Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jun 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury
The Las Vegas Aces go up against the Phoenix Mercury, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Wednesday, June 17.
There’s a case for backing the Aces against the spread in their clash against the Mercury. The line looks attractive considering you can get odds of -115 when it comes to the favorites at -6.5.
Las Vegas Aces lost on the road in their previous game. Dallas Wings won 96-66 at College Park Center.
Phoenix Mercury lost when they last took to the court. At Mortgage Matchup Center, they were turned over 111-102 (OT) at home to Los Angeles Sparks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was the Mercury who came out on top when they last played the Aces. At Michelob Ultra Arena, a 99-66 win was recorded. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Aces victories.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
Aces
|
10 | 4 | 1263 | 1222 | 41 | 3-2 | 7-2 | 1L |
13
Mercury
|
4 | 11 | 1233 | 1302 | -69 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3L |
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
We’ve got your Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Game Prediction
Our best pick is that Aces are going to cover the -6.5 on the spread. You can get -115 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this WNBA contest.
Our WNBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.
Key Aces vs Mercury stats:
Aces -6.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this WNBA bet.
If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Chelsea Gray (Aces) can be backed to record Over 11.5 points at -108. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.
Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds
Jackie Young (Aces) can be wagered to total Under 6.5 assists at -110. She might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.
Latest Jackie Young Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Aces to cover the -6.5 spread, Over 172.5 on the total and Chelsea Gray (Aces) to score Over 11.5 points.
A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
95
-
85
Mercury
There’s the chance to land amazing odds when it comes to the Aces winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 95-85 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Las Vegas Aces have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 75% probability due to their -294 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at +225.
The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 171.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. The Over 171.5 selection is available to back at -110.
Women's hoops bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -118 that she goes Over 25.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.
- WNBA: 09/05 2026 Mercury 99 Aces 66
- WNBA: 11/10 2025 Aces 97 Mercury 86
- WNBA: 09/10 2025 Aces 90 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 05/10 2025 Mercury 78 Aces 91
- WNBA: 04/10 2025 Mercury 86 Aces 89
- WNBA: 22/08 2025 Mercury 61 Aces 83
- WNBA: 16/08 2025 Aces 86 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 30/06 2025 Aces 84 Mercury 81
- WNBA: 16/06 2025 Mercury 76 Aces 70
- WNBA: 01/09 2024 Aces 97 Mercury 79
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Las Vegas Aces Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 177.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 175.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 172.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.30 pts and allowed 88.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 91.40 pts and allowed 84.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 166.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 180.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 172.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.00 pts and allowed 87.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.60 pts and allowed 93.20 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
11 | 3 | 1297 | 1112 | 185 | 6-2 | 5-1 | 1W |
|
2
Aces
|
10 | 4 | 1263 | 1222 | 41 | 3-2 | 7-2 | 1L |
3
Liberty
|
10 | 4 | 1238 | 1140 | 98 | 6-3 | 4-1 | 7W |
4
Dream
|
9 | 4 | 1132 | 1049 | 83 | 4-2 | 5-2 | 1W |
5
Wings
|
9 | 5 | 1234 | 1150 | 84 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 1W |
6
Valkyries
|
9 | 5 | 1185 | 1096 | 89 | 6-2 | 3-3 | 3W |
7
Fever
|
8 | 5 | 1169 | 1123 | 46 | 5-2 | 3-3 | 3W |
8
Sparks
|
7 | 7 | 1233 | 1265 | -32 | 2-5 | 5-2 | 1L |
9
Tempo
|
7 | 7 | 1241 | 1256 | -15 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 2L |
10
Fire
|
7 | 9 | 1304 | 1408 | -104 | 5-5 | 2-4 | 1L |
11
Mystics
|
5 | 7 | 977 | 1040 | -63 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1L |
12
Sky
|
4 | 9 | 1068 | 1141 | -73 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3L |
|
13
Mercury
|
4 | 11 | 1233 | 1302 | -69 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3L |
14
Storm
|
3 | 12 | 1146 | 1247 | -101 | 2-6 | 1-6 | 8L |
15
Sun
|
2 | 13 | 1168 | 1337 | -169 | 1-5 | 1-8 | 5L |
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