Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 May 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty
The Connecticut Sun battle the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, May 8.
We’re sweet on the Liberty who are -11.5 on the spread. The betting favorites should enjoy a big victory against the Sun and cover the line at -110.
Connecticut Sun lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Atlanta Dream 88-72 at Mohegan Sun Arena.
New York Liberty suffered a defeat in their last game. A 79-73 scoreline occurred on the road at Mortgage Matchup Center against Phoenix Mercury.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Liberty have beaten the Sun in the last two matchups. They won 87-78 at Mohegan Sun Arena and triumphed 81-79 at Barclays Center. The Liberty have won eight of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
Sun
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
Discover our expert Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Game Prediction
If you agree with our pick that Liberty can be superior in this WNBA contest, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The big favorites should be capable of covering the -11.5 line.
Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together basketball forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest WNBA stats to shape our predictions.
Key Sun vs Liberty stats:
Liberty -11.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.
Player Prop Picks
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) is available at +124 to score Over 19.5 points. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.
Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds
Jonquel Jones (Liberty) can be backed to rack up Over 14.5 points at -125. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.
Latest Jonquel Jones Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Liberty -11.5 on the spread, combined with Under 160.5 and Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) to score Over 19.5 points.
A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
70
-
85
Liberty
For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Liberty. Backing them to win 85-70 means you can land a potential monster return.
Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
New York Liberty have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -714 favorites for this WNBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 88% chance of winning. Connecticut Sun are the underdogs at +470 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
There is a spread of 11.5 and total points has a line of 160.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Under 160.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
The best betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Breanna Stewart is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -110 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.
- WNBA: 26/08 2025 Sun 79 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 03/08 2025 Liberty 87 Sun 78
- WNBA: 02/08 2025 Liberty 62 Sun 78
- WNBA: 01/06 2025 Sun 52 Liberty 100
- WNBA: 25/08 2024 Sun 72 Liberty 64
- WNBA: 17/07 2024 Sun 74 Liberty 82
- WNBA: 10/07 2024 Liberty 71 Sun 68
- WNBA: 08/06 2024 Liberty 82 Sun 75
- WNBA: 01/10 2023 Liberty 87 Sun 84
- WNBA: 30/09 2023 Liberty 92 Sun 81
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Connecticut Sun Stats
New York Liberty Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 160.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 85.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.00 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 150.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 160.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 75.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 home games
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WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Dream
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
2
Sky
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
3
Sun
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
4
Wings
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
5
Valkyries
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
6
Fever
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
8
Sparks
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
9
Lynx
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
12
Portland Fire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
13
Storm
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
14
Toronto Tempo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
15
Mystics
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
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