline occurred on the road against Força Lleida.

Real Madrid were beaten 101-97 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Breogán.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid have landed consecutive wins over Bilbao. They won both games at home by 88-70 and 82-70 scorelines. In the past 10 games between the teams, Madrid have won eight.

Liga ACB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	26	8	3160	2906	254	12-5	14-3	5L
7  Bilbao	19	15	2884	2924	-40	13-4	6-11	2W

View Full Standings

Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Bilbao vs Real Madrid with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Real Madrid really stand out in this Liga ACB game. Back the favorites at -6.5 on the spread with the confidence that they cover the line at -111.

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest Spanish Liga ACB form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Bilbao vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Madrid in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Madrid in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Madrid in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bilbao in 2 consecutive games against Madrid.

Real -6.5 Probability

The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for more juice from your pick? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Madrid -6.5 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bilbao 83 - 93 Real Madrid

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. Madrid to claim a 93-83 victory is on offer at massive odds.

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Bilbao vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 63% chance of securing victory, Real Madrid are favorites for this Liga ACB game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -167. For those wanting to back Bilbao, you will find +133 about the underdogs.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 173. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 173, there are odds of -112.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to betting on the Liga ACB and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Bilbao

+133

Real Madrid

-167

Point Spread

Bilbao +3.5

-111

Real Madrid -3.5

-111

Total Points

Under 173

-110

Over 173

-112

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

Among the various options for wagering on the Liga ACB, you will find that micro betting is provided. They focus on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Bilbao Stats

Real Madrid Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 177.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 172: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 90.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 186.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 176.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 172: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 97.20 pts and allowed 89.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.00 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Liga ACB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	26	8	3160	2906	254	12-5	14-3	5L
2  Valencia	25	9	3218	2829	389	14-3	11-6	4W
3  Baskonia	25	9	3177	2950	227	15-2	10-7	6W
4  Murcia	25	9	3113	2876	237	15-2	10-7	3W
5  Barcelona	24	10	3046	2815	231	12-5	12-5	1L
6  Joventut	22	12	2906	2766	140	14-3	8-9	1L
7  Bilbao	19	15	2884	2924	-40	13-4	6-11	2W
8  Tenerife	18	16	3040	2940	100	10-7	8-9	1L
9  Unicaja	17	17	2978	2956	22	11-6	6-11	2L
10  Manresa	16	18	2932	3080	-148	10-7	6-11	4W
11  Breogán	15	19	3094	3171	-77	8-9	7-10	2L
12  Girona	14	20	2913	3024	-111	9-8	5-12	1W
13  Burgos	12	22	3049	3152	-103	8-9	4-13	1W
14  Lleida	12	22	2856	3097	-241	8-9	4-13	2L
15  Zaragoza	10	24	2962	3176	-214	5-12	5-12	1W
16  Andorra	10	24	2976	3169	-193	6-11	4-13	1L
17  Gran Canaria	10	24	2764	2932	-168	5-12	5-12	3L
18  Granada	6	28	2848	3153	-305	5-12	1-16	4L

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