New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Aug 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

The New York Liberty battle the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, August 15.

The Liberty should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this pick off -8.5 to cover the line against the Sun at -106.

New York Liberty claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 85-81 win occurred against Los Angeles Sparks at Barclays Center.

Connecticut Sun lost their last game, being beaten at home to Atlanta Dream 104-69 at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 89-80 in favor of the Liberty when they last played the Sun, with the matchup taking place at Mohegan Sun Arena. The Liberty have won four on the spin against the Sun. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  Liberty	21	14	3171	3059	112	12-5	9-9	1W
14  Sun	8	24	2539	2796	-257	5-11	3-13	1L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

Get set for New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Liberty against the spread, especially with a generous -8.5 line at odds of -106. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can achieve a comfortable victory in this WNBA showdown.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our WNBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Liberty vs Sun stats:

• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 2 consecutive games against Liberty.

Liberty -8.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are many ways to back the Liberty and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Looking for the best betting offers? Our expert guide includes a wide range of welcome bonuses and free bets just for you.

Our Game Prediction

Liberty -8.5 @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 14, 17:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leïla Lacan Under 11.5 Points -127

Leïla Lacan (Sun) can be backed to record Under 11.5 points at -127. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Latest Leïla Lacan Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-104

Under 11.5

-127

Assists

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-139

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Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds -149

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) can be wagered to have Under 8.5 rebounds at -149. We really like this player prop so we’re going to bet on her to fall short when it comes to rebounds.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-123

Under 21.5

-108

Assists

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-111

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-149

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 96 - 83 Sun

The Liberty to win by a 96-83 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean New York Liberty are -345 favorites to win and that means a 78% chance of landing a victory. At +265, Connecticut Sun are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 8.5 and total points is 174.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you’re wanting to back Over 174.5, the odds are -105.

If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Liberty

-345

Sun

+265

Point Spread

Liberty -8.5

-105

Sun +8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 174.5

-115

Over 174.5

-105

Breanna Stewart is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -123 to score Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-123

Under 21.5

-108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-120

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-120

Brittney Griner (Sun)

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-123

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 11.5

-104

Under 11.5

-127

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-128

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-154

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-139

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-111

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+125

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

+103

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-149

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-149

Brittney Griner (Sun)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+114

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+112

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 189.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 189.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 174.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 174.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 97.50 pts and allowed 92.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 91.60 pts and allowed 97.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 174.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 174.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.00 pts and allowed 88.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 home games

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WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	28	7	3242	2931	311	14-5	14-2	3W
2  Valkyries	24	9	2757	2538	219	14-4	10-5	5W
3  Aces	24	11	3173	3043	130	11-5	13-6	2W
4  Dream	21	12	2971	2821	150	12-5	9-7	2W
5  Fever	21	12	3175	2984	191	12-6	9-6	2W
6  Liberty	21	14	3171	3059	112	12-5	9-9	1W
7  Wings	20	14	3027	2934	93	10-6	10-8	1W
8  Mystics	19	14	2695	2730	-35	11-6	8-8	2L
9  Fire	13	20	2864	3023	-159	8-10	5-10	1L
10  Mercury	13	22	2935	3060	-125	5-10	8-12	1W
11  Sparks	12	21	2933	3081	-148	5-11	7-10	3L
12  Sky	12	22	2982	3066	-84	8-9	4-13	3L
13  Tempo	10	23	2892	3106	-214	6-11	4-12	10L
14  Sun	8	24	2539	2796	-257	5-11	3-13	1L
15  Storm	7	28	2918	3102	-184	5-11	2-17	1W

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