Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 Nov 2026

Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Predictions

Best Bet

Melbourne -8.5 @ -116

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We are confident that Melbourne will cover the spread. -8.5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -116 that they will win by a bigger margin against South East Melbourne.

Our Melbourne vs South East Melbourne predictions feature our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Dive deep into the analytical breakdown of each play below.

Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview

Melbourne United host South East Melbourne Phoenix, with tip-off set for 03:30 on Saturday 14 November.

Melbourne United lost on the road in their last game. Adelaide 36ers won 101-93.

South East Melbourne Phoenix lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Illawarra Hawks 120-110.

H2H: 7 of Last 10 Matchups Have Been United Wins

The last head-to-head saw Melbourne claim a 104-99 win over South East Melbourne. Melbourne have won three on the spin against South East Melbourne. They’ve also claimed 7 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Melbourne United	7	6	1274	1192	82	3-3	4-3	1L
10  SEM Phoenix	4	8	1178	1173	5	3-4	1-4	3L

View Full Standings

Best Bet

Our pick is that Melbourne are going to cover the -8.5 on the spread. You can get -116 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBL showdown.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Melbourne in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Melbourne in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 consecutive games.

A good deal of research goes into our basketball picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key NBL stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

United -8.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this basketball wager.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the betting line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

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Melbourne -8.5 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Melbourne United 103 - 92 SEM Phoenix

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Melbourne United to record a 103-92 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

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Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Melbourne United are regarded as having a 78% chance of winning this NBL game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -357. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about South East Melbourne Phoenix.

The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 198.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 198.5, there are odds of -108.

If you’re planning to bet on the NBL, make sure to visit on of the top betting sites where you’ll find a wide range of game lines and team props. You can place your wagers before the action starts or during the game.

Moneyline

Melbourne

-357

SEM Phoenix

+270

Point Spread

Melbourne -8.5

-116

SEM Phoenix +8.5

-109

Total Points

Under 198.5

-108

Over 198.5

-115

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Melbourne United Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 196.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 184.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 198.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 198.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 101.10 pts and allowed 95.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.20 pts and allowed 90.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 198.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 193.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 198.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 198.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.70 pts and allowed 99.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 97.80 pts and allowed 95.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Cairns Taipans	8	6	1293	1343	-50	4-2	4-4	2W
2  Sydney Kings	8	4	1171	1064	107	5-2	3-2	1L
3  Melbourne United	7	6	1274	1192	82	3-3	4-3	1L
4  JackJumpers	8	4	1127	1083	44	5-2	3-2	1L
5  Adelaide 36ers	7	6	1208	1205	3	3-3	4-3	2W
6  Brisbane Bullets	6	7	1229	1285	-56	4-2	2-5	2L
7  Illawarra Hawks	5	9	1362	1460	-98	1-4	4-5	1W
8  NZ Breakers	5	8	1170	1169	1	3-1	2-7	1W
9  Perth Wildcats	6	6	1133	1171	-38	6-4	0-2	1W
10  SEM Phoenix	4	8	1178	1173	5	3-4	1-4	3L

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