Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Sep 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury

The Dallas Wings face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Monday, September 21.

The best bet could involve backing the Mercury against the spread. There’s a generous +6.5 available at -115 that the underdogs cover the line against the Wings and that has to be our pick.

Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 87-82 Wings Victory

The last meeting between Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings was on Saturday, with Wings coming away with a 87-82 victory. The Wings have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Mercury. On the head-to-head front, it has been 5 wins out of 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
8  Wings	26	16	3744	3573	171	16-6	10-10	6W
11  Mercury	15	27	3543	3668	-125	6-14	9-13	1L

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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The underdogs look a great play at +6.5 on the spread. Mercury could easily beat their opponents and the -115 about this WNBA pick makes lots of appeal.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each WNBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Wings vs Mercury stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 consecutive games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games against Wings.

Mercury +6.5 Probability

If you go by the top basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are lots of ways to back the Mercury and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

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Our Game Prediction

Mercury +6.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 21, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paige Bueckers Over 3.5 Rebounds -105

Paige Bueckers (Wings) can be backed to total Over 3.5 rebounds at -105. She should be capable of covering the rebounds total when it comes to this player prop.

Latest Paige Bueckers Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-109

Under 19.5

-122

Assists

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-128

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Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 Points -108

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) is available at -108 to register Over 19.5 points. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-123

Assists

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wings 91 - 88 Mercury

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 91-88 win for the Wings. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Dallas Wings at -233 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 70% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Phoenix Mercury are trading at +186.

The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 171.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to back Over 171.5, it’s -115.

If you’re planning to place a women's hoops wager, visit the best basketball sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Wings

-233

Mercury

+186

Point Spread

Wings -6.5

-105

Mercury +6.5

-115

Total Points

Under 171.5

-105

Over 171.5

-115

Paige Bueckers is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -109 that she goes Over 19.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 19.5

-109

Under 19.5

-122

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-108

Under 19.5

-123

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)

Over 16.5

-104

Under 16.5

-127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-118

Jessica Shepard (Wings)

Over 13.5

-106

Under 13.5

-125

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-106

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-133

Jessica Shepard (Wings)

Over 4.5

-145

Under 4.5

+106

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-161

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+115

Jessica Shepard (Wings)

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-118

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-103

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-128

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-154

Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)

Over 2.5

+126

Under 2.5

-172

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Wings Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 177.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 171.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 171.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.10 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 88.60 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 172.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 171.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 171.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 86.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 86.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	32	10	3834	3519	315	14-7	18-3	1W
2  Valkyries	31	11	3457	3140	317	17-5	14-6	6W
3  Aces	29	13	3836	3615	221	14-7	15-6	5W
4  Dream	28	14	3841	3568	273	15-7	13-7	3W
5  Fever	27	15	4060	3816	244	14-7	13-8	1L
6  Liberty	26	16	3792	3624	168	14-6	12-10	3W
7  Mystics	26	16	3516	3478	38	13-7	13-9	2W
8  Wings	26	16	3744	3573	171	16-6	10-10	6W
9  Sparks	16	26	3676	3853	-177	8-13	8-13	1W
10  Fire	16	27	3704	3923	-219	8-13	8-14	4L
11  Mercury	15	27	3543	3668	-125	6-14	9-13	1L
12  Sky	15	27	3628	3803	-175	10-11	5-16	5L
13  Tempo	11	31	3603	3960	-357	7-15	4-16	6L
14  Sun	10	32	3306	3715	-409	7-14	3-18	5L
15  Storm	8	35	3525	3810	-285	6-15	2-20	4L

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