Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions

Best Bet

Under 240.5 Points @ -110

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when the Heat clash with the Hawks, with the 240.5 line looking on the high side when it comes to the totals.

We've put together our Heat vs Hawks selections, featuring our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read on for a detailed breakdown of each pick.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Preview

The Miami Heat go head-to-head with the Atlanta Hawks in this NBA game.

Miami Heat have suffered four straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Dallas Mavericks 113-109 at Kaseya Center. Giannis Antetokounmpo produced a triple-double masterclass by scoring 29 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists.

Atlanta Hawks have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 120-110 scoreline occurred on the road at Toyota Center against Houston Rockets. Offensively, Jalen Johnson led the way, scoring 21, while CJ McCollum added 20 and Aaron Wiggins 12.

H2H: 7 of Last 10 Matchups Have Been Heat Wins

The Heat have beaten the Hawks in the last two matchups. They won 128-97 at State Farm Arena and triumphed 143-117 at Kaseya Center. The Heat have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	2	2	0.5	121	111.8	9.2	0-1	2-1	2-0	2-0	2-2	2L
Heat	0	4	0	109	121.8	-12.8	0-3	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	4L

View Full Standings

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 120.6 points, 42.2 rebounds, 30.5 assists, 6.6 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 48.6% from the field and 75.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 123.3 points and 46.9 rebounds per matchup.

Davion Mitchell is averaging 14.8 points, 5.8 assists and 1.8 (42.9%) 3-pointers made, while Bam Adebayo averages 8.2 rebounds.

The Hawks have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 108.6 points, 38.8 rebounds, 25.9 assists, 8.9 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 73.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 115.4 points and 45.7 rebounds.

Jalen Johnson is averaging 20.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and 6.4 assists, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker has an average of 3.1 (40.3%) 3-pointers made.

Best Bet

Totals betting for this NBA matchup provides plenty of value at -110. The line is set at 240.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 240.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Heat games.
• The 240.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Hawks games at home.
• The 240.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Hawks games.
• The 240.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 Hawks games at home.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Under 240.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Under 240.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 27, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 117 - 116 Hawks

For a fun wager, consider backing the Heat to claim a 117-116 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Atlanta Hawks are -154 favorites to win and that means a 61% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +130 about Miami Heat.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 240.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 240.5 can find odds of -110 available.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Heat

+130

Hawks

-154

Point Spread

Heat +3.5

-110

Hawks -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 240.5

-110

Over 240.5

-110

The Hawks have endured three straight losses at State Farm Arena. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 114.60 points per contest and giving up 112.50.

The Heat own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, posting 117.90 points per contest while yielding 125.40.

