Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream

The Phoenix Mercury battle the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Sunday, May 24.

The Dream can cover the -5.5 betting line when they clash with the Mercury. We’re confident of a strong showing and a wager against the spread could be the best play at odds of -110.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Los Angeles Sparks by a 97-88 scoreline at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Atlanta Dream were winners last time out. It was a 86-69 home victory against Dallas Wings at Gateway Center Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 74-66 in favor of the Dream when they last played the Mercury, with the matchup taking place at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Dream have beaten the Mercury in the past three matchups. They’ve also claimed 6 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Dream	19	11	2686	2578	108	11-5	8-6	1W
11  Mercury	12	20	2694	2803	-109	5-10	7-10	1L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

Bet on Dream against the spread, with an attractive line of -5.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this WNBA matchup.

The WNBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Mercury vs Dream stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 3 consecutive games against Mercury.

Dream -5.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Game Prediction

Dream -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 23, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Allisha Gray Over 4.5 Rebounds -135

Allisha Gray (Dream) can be backed to register Over 4.5 rebounds at -135. We’re going to take her on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Allisha Gray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-100

Under 19.5

-130

Assists

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

+103

---

Jordin Canada Over 10.5 Points -120

Jordin Canada (Dream) is available at -120 to record Over 10.5 points. It makes sense to bet on her to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.

Latest Jordin Canada Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Assists

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 77 - 85 Dream

There’s the chance to bet on the Dream in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 85-77 victory in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 69% chance of securing victory, Atlanta Dream are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -222. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +176 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 169.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 169.5, then the odds are -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most matchups. The best basketball sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Mercury

+176

Dream

-222

Point Spread

Mercury +5.5

-110

Dream -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 169.5

-115

Over 169.5

-105

Allisha Gray is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -100 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -130.

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 19.5

-100

Under 19.5

-130

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-100

Under 19.5

-130

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 17.5

-102

Under 17.5

-127

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 16.5

+109

Under 16.5

-141

Jovana Nogic (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-108

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-156

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-132

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-125

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Angel Reese (Dream)

Over 12.5

+104

Under 12.5

-135

Natasha Mack (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

+102

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+109

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-120

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

+103

Rhyne Howard (Dream)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Atlanta Dream Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 174.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 176.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 181.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.30 pts and allowed 90.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 91.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 181.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 187.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 181.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.20 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.00 pts and allowed 93.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	25	6	2874	2584	290	12-4	13-2	10W
2  Aces	21	9	2760	2598	162	9-5	12-4	1W
3  Valkyries	21	9	2488	2313	175	13-4	8-5	2W
4  Dream	19	11	2686	2578	108	11-5	8-6	1W
5  Fever	19	11	2895	2720	175	11-5	8-6	1L
6  Wings	19	12	2767	2649	118	9-5	10-7	1L
7  Liberty	19	13	2883	2801	82	10-5	9-8	3W
8  Mystics	17	12	2369	2412	-43	9-6	8-6	5W
9  Sky	12	19	2737	2788	-51	8-8	4-11	1W
10  Sparks	11	18	2598	2736	-138	5-9	6-9	1L
11  Mercury	12	20	2694	2803	-109	5-10	7-10	1L
12  Fire	11	19	2586	2762	-176	6-9	5-10	5L
13  Tempo	10	20	2626	2808	-182	6-11	4-9	7L
14  Sun	7	23	2395	2620	-225	4-10	3-13	5L
15  Storm	6	27	2728	2914	-186	4-11	2-16	10L

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