New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks
The New York Liberty battle the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, July 28.
We’re confident of the Sparks staying close to the Liberty, with our prediction being that they’ll cover the spread. The +5.5 looks really generous at -118.
New York Liberty won their previous game, beating Chicago Sky at home. It was a 95-94 win at Barclays Center.
Los Angeles Sparks lost when they last took to the court. At Crypto.com Arena, they were turned over 86-82 at home to Phoenix Mercury.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Sparks beat the Liberty in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 98-97 scoreline at Crypto.com Arena. It’s been seven Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Liberty
|
15 | 12 | 2390 | 2327 | 63 | 8-5 | 7-7 | 2W |
11
Sparks
|
10 | 16 | 2295 | 2427 | -132 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 5L |
New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the best New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The line makes plenty of appeal considering it’s set at +5.5 and our prediction is that Sparks should be able to cover it in this WNBA showdown. There is -118 available for this outcome.
The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date WNBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.
Key Liberty vs Sparks stats:
Sparks +5.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Player Prop Picks
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -106 to register Under 21.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.
Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds
Kelsey Plum (Sparks) is available at -179 to record Under 2.5 rebounds. We can’t pass up the chance to back Unders considering the Player Rebounds line that is on offer.
Latest Kelsey Plum Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Sparks to cover the +5.5 spread, Under 181.5 on the total and Breanna Stewart (Liberty) to score Under 21.5 points.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
90
-
87
Sparks
We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Liberty to win 90-87. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks have New York Liberty at -208 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 68% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Los Angeles Sparks are the underdogs at +168 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 181.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 181.5, this outcome can be backed at -104.
Fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every women's basketball matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.
Breanna Stewart is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -122 that she goes Over 21.5 points and -106 when it comes to Under.
- WNBA: 22/06 2026 Liberty 97 Sparks 98
- WNBA: 13/08 2025 Liberty 105 Sparks 97
- WNBA: 27/07 2025 Sparks 101 Liberty 99
- WNBA: 04/07 2025 Sparks 79 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 29/08 2024 Liberty 88 Sparks 94
- WNBA: 16/08 2024 Liberty 103 Sparks 68
- WNBA: 22/06 2024 Sparks 88 Liberty 98
- WNBA: 21/06 2024 Sparks 80 Liberty 93
- WNBA: 08/09 2023 Sparks 89 Liberty 96
- WNBA: 02/08 2023 Liberty 76 Sparks 69
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New York Liberty Stats
Los Angeles Sparks Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 179.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 181.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 90.20 pts and allowed 92.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 184.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 181.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.10 pts and allowed 96.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.50 pts and allowed 90.40 pts in the last 10 home games
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WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
22 | 6 | 2562 | 2319 | 243 | 10-4 | 12-2 | 7W |
2
Valkyries
|
19 | 8 | 2211 | 2062 | 149 | 11-4 | 8-4 | 1L |
3
Aces
|
18 | 8 | 2366 | 2245 | 121 | 7-5 | 11-3 | 1L |
4
Wings
|
18 | 9 | 2436 | 2327 | 109 | 8-4 | 10-5 | 1W |
5
Fever
|
17 | 10 | 2578 | 2419 | 159 | 11-5 | 6-5 | 3W |
6
Dream
|
16 | 10 | 2323 | 2217 | 106 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 3W |
|
7
Liberty
|
15 | 12 | 2390 | 2327 | 63 | 8-5 | 7-7 | 2W |
8
Mystics
|
14 | 12 | 2100 | 2161 | -61 | 6-6 | 8-6 | 2W |
9
Fire
|
11 | 16 | 2304 | 2446 | -142 | 6-7 | 5-9 | 2L |
10
Tempo
|
10 | 16 | 2301 | 2416 | -115 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3L |
|
11
Sparks
|
10 | 16 | 2295 | 2427 | -132 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 5L |
12
Mercury
|
10 | 18 | 2323 | 2423 | -100 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 2W |
13
Sky
|
9 | 18 | 2363 | 2423 | -60 | 5-7 | 4-11 | 2L |
14
Sun
|
7 | 20 | 2160 | 2351 | -191 | 4-10 | 3-10 | 2L |
15
Storm
|
6 | 23 | 2375 | 2524 | -149 | 4-10 | 2-13 | 6L |
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