Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

The Las Vegas Aces square off against the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 12:30 on Sunday, August 9.

The Aces look a value play at +9.5 on the spread. They could beat the Liberty and the -104 about this pick makes plenty of appeal.

Las Vegas Aces suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 98-87 scoreline occurred on the road at Target Center against Minnesota Lynx.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 92-86 home victory against Seattle Storm at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Aces beat the Liberty when the teams last met. It was a 104-99 scoreline at Michelob Ultra Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Liberty victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Step into Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re delighted to see that Aces have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +9.5 at -104 before they line up for this WNBA showdown.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate WNBA predictions possible.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The +9.5 line has been covered by Aces in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +9.5 line has been covered by Aces in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -9.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games against Aces.

Aces +9.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 51% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this WNBA wager.

There’s always the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential payout. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction

Aces +9.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 8, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds -123

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -123 to rack up Under 8.5 rebounds. The total looks reasonably high and we anticipate she will fall short of the line when it comes to the Player Rebounds.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-110

Assists

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

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A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 Rebounds -103

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be backed to total Under 9.5 rebounds at -103. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting her to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest A'ja Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-105

Under 25.5

-123

Assists

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-137

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-137

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 89 - 96 Liberty

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Liberty can be backed to win 96-89 at massive betting odds.

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Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -625 with the sportsbooks, New York Liberty are regarded as 86% likely to win this WNBA game. The market suggests that Las Vegas Aces are least likely to win at +430.

The spread is currently 11.5, with the total points line at 176.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Over 176.5, then the odds are -114.

If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Aces

+430

Liberty

-625

Point Spread

Aces +11.5

-118

Liberty -11.5

-104

Total Points

Under 176.5

-106

Over 176.5

-114

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -105 that she scores Over 25.5 points or -123 that she goes Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

-105

Under 25.5

-123

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-111

Under 19.5

-116

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-115

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 15.5

-102

Under 15.5

-127

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-101

Under 14.5

-128

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-104

Rebecca Allen (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-101

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 6.5

+122

Under 6.5

-159

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+113

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-137

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-123

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+112

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-137

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 8.5

+112

Under 8.5

-145

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

+109

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+112

Rebecca Allen (Liberty)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-132

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 184.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 179.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 179.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 95.60 pts and allowed 88.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.90 pts and allowed 88.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 190.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 172.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 179.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 179.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 95.10 pts and allowed 95.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.00 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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