Michigan vs Penn State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Michigan vs Penn State

The Michigan Wolverines battle the Penn State Nittany Lions, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, January 6.

Let’s go Under the 164.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached. Michigan and Penn State could well end up falling short and -105 can be backed.

Michigan Wolverines claimed a victory in their previous game. A 96-66 home win occurred against USC Trojans.

Penn State Nittany Lions were beaten 73-65 in their last game, being turned over at home to Illinois Fighting Illini.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan beat Penn State when the teams last met. It was a 76-72 scoreline. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L

View Full Standings

Michigan vs Penn State Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Michigan vs Penn State with our betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a hand-picked bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Under 164.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. The teams might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this college pick at -105.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college basketball handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Michigan vs Penn State stats:

• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Michigan games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Michigan games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Penn State games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 Penn State games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Penn State games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 164.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting sites, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

More juice from your Unders wager can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.

Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.

Our Game Prediction

Under 164.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 5, 23:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 93 - 66 Penn State

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a huge payout by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Wolverines to achieve a 93-66 victory and hopefully this goes close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Michigan vs Penn State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Michigan a 99% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -10000 favorites with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +2200 about Penn State.

The spread is 23.5 and the total points line is currently 166.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. There’s the chance to back Under 166.5 at -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Michigan

-10000

Penn State

+2200

Point Spread

Michigan -23.5

-110

Penn State +23.5

-110

Total Points

Under 166.5

-105

Over 166.5

-115

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Stats

Penn State Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -23.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -23.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +23.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +23.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.40 pts and allowed 63.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.40 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 74.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages