Minnesota Timberwolves
Basketball Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Wolves vs Nuggets

The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 23-18 away) take on the No. 3 Denver Nuggets (54-28, 28-13 at home) in Game 5 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. The Wolves lead the series 3-1.

Expect Points as Wolves Take on Nuggets

Let’s go for Over 222.5 when the Wolves face the Nuggets. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -106.

Wolves One Win from Series Victory

Minnesota moved 3-1 ahead in the series with a 112-96 victory over Denver in Game 4 at Target Center two nights ago.

Ayo Dosunmu led the Wolves with 43 points, while Naz Reid added 17 and Julius Randle 15. For the Nuggets, Jamal Murray scored 30 points, Nikola Jokić recorded 24 points and 15 rebounds, and Tim Hardaway Jr. added 10.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves have won three straight against the Nuggets and have taken six of the last 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Minnesota Timberwolves – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Wolves are averaging 117.2 points, 42.1 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.4 blocks while shooting 47.7% from the field and 77.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 115.3 points and 44.0 rebounds per matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 16.1 points, Rudy Gobert 8.2 rebounds and Donte DiVincenzo 3.1 assists along with 2.7 (38.6%) 3-pointers made.

Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 121.6 points, 46.9 rebounds, 27.8 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 83.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 117.6 points and 45.7 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.7 points, 12.1 rebounds and 8.0 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 3.0 (40.5%) 3-pointers made.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 222.5. There’s a strong chance that the NBA rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -106.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate NBA predictions possible.

Key Timberwolves vs Nuggets stats:

  • The 222.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Wolves games on the road.
  • The 222.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Wolves games on the road.
  • The 222.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nuggets games at home.
  • The 222.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nuggets games at home.

Over 222.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. However, we have this figure between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to get larger odds on your Over wager, there’s a smart way of doing this. The top sportsbooks will allow you to move the line on the Totals.

Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction
Over 222.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 27, 03:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 03:02, 27 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Julius Randle Under 22.5 Points -112 BetMGM logo

Julius Randle (Wolves) has recorded an average of 17.5 points in the past 4 games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -112.

Latest Julius Randle Player Prop Odds


Jaden McDaniels Over 2.5 Assists -179 BetMGM logo

Jaden McDaniels (Wolves) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line once again, with odds of -179 on offer that this happens.

Latest Jaden McDaniels Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 222.5
Spread Timberwolves +11.5
Player Points Julius Randle Under 22.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 222.5, followed by Wolves +11.5 on the spread and Julius Randle (Wolves) to score Under 22.5 points.

The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves Timberwolves logo 110 - 119 Nuggets logo Nuggets

There are lots of different ways to back the Nuggets on the correct score betting and something like 119-110 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Make Nuggets Big Favorites

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Denver Nuggets a 83% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -500 favorites with the sportsbooks. Minnesota Timberwolves are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +390.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 222.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 222.5 at -106.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The best NBA betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -114 to score Over 31.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 31.5
-114
Under 31.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 27.5
-109
Under 27.5
-125
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 22.5
-122
Under 22.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)
Over 20.5
-114
Under 20.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
-108
Under 9.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-118
Under 6.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-161
BetMGM Logo
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-143
Under 4.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 14.5
-106
Under 14.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 10.5
-139
Under 10.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
-120
Under 6.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)
Over 5.5
+117
Under 5.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Ball Arena
Ball Arena
Nuggets Hold Nine Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Nuggets own a 9-1 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 128.70 points scored and 118.50 points allowed.

The Wolves own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 114.40 points on offense and surrendering 112.80 on defense.

The last time the Wolves faced the Nuggets at Ball Arena, they won 119-114. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Ball Arena, the Wolves have claimed seven wins compared to the Nuggets who have three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O222.5 U222.5
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Home Stats 9-1 247.20 128.70 118.50 8 2
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Away Stats 5-5 227.20 114.40 112.80 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O222.5 = Games Over 222.5 Points
  • U222.5 = Games Under 222.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 4 36.1 62 12 15.5 3.0 0.3 7.0 0.5 0.3
Rudy Gobert 4 34.33 33 8 8.3 2.0 - 11.0 1.3 1.3
Julius Randle 4 33.13 70 14 17.5 3.5 0.5 7.8 0.3 -

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 4 39.73 106 23 26.5 5.8 2.3 5.0 0.3 0.3
Nikola Jokic 4 39.03 100 31 25.0 7.8 1.3 14.5 0.5 1.5
Christian Braun 4 32.1 38 7 9.5 1.8 1.0 4.5 0.5 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets
08 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 120-132 Magic
07 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 124-104 Pacers
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves
03 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 103-115 76ers

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets
04 Apr NBA
Spurs 134-136 Nuggets
01 Apr NBA
Nuggets 130-117 Jazz

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak