Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty

The Connecticut Sun battle the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, May 8.

We’re sweet on the Liberty who are -11.5 on the spread. The betting favorites should enjoy a big victory against the Sun and cover the line at -110.

Connecticut Sun lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Atlanta Dream 88-72 at Mohegan Sun Arena.

New York Liberty suffered a defeat in their last game. A 79-73 scoreline occurred on the road at Mortgage Matchup Center against Phoenix Mercury.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty have beaten the Sun in the last two matchups. They won 87-78 at Mohegan Sun Arena and triumphed 81-79 at Barclays Center. The Liberty have won eight of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Liberty	11	6	1514	1419	95	6-4	5-2	2L
15  Sun	2	15	1346	1526	-180	1-7	1-8	7L

View Full Standings

Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

If you agree with our pick that Liberty can be superior in this WNBA contest, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The big favorites should be capable of covering the -11.5 line.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together basketball forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest WNBA stats to shape our predictions.

Key Sun vs Liberty stats:

• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 2 consecutive games.

Liberty -11.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Game Prediction

Liberty -11.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points +124

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) is available at +124 to score Over 19.5 points. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.

Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

+124

Under 19.5

-161

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+134

Under 5.5

-175

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Jonquel Jones Over 14.5 Points -125

Jonquel Jones (Liberty) can be backed to rack up Over 14.5 points at -125. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Jonquel Jones Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-101

Assists

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+128

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sun 70 - 85 Liberty

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Liberty. Backing them to win 85-70 means you can land a potential monster return.

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Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New York Liberty have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -667 favorites for this WNBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 87% chance of winning. Connecticut Sun are the underdogs at +440 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 10.5 and total points has a line of 159.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Under 159.5, this outcome can be backed at -118.

The best betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Sun

+440

Liberty

-667

Point Spread

Sun +10.5

-114

Liberty -10.5

-106

Total Points

Under 159.5

-118

Over 159.5

-104

Breanna Stewart is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -120 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 19.5

+124

Under 19.5

-161

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-101

Brittney Griner (Sun)

Over 12.5

-106

Under 12.5

-122

Aneesah Morrow (Sun)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Saniya Rivers (Sun)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-112

Saniya Rivers (Sun)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+128

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Aneesah Morrow (Sun)

Over 8.5

-152

Under 8.5

+116

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-101

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+134

Under 5.5

-175

Brittney Griner (Sun)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+107

Saniya Rivers (Sun)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Connecticut Sun Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 160.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 85.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.00 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 160.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 75.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.90 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	13	4	1556	1354	202	6-3	7-1	1L
2  Aces	12	4	1441	1371	70	4-2	8-2	2W
3  Dream	11	4	1353	1246	107	5-2	6-2	3W
4  Liberty	11	6	1514	1419	95	6-4	5-2	2L
5  Wings	10	6	1407	1333	74	6-2	4-4	1W
6  Valkyries	10	7	1424	1349	75	7-3	3-4	2L
7  Fever	9	7	1479	1435	44	6-3	3-4	2L
8  Mystics	8	7	1235	1283	-48	2-3	6-4	3W
9  Sparks	8	8	1414	1461	-47	3-6	5-2	1W
10  Tempo	8	8	1433	1466	-33	4-3	4-5	1W
11  Fire	8	9	1398	1497	-99	6-5	2-4	1W
12  Mercury	5	12	1402	1461	-59	2-6	3-6	1W
13  Sky	4	11	1255	1330	-75	1-6	3-5	5L
14  Storm	3	14	1308	1434	-126	2-6	1-8	10L
15  Sun	2	15	1346	1526	-180	1-7	1-8	7L

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