Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jun 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Dallas Wings at College Park Center, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Thursday, June 11.
170.5 points looks too big a number on the total line and we are happy to play the -110 about Under when the Mercury and the Wings square off.
Phoenix Mercury lost on the road in their previous game. Golden State Valkyries won 87-81 at Chase Center.
Dallas Wings were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 100-76 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 97-76 win for the Wings at College Park Center when they last played the Mercury. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
Wings
|
7 | 4 | 970 | 930 | 40 | 3-2 | 4-2 | 1L |
13
Mercury
|
4 | 9 | 1061 | 1106 | -45 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1L |
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks
Be ready for Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 170.5 points in this WNBA game.
We only publish basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest WNBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.
Key Mercury vs Wings stats:
Under 170.5 Probability
The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Those bettors wanting more bang for their buck can move the Total line as they see fit. You can wager Under a certain points level in order to get the bigger odds.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Azzi Fudd (Wings) can be wagered to score Under 12.5 points at -109. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.
Latest Azzi Fudd Player Prop Odds
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) can be backed to finish with Over 2.5 rebounds at -167. We’re anticipating a strong performance from her, so it makes sense that she will cover the line.
Latest Arike Ogunbowale Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 170.5 on the total, Wings to cover the -6.5 spread and Azzi Fudd (Wings) to score Under 12.5 points.
There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
77
-
86
Wings
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Wings to claim a 86-77 victory and hopefully this goes close.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this WNBA game, Dallas Wings might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. At +205, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 170.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those who wager Under 170.5 can get -110.
Whether you are wagering in-game or pre-game, the best basketball sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have lots of options.
Paige Bueckers is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -122 that she gets Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -108.
- WNBA: 12/09 2025 Mercury 76 Wings 97
- WNBA: 08/07 2025 Wings 72 Mercury 102
- WNBA: 04/07 2025 Mercury 89 Wings 98
- WNBA: 12/06 2025 Wings 80 Mercury 93
- WNBA: 10/07 2024 Wings 84 Mercury 100
- WNBA: 04/07 2024 Mercury 104 Wings 96
- WNBA: 09/06 2024 Mercury 97 Wings 90
- WNBA: 26/05 2024 Wings 107 Mercury 92
- WNBA: 28/08 2023 Wings 77 Mercury 74
- WNBA: 28/06 2023 Wings 77 Mercury 62
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Dallas Wings Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 165.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 170.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 170.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 169.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 170.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 170.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 82.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
10 | 2 | 1093 | 938 | 155 | 5-2 | 5-0 | 8W |
2
Aces
|
8 | 3 | 992 | 940 | 52 | 2-2 | 6-1 | 4W |
3
Dream
|
8 | 3 | 940 | 868 | 72 | 4-1 | 4-2 | 2W |
4
Liberty
|
8 | 4 | 1048 | 986 | 62 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 5W |
|
5
Wings
|
7 | 4 | 970 | 930 | 40 | 3-2 | 4-2 | 1L |
6
Valkyries
|
7 | 5 | 1031 | 966 | 65 | 5-2 | 2-3 | 1W |
7
Tempo
|
7 | 5 | 1079 | 1068 | 11 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 2W |
8
Fever
|
6 | 5 | 970 | 942 | 28 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 1W |
9
Sparks
|
6 | 6 | 1064 | 1085 | -21 | 2-5 | 4-1 | 2W |
10
Fire
|
6 | 7 | 1057 | 1113 | -56 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
11
Mystics
|
4 | 6 | 827 | 869 | -42 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
4 | 8 | 962 | 1027 | -65 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2L |
|
13
Mercury
|
4 | 9 | 1061 | 1106 | -45 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1L |
14
Storm
|
3 | 11 | 1074 | 1171 | -97 | 2-5 | 1-6 | 7L |
15
Sun
|
2 | 12 | 1093 | 1252 | -159 | 1-4 | 1-8 | 4L |
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