New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx
The New York Liberty face the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, July 11.
The Liberty look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Lynx our betting prediction. You can currently get -133 for this selection which looks value.
New York Liberty were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Dallas Wings by a 88-77 scoreline at Barclays Center.
Minnesota Lynx won their last game 86-80. This was a road victory at Mohegan Sun Arena against Connecticut Sun.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Liberty are bidding for a third successive victory against the Lynx. They previously won 85-75 and 99-86 at Barclays Center. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
Lynx
|
16 | 6 | 1980 | 1776 | 204 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 1W |
5
Liberty
|
13 | 9 | 1932 | 1844 | 88 | 7-5 | 6-4 | 1L |
New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Lynx should be able to come out on top in this WNBA contest. Our best pick is to back the home team on the Moneyline considering that a juicy -133 can be landed right now.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant WNBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.
Key Liberty vs Lynx stats:
Lynx Moneyline Probability
The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It is the reason why we are recommending this WNBA wager.
As an alternative, you could consider the spread where you can back the Lynx to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.
Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.
Player Prop Picks
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) can be wagered to register Over 4.5 assists at -125. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.
Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) can be wagered to have Over 2.5 assists at -167. We can back her when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.
Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Lynx on the moneyline, Over 172.5 and Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) to get Over 4.5 assists.
The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
There are betting odds of -139 that Minnesota Lynx land victory, with New York Liberty alternatively at +112. According to the top WNBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 58%.
The current spread is 2.5 and the total points line is 172.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 172.5, it’s -114.
Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.
Breanna Stewart is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -127 that she gets Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -104.
- WNBA: 04/07 2026 Lynx 86 Liberty 99
- WNBA: 20/08 2025 Lynx 75 Liberty 85
- WNBA: 16/08 2025 Liberty 80 Lynx 86
- WNBA: 10/08 2025 Lynx 83 Liberty 71
- WNBA: 31/07 2025 Liberty 93 Lynx 100
- WNBA: 21/10 2024 Lynx 62 Liberty 67
- WNBA: 19/10 2024 Liberty 80 Lynx 82
- WNBA: 17/10 2024 Liberty 80 Lynx 77
- WNBA: 13/10 2024 Lynx 66 Liberty 80
- WNBA: 11/10 2024 Lynx 95 Liberty 93
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New York Liberty Stats
Minnesota Lynx Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 172.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 180.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 172.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.30 pts and allowed 85.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 92.20 pts and allowed 88.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 172.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 172.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 172.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 172.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.50 pts and allowed 80.60 pts in the last 10 home games
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WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Aces
|
16 | 6 | 1977 | 1895 | 82 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 1W |
2
Lynx
|
16 | 6 | 1980 | 1776 | 204 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 1W |
3
Valkyries
|
16 | 7 | 1888 | 1764 | 124 | 10-3 | 6-4 | 6W |
4
Wings
|
14 | 8 | 1943 | 1863 | 80 | 6-3 | 8-5 | 3W |
5
Liberty
|
13 | 9 | 1932 | 1844 | 88 | 7-5 | 6-4 | 1L |
6
Dream
|
13 | 9 | 1926 | 1840 | 86 | 7-3 | 6-6 | 1W |
7
Fever
|
13 | 9 | 2053 | 1973 | 80 | 8-4 | 5-5 | 1W |
8
Mystics
|
10 | 10 | 1622 | 1690 | -68 | 4-5 | 6-5 | 1L |
9
Sparks
|
9 | 11 | 1768 | 1871 | -103 | 4-7 | 5-4 | 1W |
10
Tempo
|
9 | 12 | 1876 | 1918 | -42 | 5-6 | 4-6 | 3L |
11
Fire
|
9 | 13 | 1850 | 2006 | -156 | 6-6 | 3-7 | 1L |
12
Mercury
|
8 | 15 | 1924 | 1972 | -48 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 2L |
13
Sky
|
7 | 14 | 1809 | 1865 | -56 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 1W |
14
Storm
|
6 | 18 | 1921 | 2044 | -123 | 4-8 | 2-10 | 1L |
15
Sun
|
5 | 17 | 1759 | 1907 | -148 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 1L |
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