Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions

Best Bet

Wolves -5.5 @ -110

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The Wolves really stand out on the spread. Back them at -5.5 to beat the Mavericks with the confidence that they cover the line at -110.

Our Mavericks vs Wolves betting coverage centers on our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the full breakdown and reasoning behind each pick.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

The Dallas Mavericks tip off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in this NBA clash.

Dallas Mavericks claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 125-122 triumph against Indiana Pacers at American Airlines Center made it three straight wins. Cooper Flagg tallied 43 points, while Kyrie Irving put up 35 and PJ Washington 13.

Minnesota Timberwolves were winners for the fourth straight time in their last game. Landing a 115-100 home victory against Utah Jazz at Target Center. Ayo Dosunmu scored 26 points, while LaMelo Ball finished with 24 and Jaden McDaniels 16.

H2H: 7 Wins for Wolves in Last 10 H2H Encounters

The last head-to-head saw the Wolves claim a 124-94 win over the Mavs at American Airlines Center. The Wolves have racked up six straight victories over the Mavs. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	8	3	0.727	118.1	107	11.1	4-1	4-2	1-0	4-2	7-3	4W
Mavericks	7	4	0.636	114.9	110.3	4.6	5-2	2-2	1-3	3-4	7-3	3W

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 115.4 points, 45.8 rebounds, 27.0 assists, 8.4 steals and 5.8 blocks while shooting 47.5% from the field and 79.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 108.5 points and 41.9 rebounds per contest.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 22.7 points and 6.7 assists, while PJ Washington averages 8.0 rebounds and Kyrie Irving 2.9 (40.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Wolves have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 116.8 points, 48.5 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 8.4 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 67.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 107.1 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 18.3 points, Rudy Gobert 10.6 rebounds and LaMelo Ball 6.0 assists along with 3.2 (38.6%) 3-pointers made.

Best Bet

Our pick is that Wolves are going to cover the -5.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBA showdown.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 4 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 4 consecutive games against Mavs.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Wolves -5.5 Probability

The best NBA sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your wager, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Wolves -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 106 - 116 Timberwolves

The Wolves to win by a 116-106 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Minnesota Timberwolves odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -208 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 68% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Dallas Mavericks are trading at +176.

5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 226.5 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 226.5 at -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, the top sportsbooks let you feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, offering an incredible range of options.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+176

Timberwolves

-208

Point Spread

Mavericks +5.5

-110

Timberwolves -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 226.5

-110

Over 226.5

-110

The Wolves are riding three consecutive victories at Target Center. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 113.80 points on average and giving up 107.10.

The Mavs have gone 3-7 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 111.90 points on offense and surrendering 117.90 on defense.

The last Target Center meeting saw the Wolves beat the Mavs 122-111. The past 10 games between these teams at Target Center are dead even, with five wins apiece.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O226.5	U226.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats		7-3	220.90	113.80	107.10	3	7
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	229.80	111.90	117.90	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O226.5 = Games Over 226.5 Points
• U226.5 = Games Under 226.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 229.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 226.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 226.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.40 pts and allowed 108.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.90 pts and allowed 117.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 220.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 226.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 226.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.80 pts and allowed 107.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 113.80 pts and allowed 107.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.70 (79.57%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.8, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 27.00
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 14.80
• Personal Fouls: 22.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.60 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (79.6%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 12.00, Defensive 32.10
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 11.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.30 (67.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.5, Offensive 14.30, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 26.20
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 15.30
• Personal Fouls: 22.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.70 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.6%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 13.30, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 24.50
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 22.60

