Minnesota Timberwolves
Basketball
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Wolves vs Nuggets

The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 23-18 away) face the No. 3 Denver Nuggets (54-28, 28-13 at home) in Game 1 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series.

Nuggets Primed for Convincing Win

Place a wager on the Nuggets with a -6.5 spread when they host the Timberwolves. Denver are in red-hot form right now and we’re confident they can cover this line at odds of -110.

Nuggets Ride 12-Game Win Streak

The Minnesota Timberwolves head into this series on a two-game winning streak, most recently beating the New Orleans Pelicans 132-126 at Target Center. Terrence Shannon Jr. finished with 26 points, while Joan Beringer added 24 and Zyon Pullin chipped in with 19.

The Denver Nuggets won their last outing, beating the San Antonio Spurs 128-118 on the road at Frost Bank Center for their 12th straight win. Julian Strawther finished with 25 points, Nikola Jokić added 23, and Jonas Valančiūnas had 16 points and 11 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves beat the Nuggets 117-108 in their last meeting at Ball Arena. However, Denver has won seven of the last 10 matchups.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Nuggets against the spread, especially with an attractive -6.5 line at -110. Our pick is that the favorites can secure a comfortable win in Game 1.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date NBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Timberwolves vs Nuggets stats:

  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games.

Nuggets -6.5 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.

Our Game Prediction
Nuggets -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 17, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:02, 17 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cameron Johnson Over 11.5 Points -128 BetMGM logo

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets) has racked up Over 11.5 points in 4 straight games. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -128 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Cameron Johnson Player Prop Odds


Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists -102 BetMGM logo

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has totaled Over 2.5 assists in 3 straight games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at -102 when it comes to a Player Assists wager and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Nuggets -6.5
Totals Over 231.5
Player Points Cameron Johnson Over 11.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Nuggets -6.5. We’ve also gone for Over 231.5 and Cameron Johnson (Nuggets) to score Over 11.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves Timberwolves logo 115 - 124 Nuggets logo Nuggets

There’s the chance to bet on the Nuggets in a variety of ways, including predicting the correct final score. We’ll go for a 124-115 win in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nuggets Favorites to Win According to the Books

With a 75% chance of securing victory, the Denver Nuggets are favorites for this first-round game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -294. For those wanting to back the Minnesota Timberwolves, you will find +235 about the underdogs.

7 is where the spread lies, with total points being 232.5 right now. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 232.5, the odds are -112.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get Most Points

Nikola Jokic is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -120 that he goes Over 28.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 28.5
-120
Under 28.5
-114
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Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 26.5
-110
Under 26.5
-123
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 25.5
-120
Under 25.5
-114
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Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 19.5
-109
Under 19.5
-125
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Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
-120
Under 9.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
+108
Under 6.5
-147
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Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
+115
Under 4.5
-156
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Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-118
Under 4.5
-114
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
-115
Under 13.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 11.5
-105
Under 11.5
-130
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Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
+104
Under 6.5
-141
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Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-164
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Micro Betting

There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Ball Arena
Ball Arena
Will Nuggets Extend Their Home Winning Streak?

The Nuggets are 10-0 in their last 10 home games, putting up 130.20 points on average and giving up 117.20.

The Wolves own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, putting up 117.50 points on average and giving up 116.80.

The Wolves beat the Nuggets 117-108 when they last met at Ball Arena. In the last 10 head-to-head games at Ball Arena, the Wolves have notched seven victories, with the Nuggets posting three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O222.5 U222.5
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Home Stats 9-1 247.20 128.70 118.50 8 2
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Away Stats 5-5 227.20 114.40 112.80 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O222.5 = Games Over 222.5 Points
  • U222.5 = Games Under 222.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 4 36.1 62 12 15.5 3.0 0.3 7.0 0.5 0.3
Rudy Gobert 4 34.33 33 8 8.3 2.0 - 11.0 1.3 1.3
Julius Randle 4 33.13 70 14 17.5 3.5 0.5 7.8 0.3 -

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 4 39.73 106 23 26.5 5.8 2.3 5.0 0.3 0.3
Nikola Jokic 4 39.03 100 31 25.0 7.8 1.3 14.5 0.5 1.5
Christian Braun 4 32.1 38 7 9.5 1.8 1.0 4.5 0.5 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup
0 Donte DiVincenzo
3 Jaden McDaniels
5 Anthony Edwards
27 Rudy Gobert
30 Julius Randle

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets
08 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 120-132 Magic
07 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 124-104 Pacers
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves
03 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 103-115 76ers

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets
04 Apr NBA
Spurs 134-136 Nuggets
01 Apr NBA
Nuggets 130-117 Jazz

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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