New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Jul 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks

The New York Liberty battle the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, July 28.

We’re confident of the Sparks staying close to the Liberty, with our prediction being that they’ll cover the spread. The +5.5 looks really generous at -118.

New York Liberty won their previous game, beating Chicago Sky at home. It was a 95-94 win at Barclays Center.

Los Angeles Sparks lost when they last took to the court. At Crypto.com Arena, they were turned over 86-82 at home to Phoenix Mercury.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Sparks beat the Liberty in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 98-97 scoreline at Crypto.com Arena. It’s been seven Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The line makes plenty of appeal considering it’s set at +5.5 and our prediction is that Sparks should be able to cover it in this WNBA showdown. There is -118 available for this outcome.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date WNBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Liberty vs Sparks stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 6 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.

Sparks +5.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Sparks +5.5 @ -118 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 28, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breanna Stewart Under 21.5 Points -106

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -106 to register Under 21.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-122

Under 21.5

-106

Assists

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

---

Kelsey Plum Under 2.5 Rebounds -179

Kelsey Plum (Sparks) is available at -179 to record Under 2.5 rebounds. We can’t pass up the chance to back Unders considering the Player Rebounds line that is on offer.

Latest Kelsey Plum Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-115

Assists

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-137

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 90 - 87 Sparks

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Liberty to win 90-87. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have New York Liberty at -213 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 68% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Los Angeles Sparks are the underdogs at +172 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 182.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 182.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every women's basketball matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Liberty

-213

Sparks

+172

Point Spread

Liberty -5.5

-108

Sparks +5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 182.5

-110

Over 182.5

-110

Breanna Stewart is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -122 that she goes Over 21.5 points and -106 when it comes to Under.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-122

Under 21.5

-106

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-130

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-115

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-137

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-137

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-109

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-167

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 179.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 90.20 pts and allowed 92.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 184.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.10 pts and allowed 96.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.50 pts and allowed 90.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

Where to Bet on Basketball Games

Top Basketball Pages