Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury
The Golden State Valkyries go up against the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Wednesday, July 29.
The Valkyries should be taken against the spread at -5.5 with our prediction being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory over the Mercury. Back the favorites at the -106 that's available.
Golden State Valkyries were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Washington Mystics by a 90-82 scoreline at Chase Center.
Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 86-82 at Crypto.com Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Valkyries have beaten the Mercury in their last two meetings, winning by 95-79 and 87-81 scorelines. Both matchups were played at Chase Center. The Mercury have won four of the past 6 games that these teams have played.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
Valkyries
|
19 | 8 | 2211 | 2062 | 149 | 11-4 | 8-4 | 1L |
12
Mercury
|
10 | 18 | 2323 | 2423 | -100 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 2W |
Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the top Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
We are confident that Valkyries will cover the spread in this WNBA showdown. -5.5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -106 that they will win by a bigger margin.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Valkyries vs Mercury stats:
Valkyries -5.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a range of options and get rewarded if your point spread pick exceeds expectations.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Player Prop Picks
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to record Under 14.5 points at -130. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Gabby Williams (Valkyries) can be backed to score Over 14.5 points at -109. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.
Latest Gabby Williams Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Valkyries -5.5 on the spread, Over 155.5 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to score Under 14.5 points.
A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
85
-
77
Mercury
There’s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Valkyries to claim a 85-77 victory which will hopefully go close.
Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Golden State Valkyries are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -208 about them triumphing means a 68% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At +168, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 155.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you fancy Over 155.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.
Women's hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
Kahleah Copper is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -100 that she goes Over 19.5 points and -130 when it comes to Under.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Golden State Valkyries Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 150.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 155.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 71.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.40 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 172.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 170.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 155.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 87.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 87.30 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
22 | 6 | 2562 | 2319 | 243 | 10-4 | 12-2 | 7W |
|
2
Valkyries
|
19 | 8 | 2211 | 2062 | 149 | 11-4 | 8-4 | 1L |
3
Aces
|
18 | 8 | 2366 | 2245 | 121 | 7-5 | 11-3 | 1L |
4
Wings
|
18 | 9 | 2436 | 2327 | 109 | 8-4 | 10-5 | 1W |
5
Fever
|
17 | 10 | 2578 | 2419 | 159 | 11-5 | 6-5 | 3W |
6
Dream
|
16 | 10 | 2323 | 2217 | 106 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 3W |
7
Liberty
|
15 | 12 | 2390 | 2327 | 63 | 8-5 | 7-7 | 2W |
8
Mystics
|
14 | 12 | 2100 | 2161 | -61 | 6-6 | 8-6 | 2W |
9
Fire
|
11 | 16 | 2304 | 2446 | -142 | 6-7 | 5-9 | 2L |
10
Tempo
|
10 | 16 | 2301 | 2416 | -115 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3L |
11
Sparks
|
10 | 16 | 2295 | 2427 | -132 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 5L |
|
12
Mercury
|
10 | 18 | 2323 | 2423 | -100 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 2W |
13
Sky
|
9 | 18 | 2363 | 2423 | -60 | 5-7 | 4-11 | 2L |
14
Sun
|
7 | 20 | 2160 | 2351 | -191 | 4-10 | 3-10 | 2L |
15
Storm
|
6 | 23 | 2375 | 2524 | -149 | 4-10 | 2-13 | 6L |
Atlanta Dream
Dallas Wings
Lech Poznan
AGF Aarhus
Predictions
13:30 - Wed 29 Jul
Argentine Primera División
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
Predictions
13:30 - Wed 29 Jul
Champions League
U Craiova
Levski Sofia
Predictions
14:00 - Wed 29 Jul
Champions League
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahce
Predictions
16:00 - Wed 29 Jul
Argentine Primera División
Defensa y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Predictions
18:00 - Wed 29 Jul
Copa Sudamericana
Vasco da Gama
DIM
Predictions
Where to Bet on Basketball Games
Where to Trade Basketball Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.
Top Basketball Pages
- Basketball Predictions
- Basketball Betting Explained
- Basketball Betting Sites
- Basketball Live Streaming
- NBA Betting Sites
- NBA Betting Explained
- NBA DFS Sites
- College Basketball DFS Sites
- NBA Live Streaming
- WNBA Live Streaming
- NBA Predictions
- College Basketball Predictions
- WNBA Predictions
- EuroLeague Predictions