The Heat defeated the Hawks 128-97 when the teams last met at State Farm Arena. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at State Farm Arena, the Heat have come away with six wins, while the Hawks have four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O240.5	U240.5
Atlanta Hawks Home Stats		6-4	227.10	114.60	112.50	1	9
Miami Heat Away Stats		2-8	243.30	117.90	125.40	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O240.5 = Games Over 240.5 Points
• U240.5 = Games Under 240.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Atlanta Hawks Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 243.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 243.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 240.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.60 pts and allowed 123.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 117.90 pts and allowed 125.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 224.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 240.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.60 pts and allowed 115.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.60 pts and allowed 112.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.30 (75.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.2, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 30.50
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.40 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (81.86%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.4, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 32.00
• Assists: 29.40
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 5.60
• Turnovers : 12.20
• Personal Fouls: 18.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.20 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.00 (72.96%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.8, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 28.00
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 14.10
• Personal Fouls: 23.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.90 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.00 (77.63%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.4, Offensive 12.90, Defensive 29.50
• Assists: 27.30
• Blocks: 4.60
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 14.40
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Celtics	3	1	0.75	119.8	111.8	8	3-0	0-1	2-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Knicks	1	3	0.25	104	105.3	-1.3	1-2	0-1	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Nets	0	4	0	114.3	124	-9.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	3	1	0.75	113	107	6	1-0	2-1	0-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	119.3	120	-0.7	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	2-1	2W
Pacers	2	2	0.5	116.5	115	1.5	0-1	2-1	0-1	1-1	2-2	1L
Bulls	1	3	0.25	110.8	129.5	-18.7	0-1	1-2	1-0	1-3	1-3	2L
Bucks	1	3	0.25	116.8	122.3	-5.5	1-1	0-2	1-1	1-3	1-3	1W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	3	1	0.75	104	111	-7	2-1	1-0	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Hawks	2	2	0.5	121	111.8	9.2	0-1	2-1	2-0	2-0	2-2	2L
Wizards	2	2	0.5	114.3	114.5	-0.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Heat	0	4	0	109	121.8	-12.8	0-3	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	4	0	1	111.3	100.8	10.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	1	0.75	122	105	17	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-0	3-1	1L
Nuggets	1	2	0.333	113	121.7	-8.7	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Jazz	1	3	0.25	112.8	121	-8.2	1-2	0-1	0-0	1-3	1-3	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	2	0.333	109.3	123.7	-14.4	1-0	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	1	3	0.25	117.3	120.8	-3.5	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Kings	0	4	0	107.8	125.5	-17.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	4	0	1	120.8	111	9.8	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Grizzlies	4	0	1	116.8	107	9.8	1-0	3-0	0-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Spurs	2	2	0.5	116.5	109.8	6.7	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	2W
Mavericks	2	2	0.5	112.5	116	-3.5	0-1	2-1	0-2	0-2	2-2	1W
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	3	1	0.75	119.8	111.8	8	3-0	0-1	2-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Pistons	3	1	0.75	113	107	6	1-0	2-1	0-0	3-1	3-1	1L
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Hornets	3	1	0.75	104	111	-7	2-1	1-0	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	119.3	120	-0.7	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	2-1	2W
Hawks	2	2	0.5	121	111.8	9.2	0-1	2-1	2-0	2-0	2-2	2L
Wizards	2	2	0.5	114.3	114.5	-0.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Pacers	2	2	0.5	116.5	115	1.5	0-1	2-1	0-1	1-1	2-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Knicks	1	3	0.25	104	105.3	-1.3	1-2	0-1	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Bulls	1	3	0.25	110.8	129.5	-18.7	0-1	1-2	1-0	1-3	1-3	2L
Bucks	1	3	0.25	116.8	122.3	-5.5	1-1	0-2	1-1	1-3	1-3	1W
Nets	0	4	0	114.3	124	-9.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L
Heat	0	4	0	109	121.8	-12.8	0-3	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	4	0	1	120.8	111	9.8	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Thunder	4	0	1	111.3	100.8	10.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Grizzlies	4	0	1	116.8	107	9.8	1-0	3-0	0-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Timberwolves	3	1	0.75	122	105	17	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-0	3-1	1L
Mavericks	2	2	0.5	112.5	116	-3.5	0-1	2-1	0-2	0-2	2-2	1W
Spurs	2	2	0.5	116.5	109.8	6.7	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	2W
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Nuggets	1	2	0.333	113	121.7	-8.7	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Suns	1	2	0.333	109.3	123.7	-14.4	1-0	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	1	3	0.25	117.3	120.8	-3.5	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Jazz	1	3	0.25	112.8	121	-8.2	1-2	0-1	0-0	1-3	1-3	2L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Kings	0	4	0	107.8	125.5	-17.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	4	0	1	120.8	111	9.8	2-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	4-0	4W
Lakers	3	0	1	128	115	13	2-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	4	0	1	116.8	107	9.8	1-0	3-0	0-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Thunder	4	0	1	111.3	100.8	10.5	3-0	1-0	1-0	4-0	4-0	4W
Trail Blazers	2	0	1	126	101.5	24.5	1-0	1-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Celtics	3	1	0.75	119.8	111.8	8	3-0	0-1	2-0	3-1	3-1	3W
Hornets	3	1	0.75	104	111	-7	2-1	1-0	2-1	3-1	3-1	2W
Pistons	3	1	0.75	113	107	6	1-0	2-1	0-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Timberwolves	3	1	0.75	122	105	17	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-0	3-1	1L
76ers	3	1	0.75	110	107	3	2-1	1-0	1-0	3-1	3-1	1L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	119.3	120	-0.7	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	2-1	2W
Raptors	2	1	0.667	113.7	103.7	10	1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	1L
Hawks	2	2	0.5	121	111.8	9.2	0-1	2-1	2-0	2-0	2-2	2L
Mavericks	2	2	0.5	112.5	116	-3.5	0-1	2-1	0-2	0-2	2-2	1W
Pacers	2	2	0.5	116.5	115	1.5	0-1	2-1	0-1	1-1	2-2	1L
Spurs	2	2	0.5	116.5	109.8	6.7	1-2	1-0	1-1	2-2	2-2	2W
Wizards	2	2	0.5	114.3	114.5	-0.2	1-1	1-1	0-1	2-2	2-2	1L
Nuggets	1	2	0.333	113	121.7	-8.7	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	1	2	0.333	113	109.7	3.3	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Magic	1	2	0.333	109.7	116.3	-6.6	0-2	1-0	0-1	1-1	1-2	1W
Suns	1	2	0.333	109.3	123.7	-14.4	1-0	0-2	1-0	1-2	1-2	1L
Bulls	1	3	0.25	110.8	129.5	-18.7	0-1	1-2	1-0	1-3	1-3	2L
Warriors	1	3	0.25	117.3	120.8	-3.5	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Bucks	1	3	0.25	116.8	122.3	-5.5	1-1	0-2	1-1	1-3	1-3	1W
Knicks	1	3	0.25	104	105.3	-1.3	1-2	0-1	0-2	1-3	1-3	1W
Jazz	1	3	0.25	112.8	121	-8.2	1-2	0-1	0-0	1-3	1-3	2L
Nets	0	4	0	114.3	124	-9.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L
Heat	0	4	0	109	121.8	-12.8	0-3	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	4L
Pelicans	0	3	0	124.7	128	-3.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Kings	0	4	0	107.8	125.5	-17.7	0-2	0-2	0-1	0-4	0-4	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

Where to Bet on Basketball Games

Top Basketball Pages