Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

The Las Vegas Aces square off against the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 12:30 on Sunday, August 9.

The Aces look a value play at +9.5 on the spread. They could beat the Liberty and the -104 about this pick makes plenty of appeal.

Las Vegas Aces suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 98-87 scoreline occurred on the road at Target Center against Minnesota Lynx.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 92-86 home victory against Seattle Storm at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Aces beat the Liberty when the teams last met. It was a 104-99 scoreline at Michelob Ultra Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Liberty victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	22	10	2933	2780	153	9-5	13-5	1L
8  Liberty	19	13	2883	2801	82	10-5	9-8	3W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Step into Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re delighted to see that Aces have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +9.5 at -104 before they line up for this WNBA showdown.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate WNBA predictions possible.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The +9.5 line has been covered by Aces in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +9.5 line has been covered by Aces in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games against Aces.

Aces +9.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 51% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this WNBA wager.

There’s always the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential payout. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction

Aces +9.5 @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 8, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds -123

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -123 to rack up Under 8.5 rebounds. The total looks reasonably high and we anticipate she will fall short of the line when it comes to the Player Rebounds.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-116

Under 21.5

-111

Assists

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-122

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A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 Rebounds -103

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be backed to total Under 9.5 rebounds at -103. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting her to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest A'ja Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 89 - 96 Liberty

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Liberty can be backed to win 96-89 at massive betting odds.

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Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -476 with the sportsbooks, New York Liberty are regarded as 83% likely to win this WNBA game. The market suggests that Las Vegas Aces are least likely to win at +350.

The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 179.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Over 179.5, then the odds are -106.

If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Aces

+350

Liberty

-476

Point Spread

Aces +9.5

-104

Liberty -9.5

-118

Total Points

Under 179.5

-114

Over 179.5

-106

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -114 that she goes Over 25.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-116

Under 21.5

-111

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-118

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 18.5

-116

Under 18.5

-111

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-103

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

+101

Rebecca Allen (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 6.5

+128

Under 6.5

-167

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 6.5

+132

Under 6.5

-172

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+114

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-110

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-122

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+104

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+129

Rebecca Allen (Liberty)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-132

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 184.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 179.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 179.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 95.60 pts and allowed 88.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.90 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 190.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 172.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 179.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 179.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 95.10 pts and allowed 95.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.00 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 home games

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WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	26	7	3054	2760	294	13-5	13-2	1W
2  Aces	22	10	2933	2780	153	9-5	13-5	1L
3  Valkyries	22	9	2582	2389	193	13-4	9-5	3W
4  Fever	20	12	3069	2892	177	11-6	9-6	1W
5  Dream	19	12	2760	2657	103	11-5	8-7	1L
6  Mystics	18	12	2448	2486	-38	10-6	8-6	6W
7  Wings	19	13	2843	2743	100	9-6	10-7	2L
8  Liberty	19	13	2883	2801	82	10-5	9-8	3W
9  Sparks	12	18	2687	2818	-131	5-9	7-9	1W
10  Fire	12	19	2683	2845	-162	7-9	5-10	1W
11  Sky	12	20	2823	2878	-55	8-9	4-11	1L
12  Mercury	12	21	2766	2878	-112	5-10	7-11	2L
13  Tempo	10	21	2709	2905	-196	6-11	4-10	8L
14  Sun	8	23	2470	2692	-222	5-10	3-13	1W
15  Storm	6	27	2728	2914	-186	4-11	2-16	10L

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