Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Predictions

Best Bet

Over 236.5 Points @ -112

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The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when the Mavericks clash with the Heat. Our prediction is for Over 236.5 points to be scored at odds of -112.

Our expert Mavericks vs Heat picks deliver our Best Bet alongside a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Navigate to the sections below for the complete analysis.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Preview

The Dallas Mavericks tip off against the Miami Heat in this NBA clash.

Dallas Mavericks were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to San Antonio Spurs by a 122-106 scoreline at American Airlines Center. Sergio De Larrea tallied 21 points, while Marcus Sasser put up 12 and Daniel Gafford 12.

Miami Heat lost on the road in their last game, making it three straight defeats. Charlotte Hornets won 115-110 at Spectrum Center. Davion Mitchell had 22 points and 10 assists, while Bam Adebayo scored 20 points and Pelle Larsson 15.

H2H: 118-108 Win for Mavs in Pair’s Previous Clash

The Mavs beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 118-108 scoreline at American Airlines Center. We’ve seen six Mavs wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L

View Full Standings

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 117.6 points, 43.9 rebounds, 25.3 assists, 9.2 steals and 5.8 blocks while shooting 45.9% from the field and 80.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 123.9 points and 47.0 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 24.0 points and 6.4 rebounds, Ryan Nembhard 5.3 assists and John Poulakidas 2.2 (42.3%) 3-pointers.

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.6 points, 41.7 rebounds, 30.6 assists, 6.2 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 48.8% from the field and 77.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 126.7 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.4 points and 8.4 rebounds, while Davion Mitchell has an average of 6.3 assist and 2.1 (44.7%) 3-pointers.

Best Bet

Over 236.5 points are expected be scored during this NBA contest, with this pick available at odds of -112 and this looks like a bet worth taking.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 236.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Mavs games.
• The 236.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Mavs games.
• The 236.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Heat games at home.
• The 236.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games.
• The 236.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Heat games.

Our basketball picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest NBA team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Over 236.5 Probability

According to the top NBA betting sites, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

The sportsbooks allow you to shoot for bigger odds by moving the line on the Total lines. Choose a number where you’re happy and get more juice.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Over 236.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 120 - 124 Heat

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Heat to win by a 124-120 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Miami Heat are -333 favorites to win and that means a 77% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +265 about Dallas Mavericks.

The spread currently stands at 8.5 and the total points line is 236.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. The Over 236.5 selection is available to back at -112.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+265

Heat

-333

Point Spread

Mavericks +8.5

-106

Heat -8.5

-114

Total Points

Under 236.5

-108

Over 236.5

-112

The Heat own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 122.60 points per contest and conceding 126.40.

The Mavs have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 113.60 points on average and giving up 120.70.

When the teams last met at Kaseya Center, the Heat beat the Mavs 106-102. Over the past 8 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have collected five wins, while the Mavs have three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O236.5	U236.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		4-6	249.00	122.60	126.40	8	2
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	234.30	113.60	120.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O236.5 = Games Over 236.5 Points
• U236.5 = Games Under 236.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 234.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 236.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.60 pts and allowed 123.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.60 pts and allowed 120.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 249.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 249.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 236.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.60 pts and allowed 126.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 122.60 pts and allowed 126.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.00 (80.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.9, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 32.40
• Assists: 25.30
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.70 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (79.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 32.40
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.40 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.40 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.60 (77.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.7, Offensive 10.20, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 30.60
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 6.20
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.80 (77.95%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.5, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 32.10
• Assists: 28.90
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.20

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	3	0	1	118.3	105.7	12.6	1-0	2-0	0-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Rockets	3	0	1	121	111.3	9.7	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	0	1	117	105.5	11.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	0	1	121	97.7	23.3	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	3-0	3W
Thunder	3	0	1	106.7	96.3	10.4	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Hawks	2	1	0.667	124.7	109	15.7	0-1	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hornets	2	1	0.667	102	113.7	-11.7	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	1W
Pacers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.7	4.6	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Wizards	2	1	0.667	118	116	2	1-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Celtics	1	1	0.5	110	112	-2	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Cavaliers	1	1	0.5	115.5	117.5	-2	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	112.5	115.5	-3	1-0	0-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	1	0.5	107	123	-16	1-0	0-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Bulls	1	2	0.333	114.7	128	-13.3	0-1	1-1	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.3	118.3	-6	0-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Spurs	1	2	0.333	112	112	0	0-2	1-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	1W
Jazz	1	2	0.333	115.3	124.7	-9.4	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Nets	0	3	0	111	123.7	-12.7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-3	3L
Warriors	0	3	0	111.7	123	-11.3	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Heat	0	3	0	109	124.7	-15.7	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-3	3L
Bucks	0	3	0	119	129	-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-3	0-3	3L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Knicks	0	3	0	101.7	108	-6.3	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Kings	0	2	0	108	124.5	-16.5	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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