Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream

The Phoenix Mercury battle the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Sunday, May 24.

The Dream can cover the -5.5 betting line when they clash with the Mercury. We’re confident of a strong showing and a wager against the spread could be the best play at odds of -110.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Los Angeles Sparks by a 97-88 scoreline at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Atlanta Dream were winners last time out. It was a 86-69 home victory against Dallas Wings at Gateway Center Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 74-66 in favor of the Dream when they last played the Mercury, with the matchup taking place at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Dream have beaten the Mercury in the past three matchups. They’ve also claimed 6 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Dream	3	1	338	316	22	1-1	2-0	1W
13  Mercury	2	4	531	527	4	1-3	1-1	2L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks

Our expert Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Bet on Dream against the spread, with an attractive line of -5.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this WNBA matchup.

The WNBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Mercury vs Dream stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Dream in 3 consecutive games against Mercury.

Dream -5.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Game Prediction

Dream -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 23, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 77 - 85 Dream

There’s the chance to bet on the Dream in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 85-77 victory in their favor.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 68% chance of securing victory, Atlanta Dream are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -213. Phoenix Mercury are the underdogs at +172 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 167.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 167.5, then the odds are -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most matchups. The best basketball sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Mercury

+172

Dream

-213

Point Spread

Mercury +5.5

-110

Dream -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 167.5

-115

Over 167.5

-105

The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Atlanta Dream Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 167.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 89.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.10 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 167.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 76.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.50 pts and allowed 75.20 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Aces	4	1	455	424	31	0-1	4-0	4W
2  Dream	3	1	338	316	22	1-1	2-0	1W
3  Fever	4	2	562	522	40	3-2	1-0	3W
5  Valkyries	3	2	418	388	30	1-1	2-1	1L
6  Liberty	3	2	470	435	35	1-1	2-1	1L
6  Sky	3	3	500	500	0	0-2	3-1	2L
7  Lynx	4	2	532	494	38	1-2	3-0	2W
8  Wings	3	3	525	515	10	1-2	2-1	1L
9  Mystics	2	2	334	357	-23	0-1	2-1	1L
10  Tempo	3	3	522	526	-4	1-1	2-2	1L
11  Sparks	2	3	448	481	-33	1-3	1-0	1W
12  Fire	2	3	419	466	-47	2-2	0-1	1L
13  Mercury	2	4	531	527	4	1-3	1-1	2L
14  Storm	2	4	475	487	-12	1-2	1-2	1W
15  Sun	1	6	541	632	-91	0-3	1-3	1L

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