New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jul 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

The New York Liberty face the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, July 11.

The Liberty look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Lynx our betting prediction. You can currently get -133 for this selection which looks value.

New York Liberty were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Dallas Wings by a 88-77 scoreline at Barclays Center.

Minnesota Lynx won their last game 86-80. This was a road victory at Mohegan Sun Arena against Connecticut Sun.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty are bidding for a third successive victory against the Lynx. They previously won 85-75 and 99-86 at Barclays Center. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Lynx should be able to come out on top in this WNBA contest. Our best pick is to back the home team on the Moneyline considering that a juicy -133 can be landed right now.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant WNBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Liberty vs Lynx stats:

• Lynx have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Lynx have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Liberty have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Liberty have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Lynx Moneyline Probability

The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It is the reason why we are recommending this WNBA wager.

As an alternative, you could consider the spread where you can back the Lynx to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Our Game Prediction

Lynx Moneyline @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 10, 17:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Assists -125

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) can be wagered to register Over 4.5 assists at -125. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.

Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

+102

Under 15.5

-132

Assists

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+104

---

Breanna Stewart Over 2.5 Assists -167

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) can be wagered to have Over 2.5 assists at -167. We can back her when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Assists

Over 3.5

+134

Under 3.5

-175

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+122

Under 8.5

-159

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 86 - 91 Lynx

The Lynx will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 91-86 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of -204 that Minnesota Lynx land victory, with New York Liberty alternatively at +164. According to the top WNBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 67%.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 172.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 172.5, it’s -114.

Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Liberty

+164

Lynx

-204

Point Spread

Liberty +5.5

-118

Lynx -5.5

-104

Total Points

Under 172.5

-106

Over 172.5

-114

Breanna Stewart is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -120 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -108.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 17.5

-102

Under 17.5

-127

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 16.5

+104

Under 16.5

-135

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 15.5

+102

Under 15.5

-132

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 15.5

+103

Under 15.5

-133

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-108

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-101

Under 14.5

-128

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 8.5

+115

Under 8.5

-149

Marine Johannes (Liberty)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-122

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

+106

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+134

Under 3.5

-175

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+144

Under 3.5

-189

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+152

Under 3.5

-200

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+119

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+116

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

+103

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 8.5

+122

Under 8.5

-159

Natasha Howard (Lynx)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-145

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

+132

Under 5.5

-172

Olivia Miles (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Nia Coffey (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+104

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

Pauline Astier (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+144

Under 3.5

-189

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 188.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 173.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 95.20 pts and allowed 93.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 179.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 173.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.10 pts and allowed 87.80 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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