Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's

The Merrimack Warriors go up against the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, February 5.

We’re confident of backing Merrimack to cover the -3.5 spread when they play Mount St. Mary's. This is a generous betting line and they look an awesome pick at odds of -105.

Merrimack Warriors won their previous game, beating Sacred Heart Pioneers at home. It was a 75-58 win.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers were winners last time out. It was a 72-65 home victory against Manhattan Jaspers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Merrimack had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 75-65 win over Mount St. Mary's. In the past 9 games between the teams, Mount St. Mary's have won seven.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Merrimack	23-11	2330	2260	70	13-2	10-9	1L
Mount St. Mary's	15-17	2178	2244	-66	8-5	7-12	1L

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Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction & Picks

Our expert Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Merrimack are available at -105 when it comes to backing them against the spread in this college showdown. The attractive -3.5 line could be covered with ease by the favorites and this looks like a value wager.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Merrimack in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Merrimack in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Merrimack in 2 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by St. Mary's in 11 of their last 20 games.

Merrimack -3.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to betting on Merrimack on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.

Our Game Prediction

Merrimack -3.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Merrimack 69 - 61 Mount St. Mary's

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on Merrimack when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 69-61 should provide some entertainment.

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Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Mount St. Mary's at +116. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 46% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to back Merrimack, you will find -143 about the underdogs.

The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 133.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 133.5, then the odds are -114.

There are plenty of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on college matchups and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Merrimack

-143

St. Mary's

+116

Point Spread

Merrimack -2.5

-104

St. Mary's +2.5

-118

Total Points

Under 133.5

-114

Over 133.5

-106

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Merrimack Stats

Mount St. Mary's Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 130.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 135.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.70 pts and allowed 64.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 64.10 pts and allowed 66.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 135.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 135.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.30 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 68.50 pts and allowed 67.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Metro Atlantic Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Merrimack	23-11	2330	2260	70	13-2	10-9	1L
Siena	23-11	2398	2233	165	11-4	12-7	4W
Fairfield	21-13	2528	2432	96	13-4	8-9	1L
Marist	19-12	2160	1979	181	11-4	8-8	1L
Quinnipiac	19-13	2411	2303	108	10-6	9-7	1L
Saint Peter's	17-12	2054	1984	70	13-2	4-10	1L
Iona	18-14	2363	2340	23	11-5	7-9	1L
Mount St. Mary's	15-17	2178	2244	-66	8-5	7-12	1L
Sacred Heart	14-19	2482	2528	-46	8-5	6-14	1L
Manhattan	12-20	2369	2526	-157	8-7	4-13	4L
Canisius	10-21	1951	2184	-233	7-8	3-13	1L
Niagara	8-22	1916	2137	-221	6-7	2-15	1L
Rider	4-25	1840	2204	-364	4-9	0-16	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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