Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 May 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
The Minnesota Lynx battle the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, May 12.
The -114 about Under 171.5 points makes plenty of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure if the Lynx and the Mercury can combine to reach that total.
Minnesota Lynx were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Atlanta Dream by a 91-90 scoreline at Target Center.
Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 95-79 reverse against Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury beat the Lynx when the teams last met. It was a 86-81 scoreline at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Mercury have beaten the Lynx on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head matchups.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6
Mercury
|
1 | 1 | 178 | 161 | 17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
10
Lynx
|
0 | 1 | 90 | 91 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our expert Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Under 171.5 points looks like an attractive total bet. The teams might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this WNBA pick at -114.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.
Key Lynx vs Mercury stats:
Under 171.5 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.
Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.
Player Prop Picks
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be backed to total Under 3.5 rebounds at -172. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.
Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds
Olivia Miles (Lynx) can be wagered to total Under 6.5 assists at +112. There is a strong case for siding with her to fall short of the required total on the Player Assists line.
Latest Olivia Miles Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 171.5. We’ve also gone for Lynx +3.5 and Kahleah Copper (Mercury) to record Under 3.5 rebounds.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
82
-
83
Mercury
We’ll roll the dice and go for the Mercury to enjoy a 83-82 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Phoenix Mercury are -189 favorites and that means a 65% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Minnesota Lynx are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +152.
3.5 is the spread and 171.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 171.5 can find odds of -114 available.
Fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every women's basketball matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.
Kahleah Copper is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -116 that she scores Over 18.5 points or -111 that she goes Under.
- WNBA: 29/09 2025 Lynx 81 Mercury 86
- WNBA: 27/09 2025 Lynx 76 Mercury 84
- WNBA: 24/09 2025 Mercury 89 Lynx 83
- WNBA: 21/09 2025 Mercury 69 Lynx 82
- WNBA: 16/07 2025 Mercury 66 Lynx 79
- WNBA: 09/07 2025 Lynx 71 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 04/06 2025 Mercury 65 Lynx 88
- WNBA: 31/05 2025 Lynx 74 Mercury 71
- WNBA: 26/09 2024 Mercury 88 Lynx 101
- WNBA: 22/09 2024 Mercury 95 Lynx 102
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Minnesota Lynx Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 158.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 171.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 171.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.00 pts and allowed 77.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 81.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 171.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 171.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 85.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Liberty
|
2 | 0 | 204 | 168 | 36 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
2
Valkyries
|
2 | 0 | 186 | 159 | 27 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2W |
3
Sky
|
1 | 0 | 98 | 83 | 15 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1W |
4
Wings
|
1 | 0 | 107 | 104 | 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1W |
5
Dream
|
1 | 0 | 91 | 90 | 1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1W |
|
6
Mercury
|
1 | 1 | 178 | 161 | 17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
7
Aces
|
1 | 1 | 171 | 177 | -6 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
8
Mystics
|
1 | 1 | 161 | 163 | -2 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
9
Storm
|
1 | 1 | 169 | 173 | -4 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
|
10
Lynx
|
0 | 1 | 90 | 91 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
11
Fever
|
0 | 1 | 104 | 107 | -3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
12
Tempo
|
0 | 1 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
13
Fire
|
0 | 1 | 83 | 98 | -15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
14
Sparks
|
0 | 1 | 78 | 105 | -27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
15
Sun
|
0 | 2 | 157 | 195 | -38 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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