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	10	2	0.833	114.3	103.1	11.2	5-0	5-2	4-0	10-1	9-1	5W
76ers	9	3	0.75	110.2	109.2	1	4-2	5-1	2-1	9-3	7-3	1L
Knicks	6	5	0.545	110.3	103.5	6.8	4-3	2-2	1-3	6-5	6-4	1L
Raptors	5	6	0.455	114.5	111.9	2.6	2-3	3-3	0-1	4-2	4-6	2L
Nets	3	8	0.273	110.2	115.3	-5.1	1-3	2-5	0-2	2-7	3-7	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	7	3	0.7	112.7	104.6	8.1	3-2	4-1	0-0	7-2	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	6	6	0.5	116.4	114.3	2.1	4-2	2-4	1-0	5-4	5-5	1W
Pacers	4	8	0.333	111.6	114	-2.4	1-5	3-3	0-1	2-5	3-7	1W
Bulls	1	9	0.1	113.3	128.8	-15.5	0-4	1-5	1-0	1-8	1-9	8L
Bucks	1	11	0.083	106.8	121.3	-14.5	1-6	0-5	1-2	1-8	1-9	8L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	7	5	0.583	118.3	116.2	2.1	3-3	4-2	4-1	7-1	5-5	1L
Heat	5	6	0.455	115.7	120	-4.3	1-3	4-3	1-1	2-2	5-5	2W
Hornets	4	7	0.364	98.8	110.4	-11.6	3-4	1-3	2-2	4-7	3-7	1W
Magic	4	7	0.364	108.5	113.8	-5.3	0-4	4-3	0-2	2-4	4-6	2W
Wizards	4	8	0.333	107.5	113.4	-5.9	2-2	2-6	2-3	4-7	3-7	5L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	8	3	0.727	118.1	107	11.1	4-1	4-2	1-0	4-2	7-3	4W
Thunder	8	3	0.727	111.4	105.9	5.5	5-0	3-3	1-1	5-3	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	7	3	0.7	119.7	112.7	7	2-2	5-1	3-0	7-3	7-3	1W
Nuggets	6	4	0.6	114.5	113.3	1.2	2-2	4-2	0-2	4-4	6-4	1W
Jazz	1	11	0.083	106.4	118.1	-11.7	1-6	0-5	0-2	1-9	0-10	10L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	11	2	0.846	122.2	114.2	8	5-1	6-1	4-1	6-2	8-2	7W
Warriors	8	4	0.667	119.3	111.5	7.8	6-1	2-3	3-2	6-4	8-2	1L
Suns	4	6	0.4	112.8	118.1	-5.3	4-3	0-3	2-1	3-6	4-6	1W
Clippers	2	8	0.2	112.2	118.1	-5.9	2-3	0-5	1-4	2-6	2-8	1L
Kings	1	10	0.091	108.3	121	-12.7	0-6	1-4	0-2	1-8	1-9	4L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	10	2	0.833	119.2	108	11.2	4-2	6-0	2-1	9-2	10-0	10W
Rockets	9	3	0.75	115.4	106.5	8.9	6-1	3-2	2-1	5-3	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	7	4	0.636	117.9	111.9	6	2-4	5-0	0-1	6-3	6-4	1L
Mavericks	7	4	0.636	114.9	110.3	4.6	5-2	2-2	1-3	3-4	7-3	3W
Pelicans	4	8	0.333	116.9	124.3	-7.4	3-4	1-4	1-0	3-6	4-6	4L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	10	2	0.833	114.3	103.1	11.2	5-0	5-2	4-0	10-1	9-1	5W
76ers	9	3	0.75	110.2	109.2	1	4-2	5-1	2-1	9-3	7-3	1L
Pistons	7	3	0.7	112.7	104.6	8.1	3-2	4-1	0-0	7-2	7-3	1W
Hawks	7	5	0.583	118.3	116.2	2.1	3-3	4-2	4-1	7-1	5-5	1L
Knicks	6	5	0.545	110.3	103.5	6.8	4-3	2-2	1-3	6-5	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	6	6	0.5	116.4	114.3	2.1	4-2	2-4	1-0	5-4	5-5	1W
Raptors	5	6	0.455	114.5	111.9	2.6	2-3	3-3	0-1	4-2	4-6	2L
Heat	5	6	0.455	115.7	120	-4.3	1-3	4-3	1-1	2-2	5-5	2W
Hornets	4	7	0.364	98.8	110.4	-11.6	3-4	1-3	2-2	4-7	3-7	1W
Magic	4	7	0.364	108.5	113.8	-5.3	0-4	4-3	0-2	2-4	4-6	2W
Wizards	4	8	0.333	107.5	113.4	-5.9	2-2	2-6	2-3	4-7	3-7	5L
Pacers	4	8	0.333	111.6	114	-2.4	1-5	3-3	0-1	2-5	3-7	1W
Nets	3	8	0.273	110.2	115.3	-5.1	1-3	2-5	0-2	2-7	3-7	1W
Bulls	1	9	0.1	113.3	128.8	-15.5	0-4	1-5	1-0	1-8	1-9	8L
