Dayton vs UNC Wilmington Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Dayton vs UNC Wilmington

The Dayton Flyers take on the UNC Wilmington Seahawks in this NIT Second Round matchup at Trask Coliseum in Wilmington, North Carolina, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Saturday, March 21.

We’re confident that UNC Wilmington can produce a strong performance against Dayton. Our prediction is that they’ll cover the spread of +2.5 and you can currently get -110.

The Dayton Flyers (24-11, 4th in A-10) advanced to the Second Round after an 80-66 win over the Bradley Braves.

The UNC Wilmington Seahawk (27-6, 1st in CAA) edged the Yale Bulldogs 68-67 on the road in the First Round.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNC Wilmington	26-6	2465	2166	299	15-4	11-2	1L
Dayton	23-11	2528	2376	152	16-4	7-7	1L

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Dayton vs UNC Wilmington Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Dayton vs UNC Wilmington betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

There’s some excellent value on the spread for this NIT matchup and we like UNC Wilmington at +2.5. We’re happy to take the underdogs with this advantage at -110.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Dayton vs UNC Wilmington stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by UNCW in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by UNCW in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dayton in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dayton in 3 of their last 5 games.

UNC Wilmington +2.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.

There’s often the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

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Our Game Prediction

UNC Wilmington +2.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dayton 71 - 74 UNC Wilmington

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Seahawks to win 74-71. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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Dayton vs UNC Wilmington Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 63% probability of winning this Second Round game, Dayton might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -167 Moneyline betting odds. UNC Wilmington are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +138.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 138.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re wanting to back Over 138.5, the odds are -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The best sportsbooks have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Dayton

-167

UNCW

+138

Point Spread

Dayton -3.5

-108

UNCW +3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 138.5

-110

Over 138.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dayton Stats

UNC Wilmington Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 136.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 139.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 65.70 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 139.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Coastal Athletic Association	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNC Wilmington	26-6	2465	2166	299	15-4	11-2	1L
Hofstra	24-10	2571	2246	325	14-2	10-8	7W
Charleston	21-11	2413	2348	65	12-7	9-4	1L
William & Mary	20-12	2660	2487	173	12-2	8-10	1L
Monmouth	19-15	2471	2409	62	13-4	6-11	1L
Towson	19-15	2354	2248	106	13-3	6-12	1L
Stony Brook	17-15	2295	2277	18	12-5	5-10	4L
Drexel	17-16	2247	2221	26	13-6	4-10	1L
Campbell	16-18	2691	2639	52	10-4	6-14	1L
Elon	14-18	2500	2492	8	8-8	6-10	5L
Hampton	13-19	2237	2264	-27	11-4	2-15	2L
NC A&T	11-19	2252	2335	-83	7-7	4-12	4L
Northeastern	7-24	2322	2510	-188	2-10	5-14	1L

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Saint Louis	28-5	2879	2294	585	21-2	7-3	1L
VCU	27-7	2773	2430	343	19-3	8-4	6W
George Mason	23-9	2347	2160	187	17-3	6-6	1L
Dayton	23-11	2528	2376	152	16-4	7-7	1L
Saint Joseph's	22-11	2419	2306	113	16-3	6-8	1L
Davidson	20-13	2367	2225	142	12-8	8-5	1L
Duquesne	18-15	2584	2481	103	13-7	5-8	1L
George Washington	18-15	2708	2433	275	13-5	5-10	1L
Fordham	17-15	2235	2095	140	12-8	5-7	1L
Rhode Island	16-16	2236	2182	54	10-7	6-9	2L
St. Bonaventure	17-17	2596	2532	64	10-7	7-10	1L
Richmond	15-17	2455	2366	89	11-8	4-9	4L
La Salle	9-23	2148	2370	-222	7-9	2-14	2L
Loyola Chicago	9-24	2204	2500	-296	6-12	3-12	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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