Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Jun 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

The Minnesota Lynx battle the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Monday, June 1.

There’s an attractive line of -3.5 when it comes to the Lynx in their clash against the Mercury. The -106 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

Minnesota Lynx won their previous game 79-58. This was a road victory at Wintrust Arena against Chicago Sky.

Phoenix Mercury suffered a defeat in their last game. A 75-68 scoreline occurred on the road at Barclays Center against New York Liberty.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Lynx claim a 88-84 win over the Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Lynx have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	6	2	707	633	74	2-2	4-0	4W
14  Mercury	2	7	753	768	-15	1-3	1-4	5L

View Full Standings

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Head into Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Game Prediction

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Lynx at -3.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous betting line and -106 can be backed.

We only make our basketball predictions after confirming the latest WNBA team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Lynx vs Mercury stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 4 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.

Lynx -3.5 Probability

The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine the Lynx against the spread with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Game Prediction

Lynx -3.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 1, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Rebounds +110

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at +110 to record Over 8.5 rebounds. We’re going to take her on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-133

Under 15.5

-102

Assists

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+123

Under 5.5

-167

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Olivia Miles Over 14.5 Points -112

Olivia Miles (Lynx) is available at -112 to rack up Over 14.5 points. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Olivia Miles Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-120

Assists

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lynx 89 - 82 Mercury

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Lynx. Backing them to win 89-82 means you can land a potential monster return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability of winning this WNBA game, Minnesota Lynx might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -161 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Phoenix Mercury are trading at +130.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 167.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 167.5 at -106.

If you’re planning to place a bet on women's basketball, visit the best betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Lynx

-161

Mercury

+130

Point Spread

Lynx -3.5

-106

Mercury +3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 167.5

-114

Over 167.5

-106

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Kahleah Copper is available at -130 to rack up Over 18.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -104 is available.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-130

Under 18.5

-104

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-125

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-133

Under 15.5

-102

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-120

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-112

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-123

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-104

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+102

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-159

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-156

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 5.5

+123

Under 5.5

-167

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 167.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.40 pts and allowed 80.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 170.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 167.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 86.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	6	2	707	633	74	2-2	4-0	4W
2  Dream	5	2	587	558	29	2-1	3-1	1W
3  Wings	5	3	711	678	33	2-2	3-1	2W
4  Aces	5	3	728	701	27	0-2	5-1	1W
5  Valkyries	5	3	686	637	49	3-2	2-1	1L
6  Fire	6	4	836	851	-15	4-3	2-1	1W
7  Tempo	5	4	806	801	5	2-2	3-2	2W
8  Liberty	5	4	779	749	30	3-3	2-1	2W
9  Fever	4	4	734	712	22	3-2	1-2	2L
10  Sparks	4	4	722	747	-25	1-3	3-1	1L
11  Mystics	3	4	584	610	-26	0-2	3-2	1L
12  Sky	3	5	662	690	-28	0-4	3-1	4L
13  Storm	3	6	708	743	-35	2-3	1-3	2L
14  Mercury	2	7	753	768	-15	1-3	1-4	5L
15  Sun	2	8	756	881	-125	1-3	1-5	1W

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