Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Jul 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces

The Indiana Fever battle the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Sunday, July 5.

Our prediction is to snap up the -118 that the Aces are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -3.5 when playing the Fever and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

Indiana Fever won their previous game, beating Los Angeles Sparks at home. It was a 111-87 win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Las Vegas Aces won their last game which was at home. It was a 98-90 (OT) triumph at Michelob Ultra Arena against Chicago Sky.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Aces who came out on top when they last played the Fever. At Michelob Ultra Arena, a 107-98 (OT) win was recorded. The Aces have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Aces	15	5	1821	1731	90	6-3	9-2	3W
6  Fever	11	8	1785	1710	75	8-4	3-4	1W

View Full Standings

Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks

Our Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

It’s great to see Aces given a -3.5 line on the spread at -118 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this WNBA showdown.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate WNBA predictions possible.

Key Fever vs Aces stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Aces in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Aces in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Aces in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fever in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fever in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Aces in 6 of their last 10 games against Fever.

Aces -3.5 Probability

The top basketball sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your points spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Aces -3.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 4, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chelsea Gray Over 14.5 Points -106

Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at -106 to register Over 14.5 points. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

Assists

Over 6.5

-145

Under 6.5

+112

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

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A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 Assists -122

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be backed to total Over 2.5 assists at -122. With some confidence, we can shoot for her to cover the generous Player Assists total.

Latest A'ja Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-111

Under 25.5

-116

Assists

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fever 84 - 92 Aces

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Aces to achieve a 92-84 victory at huge odds.

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Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Las Vegas Aces are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -179 about them triumphing means a 64% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Indiana Fever are the underdogs at +144 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 181.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to bet Under 181.5, there are odds of -106.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Fever

+144

Aces

-179

Point Spread

Fever +3.5

-104

Aces -3.5

-118

Total Points

Under 181.5

-106

Over 181.5

-114

A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -111 that she goes Over 25.5 points and -116 when it comes to Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

-111

Under 25.5

-116

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 23.5

-120

Under 23.5

-108

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 20.5

-108

Under 20.5

-120

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 13.5

-106

Under 13.5

-122

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-116

Monique Billings (Fever)

Over 8.5

-119

Under 8.5

-109

Lexie Hull (Fever)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

+102

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Aces)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

+101

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-122

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 6.5

-145

Under 6.5

+112

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-106

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-105

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-102

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-145

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-137

Monique Billings (Fever)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Aces)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Fever Stats

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 189.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 173.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 96.80 pts and allowed 92.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.80 pts and allowed 88.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 179.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 181.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.40 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.20 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 home games

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WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Aces	15	5	1821	1731	90	6-3	9-2	3W
2  Lynx	15	5	1805	1606	199	6-3	9-2	1L
3  Valkyries	14	7	1743	1640	103	10-3	4-4	4W
4  Liberty	13	8	1855	1756	99	7-4	6-4	1W
5  Wings	12	8	1766	1710	56	6-3	6-5	1W
6  Fever	11	8	1785	1710	75	8-4	3-4	1W
7  Dream	12	9	1837	1762	75	6-3	6-6	5L
8  Mystics	10	9	1573	1628	-55	4-4	6-5	2W
9  Tempo	9	10	1725	1746	-21	5-4	4-6	1L
10  Sparks	8	10	1598	1697	-99	3-6	5-4	2L
11  Fire	8	12	1693	1846	-153	6-5	2-7	3L
12  Mercury	8	13	1769	1803	-34	3-6	5-7	3W
13  Sky	6	14	1732	1799	-67	3-7	3-7	2L
14  Storm	5	16	1689	1814	-125	4-7	1-9	1L
15  Sun	4	16	1589	1732	-143	3-8	1-8	1L

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