New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Jul 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces

The New York Liberty go up against the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, July 30.

We’re very excited to see the Aces at -5.5 on the spread and think it’s a good number for the favorites to cover against the Liberty at odds of -108.

New York Liberty triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 113-109 at Crypto.com Arena.

Las Vegas Aces were winners last time out. It was a 98-83 home victory against Portland Fire at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty have beaten the Aces in the last two matchups. They won 87-76 at Michelob Ultra Arena and triumphed 93-85 at Barclays Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Liberty win eight times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Aces	27	13	3624	3461	163	13-7	14-6	3W
6  Liberty	24	16	3593	3474	119	14-6	10-10	1W

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks

Take on New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

Aces should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this WNBA showdown. Back our pick off -5.5 to cover the line at -108.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Liberty vs Aces stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Aces in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Aces in 12 of their last 20 games.

Aces -5.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

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Our Game Prediction

Aces -5.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 30, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chelsea Gray Over 6.5 Assists -141

Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at -141 to register Over 6.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.

Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Assists

Over 6.5

-152

Under 6.5

+117

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

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A'ja Wilson Over 3.5 Assists +113

A'ja Wilson (Aces) can be wagered to secure Over 3.5 assists at +113. We think it makes sense to stick with her when it comes to Overs and bettors can be confident with this Player Assists pick.

Latest A'ja Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+104

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 89 - 98 Aces

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Aces to achieve a 98-89 victory at huge odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Las Vegas Aces have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability due to their -192 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that New York Liberty are least likely to win at +156.

The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 182.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 182.5, this outcome can be backed at -106.

If you’re planning to place a women's hoops wager, visit the best basketball sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Liberty

+156

Aces

-192

Point Spread

Liberty +4.5

-106

Aces -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 182.5

-114

Over 182.5

-106

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -114 that she goes Over 25.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 20.5

-119

Under 20.5

-109

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-116

Under 18.5

-111

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 17.5

-118

Under 17.5

-110

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-112

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 10.5

-101

Under 10.5

-128

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+113

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 6.5

-152

Under 6.5

+117

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

+124

Under 2.5

-161

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

+104

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

+117

Under 8.5

-152

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+104

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

NaLyssa Smith (Aces)

Over 4.5

-145

Under 4.5

+111

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+127

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 183.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 185.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 182.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 182.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.70 pts and allowed 92.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 91.10 pts and allowed 94.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 181.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 176.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 182.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 182.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.30 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.30 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	9	3652	3337	315	14-6	17-3	2L
2  Valkyries	29	11	3305	3017	288	15-5	14-6	4W
3  Aces	27	13	3624	3461	163	13-7	14-6	3W
4  Dream	26	14	3632	3428	204	13-7	13-7	1W
5  Fever	26	14	3880	3638	242	14-6	12-8	2W
6  Liberty	24	16	3593	3474	119	14-6	10-10	1W
7  Mystics	24	16	3313	3321	-8	13-7	11-9	1L
8  Wings	24	16	3560	3414	146	14-6	10-10	4W
9  Fire	16	24	3463	3642	-179	8-12	8-12	1L
10  Sky	15	25	3467	3587	-120	10-10	5-15	3L
11  Sparks	15	25	3494	3672	-178	7-13	8-12	2W
12  Mercury	14	26	3367	3490	-123	6-14	8-12	1W
13  Tempo	11	29	3449	3751	-302	7-13	4-16	4L
14  Sun	10	30	3158	3511	-353	7-13	3-17	3L
15  Storm	8	32	3314	3528	-214	6-14	2-18	1L

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