Bucks	1	11	0.083	106.8	121.3	-14.5	1-6	0-5	1-2	1-8	1-9	8L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	11	2	0.846	122.2	114.2	8	5-1	6-1	4-1	6-2	8-2	7W
Spurs	10	2	0.833	119.2	108	11.2	4-2	6-0	2-1	9-2	10-0	10W
Warriors	8	4	0.667	119.3	111.5	7.8	6-1	2-3	3-2	6-4	8-2	1L
Timberwolves	8	3	0.727	118.1	107	11.1	4-1	4-2	1-0	4-2	7-3	4W
Thunder	8	3	0.727	111.4	105.9	5.5	5-0	3-3	1-1	5-3	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	7	3	0.7	119.7	112.7	7	2-2	5-1	3-0	7-3	7-3	1W
Rockets	9	3	0.75	115.4	106.5	8.9	6-1	3-2	2-1	5-3	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	7	4	0.636	117.9	111.9	6	2-4	5-0	0-1	6-3	6-4	1L
Mavericks	7	4	0.636	114.9	110.3	4.6	5-2	2-2	1-3	3-4	7-3	3W
Nuggets	6	4	0.6	114.5	113.3	1.2	2-2	4-2	0-2	4-4	6-4	1W
Suns	4	6	0.4	112.8	118.1	-5.3	4-3	0-3	2-1	3-6	4-6	1W
Pelicans	4	8	0.333	116.9	124.3	-7.4	3-4	1-4	1-0	3-6	4-6	4L
Clippers	2	8	0.2	112.2	118.1	-5.9	2-3	0-5	1-4	2-6	2-8	1L
Kings	1	10	0.091	108.3	121	-12.7	0-6	1-4	0-2	1-8	1-9	4L
Jazz	1	11	0.083	106.4	118.1	-11.7	1-6	0-5	0-2	1-9	0-10	10L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	11	2	0.846	122.2	114.2	8	5-1	6-1	4-1	6-2	8-2	7W
Celtics	10	2	0.833	114.3	103.1	11.2	5-0	5-2	4-0	10-1	9-1	5W
Spurs	10	2	0.833	119.2	108	11.2	4-2	6-0	2-1	9-2	10-0	10W
Rockets	9	3	0.75	115.4	106.5	8.9	6-1	3-2	2-1	5-3	7-3	2W
76ers	9	3	0.75	110.2	109.2	1	4-2	5-1	2-1	9-3	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	8	3	0.727	118.1	107	11.1	4-1	4-2	1-0	4-2	7-3	4W
Thunder	8	3	0.727	111.4	105.9	5.5	5-0	3-3	1-1	5-3	7-3	1L
Pistons	7	3	0.7	112.7	104.6	8.1	3-2	4-1	0-0	7-2	7-3	1W
Trail Blazers	7	3	0.7	119.7	112.7	7	2-2	5-1	3-0	7-3	7-3	1W
Warriors	8	4	0.667	119.3	111.5	7.8	6-1	2-3	3-2	6-4	8-2	1L
Mavericks	7	4	0.636	114.9	110.3	4.6	5-2	2-2	1-3	3-4	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	7	4	0.636	117.9	111.9	6	2-4	5-0	0-1	6-3	6-4	1L
Nuggets	6	4	0.6	114.5	113.3	1.2	2-2	4-2	0-2	4-4	6-4	1W
Hawks	7	5	0.583	118.3	116.2	2.1	3-3	4-2	4-1	7-1	5-5	1L
Knicks	6	5	0.545	110.3	103.5	6.8	4-3	2-2	1-3	6-5	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	6	6	0.5	116.4	114.3	2.1	4-2	2-4	1-0	5-4	5-5	1W
Heat	5	6	0.455	115.7	120	-4.3	1-3	4-3	1-1	2-2	5-5	2W
Raptors	5	6	0.455	114.5	111.9	2.6	2-3	3-3	0-1	4-2	4-6	2L
Suns	4	6	0.4	112.8	118.1	-5.3	4-3	0-3	2-1	3-6	4-6	1W
Hornets	4	7	0.364	98.8	110.4	-11.6	3-4	1-3	2-2	4-7	3-7	1W
Magic	4	7	0.364	108.5	113.8	-5.3	0-4	4-3	0-2	2-4	4-6	2W
Pacers	4	8	0.333	111.6	114	-2.4	1-5	3-3	0-1	2-5	3-7	1W
Pelicans	4	8	0.333	116.9	124.3	-7.4	3-4	1-4	1-0	3-6	4-6	4L
Wizards	4	8	0.333	107.5	113.4	-5.9	2-2	2-6	2-3	4-7	3-7	5L
Nets	3	8	0.273	110.2	115.3	-5.1	1-3	2-5	0-2	2-7	3-7	1W
Clippers	2	8	0.2	112.2	118.1	-5.9	2-3	0-5	1-4	2-6	2-8	1L
Bulls	1	9	0.1	113.3	128.8	-15.5	0-4	1-5	1-0	1-8	1-9	8L
Kings	1	10	0.091	108.3	121	-12.7	0-6	1-4	0-2	1-8	1-9	4L
Bucks	1	11	0.083	106.8	121.3	-14.5	1-6	0-5	1-2	1-8	1-9	8L
Jazz	1	11	0.083	106.4	118.1	-11.7	1-6	0-5	0-2	1-9	0-10	10L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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